Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction, Bet Builder Tips & Odds

We’re Backing the Underdogs Against The Spread

No. 8 Miami Heat (37-45, 17-23 Away) square off against No. 1 Cleveland Cavaliers (64-18, 34-7 at Home) in this NBA Playoffs first round matchup at Rocket Arena.

The Heat look capable of avoiding a heavy defeat against the Cavaliers and we’re happy to bet them against the spread. The underdogs can comfortably cover +12.5 and this can be backed at 1.89.

Cavs 112-107 Winners in Previous H2H

Miami Heat have won their previous three road games. A 123-114 (OT) triumph recently occurred at State Farm Arena when playing Atlanta Hawks. Tyler Herro scored 30 points, with Andrew Wiggins getting 20 and Bam Adebayo 17.

Cleveland Cavaliers were beaten 126-118 (OT) at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in their last game, being turned over at home to Indiana Pacers. Jaylon Tyson had 31 points, Emoni Bates scored 25, with Nae'Qwan Tomlin recording 24 points and 12 rebounds.

The Cavs have won the last two meetings against the Heat. They triumphed 126-106 at Kaseya Center and then 112-107 at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse. In the past 10 games between the teams, the Heat have won six.

NBA Reg. Season	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Cavaliers	64	18	0.78	121.9	112.4	9.5	34-7	30-11	12-4	41-11	6-4	1L
Heat	37	45	0.451	110.6	110	0.6	19-22	18-23	10-6	24-28	6-4	1L

View Full Standings

6 wins and 4 losses in the past 10 games. The Heat are averaging 119.8 points, 48.6 rebounds, 28.6 assists, 8.8 steals and 4.8 blocks while shooting 48.9% from the field and 75.5% from the free-throw line. The opposition average 107.9 points and 43.6 rebounds per contest.

Tyler Herro is averaging 22.7 points, Kel'el Ware 9.3 rebounds and Davion Mitchell 6.1 assists, while Duncan Robinson averages 2.0 (45.5%) 3-pointers made.

The Cavs have won 6 and lost 4 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 119.7 points, 47.8 rebounds, 27.0 assists, 8.4 steals and 4.2 blocks per game while shooting 47.6% from the field and 71.1% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 116.4 points and 44.6 rebounds.

Donovan Mitchell is averaging 15.9 points, Jarrett Allen 8.0 rebounds and Darius Garland 6.0 assists along with 2.2 (37.9%) 3-pointers made.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Miami Heat lineup: Kel'el Ware, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Alec Burks, Andrew Wiggins.

Cleveland Cavaliers lineup: Max Strus, Evan Mobley, Darius Garland, Jarrett Allen, Donovan Mitchell.

Expert NBA Analysis

Our team of expert NBA handicappers monitor the current injuries. When integrated with the latest form, this helps us secure the value odds. Our data-led approach backed up by key stats always proves useful.

Key Heat vs Cavaliers stats:

• The +12.5 line has been covered by Heat in all of their last 10 games.
• The +12.5 line has been covered by Heat in all of their last 5 games.
• The +12.5 line has been covered by Heat in 16 consecutive games.
• The -12.5 line hasn’t been covered by Cavs in 17 of their last 20 games.
• The -12.5 line hasn’t been covered by Cavs in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -12.5 line hasn’t been covered by Cavs in 3 consecutive games.
• The -12.5 line hasn’t been covered by Cavs in 9 of their last 10 games against Heat.

Heat vs Cavaliers Prediction

Let’s take a chance on Miami Heat and bet on the underdogs with a +12.5 start. They should be able to cover the line in this NBA showdown at odds of 1.89.

If you’re looking for a bigger potential return on your stake, there is always the alternative to move the line. Consider the odds and whether each line can be covered.

Heat +12.5 Probability

The sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 52.9% prospect of winning. After careful examination, our analysts have this probability somewhere between 55-60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

Our Pick

Heat +12.5 @ 1.89 Bet Now

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Props

Tyler Herro Over 22.5 Points 1.80

Tyler Herro (Heat) has scored an average of 30 points in the past 4 games. We’ll use this stat and take odds of 1.80 that he is able to cover the line when it comes to wagering on Player Points.

