Will Troy Cover the Line?

No. 14 Troy Trojans (23-10, 13-5 Sun Belt) square off against No. 3 Kentucky Wildcats (22-11, 10-8 SEC) in this Midwest Region first round matchup at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

Troy might not be a complete pushover against Kentucky and we fancy them against the spread. You can get a generous +11.5 and the underdogs are available at 1.87.

Troy Bidding for Another Win

Troy Trojans won their previous game, beating Arkansas State Red Wolves at home. It was a 94-81 win.

Kentucky Wildcats lost on the road in their last game. Alabama Crimson Tide won 99-70.

NCAAB Regular Season	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Troy	23-10	2438	2159	279	13-4	10-6	6W
Kentucky	22-11	2815	2570	245	16-4	6-7	1L

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Expert College Basketball Analysis

The first port of call is to check out the injury report for each team and then scroll through the form guide. We take this information and apply it to the latest available stats to come up with a verdict.

Key Troy vs Kentucky stats:

The +11.5 line has been covered by Troy in all of their last 10 games.
The +11.5 line has been covered by Troy in all of their last 20 games.
The +11.5 line has been covered by Troy in 20 consecutive games.
The -11.5 line hasn’t been covered by Kentucky in 8 of their last 10 games.
The -11.5 line hasn’t been covered by Kentucky in 16 of their last 20 games.
The -11.5 line hasn’t been covered by Kentucky in 3 consecutive games.

Troy vs Kentucky Prediction

Troy might not be heavily beaten in this college contest and that leads us to back the underdogs against the spread. Especially when you can get +11.5 which is available at 1.87.

There are lots of ways to bet on Troy and that includes Winning Margin. Choose from a range of fixed intervals and get rewarded if you’re on the money.

Troy +11.5 Probability

The sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 53.5% likelihood of this pick winning. In the opinion of our analysts, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

Our Pick

Troy +11.5 @ 1.87 Bet Now

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Published 09:52, 21 March 2025

Player Props

Koby Brea Under 11.5 Points 2.01

Koby Brea (Kentucky) is available at 2.01 to total Under 11.5 points. It’s anticipated that he might fall short of the mark and that leads us to an Unders bet.

Latest Koby Brea Player Prop Odds

Points

Rebounds

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Jackson Fields Over 7.5 Points 1.76

Jackson Fields (Troy) can be wagered to total Over 7.5 points at 1.76. We’ve found an opportunity to bet on Player Points where we’re able to back him to cover the line.

Latest Jackson Fields Player Prop Odds

Points

Rebounds

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Troy vs Kentucky Bet Builder Tips

Spread Troy +11.5

Totals Over 151.5

Player Points Koby Brea Under 11.5

Get in the game with a same game parlay. Our picks are Troy to cover the +11.5 spread, Over 151.5 on the total and Koby Brea (Kentucky) to score Under 11.5 points.

A basketball bet builder is an awesome way of cheering on different selections within the same game. You can predict a number of outcomes and get bigger odds than a single wager. The odds can combine to great effect.

Bet Boosts

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Correct Score Prediction

Troy

74 - 83 Kentucky logo

Kentucky

Let’s roll the dice and try Kentucky to achieve a 83-74 winning scoreline. There are huge betting odds for this potential outcome and it’s a fun type of wager to enjoy.

Troy vs Kentucky Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Kentucky Big Favorites With the Books

The sportsbooks are taking no chances with their Moneyline odds of 1.15 about Kentucky which reflects they have a 87% chance of winning this college game. The market suggests that Troy are least likely to win at 5.60.

The current spread is 11.5 and total points is 151.5. There are many ways to bet on basketball including the Totals. If you want to wager Over 151.5, there are odds of 1.93.

Favorites Kentucky are available at odds of 1.36 when it comes to beating the opposition to 20 points. Troy are chalked up at 3.00 to reach this total first.

If you’re planning to place a bet on a college basketball contest, visit the betting sites and check out the many available game lines and team props. Find the lines which are the most attractive.

Betting Lines & Odds

Moneyline

Point Spread

Total Points

Otega Oweh Favorite to Score the Most Baskets

Otega Oweh is the favorite to land the most baskets. You can get 1.97 that he scores Over 17.5 points or 1.80 that he goes Under.

Player Points

Otega Oweh (Kentucky)

Tayton Conerway (Troy)

Myles Rigsby (Troy)

Amari Williams (Kentucky)

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Player Assists

Tayton Conerway (Troy)

Myles Rigsby (Troy)

Marcus Rigsby Jr. (Troy)

Player Rebounds

Amari Williams (Kentucky)

Thomas Dowd (Troy)

Otega Oweh (Kentucky)

Andrew Carr (Kentucky)

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Micro Betting

It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to college basketball and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, consider whether the next shot will be a Two or a Three-pointer.

Best Betting Offers

Last 5 & H2H

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Home
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Last 5 Games

Kentucky

NCAAB: 15/03 Kentucky 70 Alabama99
NCAAB: 14/03 Oklahoma 84 Kentucky85
NCAAB: 08/03 Kentucky 91 Missouri83
NCAAB: 05/03 LSU 64 Kentucky95
NCAAB: 01/03 Auburn 94 Kentucky78

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Troy Stats

Kentucky Stats