Latest Tyler Herro Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 23.5

1.91

Under 23.5

1.83

Assists

Over 4.5

1.68

Under 4.5

2.10

Rebounds

Over 5.5

2.17

Under 5.5

1.64

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

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Jarrett Allen Under 13.5 Points 1.88

Jarrett Allen (Cavs) has scored an average of 8.6 points in the past 5 games. We’re expecting him to fall short when it comes to Player Points and there are odds of 1.88 available.

Latest Jarrett Allen Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 13.5

1.85

Under 13.5

1.88

Rebounds

Over 10.5

1.92

Under 10.5

1.82

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Heat 107 - 115 Cavaliers

There are stacks of correct score lines available and we’re looking at the Cavaliers to achieve a winning scoreline of 115-107 where a huge potential return is on the cards.

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Cavs Heavy Favorites in Eyes of the Books

According to the Moneyline betting odds, Cleveland Cavaliers are red-hot 1.12 favorites with the sportsbooks and that means a 89% chance of winning this NBA game. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Miami Heat are trading at 6.60.

12.5 is the spread and 215 is the total points line. Basketball bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. There’s an opportunity to bet Over 215 at 1.93.

The betting sites offer a wide range of game lines and team props when it comes to most basketball contests. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Betting Lines & Odds

Moneyline

Heat

6.60

Cavaliers

1.12

Point Spread

Heat +12.5

1.93

Cavaliers -12.5

1.89

Total Points

Under 215

1.89

Over 215

1.93

Donovan Mitchell Favorite to Score the Most Points

Donovan Mitchell is the favorite to hit the most buckets. You can get 1.81 that he scores Over 24.5 points or 1.93 that he goes Under.

Player Points

Donovan Mitchell (Cavaliers)

Over 24.5

1.81

Under 24.5

1.93

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 23.5

1.91

Under 23.5

1.83

Darius Garland (Cavaliers)

Over 17.5

1.83

Under 17.5

1.89

Andrew Wiggins (Heat)

Over 17.5

1.85

Under 17.5

1.88

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 17.5

1.87

Under 17.5

1.87

Evan Mobley (Cavaliers)

Over 16.5

1.81

Under 16.5

1.93

Jarrett Allen (Cavaliers)

Over 13.5

1.85

Under 13.5

1.88

De'Andre Hunter (Cavaliers)

Over 11.5

1.83

Under 11.5

1.89

Davion Mitchell (Heat)

Over 9.5

1.80

Under 9.5

1.93

Ty Jerome (Cavaliers)

Over 9.5

1.91

Under 9.5

1.83

Max Strus (Cavaliers)

Over 8.5

1.82

Under 8.5

1.92

Kel'el Ware (Heat)

Over 7.5

1.76

Under 7.5

2.00

Duncan Robinson (Heat)

Over 5.5

1.88

Under 5.5

1.85

Alec Burks (Heat)

Over 5.5

2.00

Under 5.5

1.76

Player Assists

Darius Garland (Cavaliers)

Over 6.5

2.10

Under 6.5

1.70

Davion Mitchell (Heat)

Over 5.5

2.14

Under 5.5

1.66

Donovan Mitchell (Cavaliers)

Over 4.5

1.63

Under 4.5

2.20

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 4.5

1.68

Under 4.5

2.10

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 4.5

2.20

Under 4.5

1.63

Andrew Wiggins (Heat)

Over 3.5

2.18

Under 3.5

1.63

Evan Mobley (Cavaliers)

Over 3.5

1.81

Under 3.5

1.93

Player Rebounds

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 10.5

2.06

Under 10.5

1.71

Evan Mobley (Cavaliers)

Over 10.5

2.02

Under 10.5

1.74

Jarrett Allen (Cavaliers)

Over 10.5

1.92

Under 10.5

1.82

Kel'el Ware (Heat)

Over 7.5

1.87

Under 7.5

1.87

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 5.5

2.17

Under 5.5

1.64

Andrew Wiggins (Heat)

Over 5.5

2.02

Under 5.5

1.75

Donovan Mitchell (Cavaliers)

Over 4.5

1.80

Under 4.5

1.94

Darius Garland (Cavaliers)

Over 3.5

2.00

Under 3.5

1.75

De'Andre Hunter (Cavaliers)

Over 3.5

1.88

Under 3.5

1.85

Davion Mitchell (Heat)

Over 2.5

1.91

Under 2.5

1.83

Micro Betting

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for basketball bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Field Goal. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Best Betting Offers

Last 5 & H2H

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Cleveland Cavaliers Confirmed Lineup

1 Max Strus

4 Evan Mobley

10 Darius Garland

31 Jarrett Allen

45 Donovan Mitchell

Miami Heat Confirmed Lineup

7 Kel'el Ware

13 Bam Adebayo

14 Tyler Herro

18 Alec Burks

22 Andrew Wiggins

NBA Regular Season Table Select Season 2024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	61	21	0.744	116.3	107.2	9.1	28-13	33-8	14-2	39-13	8-2	2W
Knicks	51	31	0.622	115.8	111.7	4.1	27-14	24-17	12-4	34-18	6-4	1W
Raptors	30	52	0.366	110.9	115.2	-4.3	18-23	12-29	8-8	21-31	5-5	2L
Nets	26	56	0.317	105.1	112.2	-7.1	12-29	14-27	3-13	14-37	3-7	3L
76ers	24	58	0.293	109.6	115.8	-6.2	12-29	12-29	3-13	15-37	1-9	2L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Cavaliers	64	18	0.78	121.9	112.4	9.5	34-7	30-11	12-4	41-11	6-4	1L
Pacers	50	32	0.61	117.4	115.1	2.3	29-12	21-20	10-6	29-22	8-2	1W
Bucks	48	34	0.585	115.5	113	2.5	28-14	20-20	9-7	31-21	8-2	8W
Pistons	44	38	0.537	115.5	113.6	1.9	22-19	22-19	5-11	29-23	4-6	2L
Bulls	39	43	0.476	117.8	119.4	-1.6	18-23	21-20	4-12	28-24	7-3	3W

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Magic	41	41	0.5	105.4	105.5	-0.1	22-19	19-22	12-4	31-21	7-3	1L
Hawks	40	42	0.488	118.2	119.3	-1.1	21-19	19-23	10-6	30-22	5-5	3W
Heat	37	45	0.451	110.6	110	0.6	19-22	18-23	10-6	24-28	6-4	1L
Hornets	19	63	0.232	105.1	114.2	-9.1	12-29	7-34	1-15	10-42	1-9	7L
Wizards	18	64	0.22	108	120.4	-12.4	8-33	10-31	7-9	13-39	2-8	1W

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	68	14	0.829	120.5	107.6	12.9	36-6	32-8	12-4	39-13	8-2	4W
Nuggets	50	32	0.61	120.8	116.9	3.9	26-15	24-17	8-8	32-20	5-5	3W
Timberwolves	49	33	0.598	114.3	109.3	5	25-16	24-17	11-5	33-19	8-2	3W
Trail Blazers	36	46	0.439	110.9	113.9	-3	22-19	14-27	6-10	19-33	4-6	1W
Jazz	17	65	0.207	111.9	121.2	-9.3	10-31	7-34	3-13	8-44	1-9	2L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Clippers	50	32	0.61	112.9	108.2	4.7	30-11	20-21	9-7	29-23	9-1	8W
Lakers	50	32	0.61	113.4	112.2	1.2	31-10	19-22	12-4	36-16	6-4	1L
Warriors	48	34	0.585	113.8	110.5	3.3	24-17	24-17	5-11	29-23	7-3	1L
Kings	40	42	0.488	115.7	115.3	0.4	20-21	20-21	5-11	26-26	5-5	1W
Suns	36	46	0.439	113.6	116.6	-3	24-17	12-29	9-7	22-30	1-9	1L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Rockets	52	30	0.634	114.3	109.8	4.5	29-12	23-18	13-3	31-21	6-4	3L
Grizzlies	48	34	0.585	121.7	116.9	4.8	26-15	22-19	11-5	27-24	4-6	1W
Mavericks	39	43	0.476	114.2	115.4	-1.2	22-18	17-25	8-8	23-29	4-6	1L
Spurs	34	48	0.415	113.9	116.7	-2.8	20-21	14-27	5-11	22-30	3-7	1W
Pelicans	21	61	0.256	109.8	119.3	-9.5	14-27	7-34	3-13	13-38	2-8	7L

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Cavaliers	64	18	0.78	121.9	112.4	9.5	34-7	30-11	12-4	41-11	6-4	1L
Celtics	61	21	0.744	116.3	107.2	9.1	28-13	33-8	14-2	39-13	8-2	2W
Knicks	51	31	0.622	115.8	111.7	4.1	27-14	24-17	12-4	34-18	6-4	1W
Pacers	50	32	0.61	117.4	115.1	2.3	29-12	21-20	10-6	29-22	8-2	1W
Bucks	48	34	0.585	115.5	113	2.5	28-14	20-20	9-7	31-21	8-2	8W
Pistons	44	38	0.537	115.5	113.6	1.9	22-19	22-19	5-11	29-23	4-6	2L
Magic	41	41	0.5	105.4	105.5	-0.1	22-19	19-22	12-4	31-21	7-3	1L
Hawks	40	42	0.488	118.2	119.3	-1.1	21-19	19-23	10-6	30-22	5-5	3W
Bulls	39	43	0.476	117.8	119.4	-1.6	18-23	21-20	4-12	28-24	7-3	3W
Heat	37	45	0.451	110.6	110	0.6	19-22	18-23	10-6	24-28	6-4	1L
Raptors	30	52	0.366	110.9	115.2	-4.3	18-23	12-29	8-8	21-31	5-5	2L
Nets	26	56	0.317	105.1	112.2	-7.1	12-29	14-27	3-13	14-37	3-7	3L
76ers	24	58	0.293	109.6	115.8	-6.2	12-29	12-29	3-13	15-37	1-9	2L
Hornets	19	63	0.232	105.1	114.2	-9.1	12-29	7-34	1-15	10-42	1-9	7L
Wizards	18	64	0.22	108	120.4	-12.4	8-33	10-31	7-9	13-39	2-8	1W

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	68	14	0.829	120.5	107.6	12.9	36-6	32-8	12-4	39-13	8-2	4W
Rockets	52	30	0.634	114.3	109.8	4.5	29-12	23-18	13-3	31-21	6-4	3L
Lakers	50	32	0.61	113.4	112.2	1.2	31-10	19-22	12-4	36-16	6-4	1L
Nuggets	50	32	0.61	120.8	116.9	3.9	26-15	24-17	8-8	32-20	5-5	3W
Clippers	50	32	0.61	112.9	108.2	4.7	30-11	20-21	9-7	29-23	9-1	8W
Warriors	48	34	0.585	113.8	110.5	3.3	24-17	24-17	5-11	29-23	7-3	1L
Timberwolves	49	33	0.598	114.3	109.3	5	25-16	24-17	11-5	33-19	8-2	3W
Grizzlies	48	34	0.585	121.7	116.9	4.8	26-15	22-19	11-5	27-24	4-6	1W
Kings	40	42	0.488	115.7	115.3	0.4	20-21	20-21	5-11	26-26	5-5	1W
Mavericks	39	43	0.476	114.2	115.4	-1.2	22-18	17-25	8-8	23-29	4-6	1L
Suns	36	46	0.439	113.6	116.6	-3	24-17	12-29	9-7	22-30	1-9	1L
Trail Blazers	36	46	0.439	110.9	113.9	-3	22-19	14-27	6-10	19-33	4-6	1W
Spurs	34	48	0.415	113.9	116.7	-2.8	20-21	14-27	5-11	22-30	3-7	1W
Pelicans	21	61	0.256	109.8	119.3	-9.5	14-27	7-34	3-13	13-38	2-8	7L
Jazz	17	65	0.207	111.9	121.2	-9.3	10-31	7-34	3-13	8-44	1-9	2L

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	68	14	0.829	120.5	107.6	12.9	36-6	32-8	12-4	39-13	8-2	4W
Cavaliers	64	18	0.78	121.9	112.4	9.5	34-7	30-11	12-4	41-11	6-4	1L
Celtics	61	21	0.744	116.3	107.2	9.1	28-13	33-8	14-2	39-13	8-2	2W
Rockets	52	30	0.634	114.3	109.8	4.5	29-12	23-18	13-3	31-21	6-4	3L
Knicks	51	31	0.622	115.8	111.7	4.1	27-14	24-17	12-4	34-18	6-4	1W
Nuggets	50	32	0.61	120.8	116.9	3.9	26-15	24-17	8-8	32-20	5-5	3W
Pacers	50	32	0.61	117.4	115.1	2.3	29-12	21-20	10-6	29-22	8-2	1W
Lakers	50	32	0.61	113.4	112.2	1.2	31-10	19-22	12-4	36-16	6-4	1L
Clippers	50	32	0.61	112.9	108.2	4.7	30-11	20-21	9-7	29-23	9-1	8W
Timberwolves	49	33	0.598	114.3	109.3	5	25-16	24-17	11-5	33-19	8-2	3W
Grizzlies	48	34	0.585	121.7	116.9	4.8	26-15	22-19	11-5	27-24	4-6	1W
Bucks	48	34	0.585	115.5	113	2.5	28-14	20-20	9-7	31-21	8-2	8W
Warriors	48	34	0.585	113.8	110.5	3.3	24-17	24-17	5-11	29-23	7-3	1L
Pistons	44	38	0.537	115.5	113.6	1.9	22-19	22-19	5-11	29-23	4-6	2L
Magic	41	41	0.5	105.4	105.5	-0.1	22-19	19-22	12-4	31-21	7-3	1L
Hawks	40	42	0.488	118.2	119.3	-1.1	21-19	19-23	10-6	30-22	5-5	3W
Kings	40	42	0.488	115.7	115.3	0.4	20-21	20-21	5-11	26-26	5-5	1W
Bulls	39	43	0.476	117.8	119.4	-1.6	18-23	21-20	4-12	28-24	7-3	3W
Mavericks	39	43	0.476	114.2	115.4	-1.2	22-18	17-25	8-8	23-29	4-6	1L
Heat	37	45	0.451	110.6	110	0.6	19-22	18-23	10-6	24-28	6-4	1L
Suns	36	46	0.439	113.6	116.6	-3	24-17	12-29	9-7	22-30	1-9	1L
Trail Blazers	36	46	0.439	110.9	113.9	-3	22-19	14-27	6-10	19-33	4-6	1W
Spurs	34	48	0.415	113.9	116.7	-2.8	20-21	14-27	5-11	22-30	3-7	1W
Raptors	30	52	0.366	110.9	115.2	-4.3	18-23	12-29	8-8	21-31	5-5	2L
Nets	26	56	0.317	105.1	112.2	-7.1	12-29	14-27	3-13	14-37	3-7	3L
76ers	24	58	0.293	109.6	115.8	-6.2	12-29	12-29	3-13	15-37	1-9	2L
Pelicans	21	61	0.256	109.8	119.3	-9.5	14-27	7-34	3-13	13-38	2-8	7L
Hornets	19	63	0.232	105.1	114.2	-9.1	12-29	7-34	1-15	10-42	1-9	7L
Wizards	18	64	0.22	108	120.4	-12.4	8-33	10-31	7-9	13-39	2-8	1W
Jazz	17	65	0.207	111.9	121.2	-9.3	10-31	7-34	3-13	8-44	1-9	2L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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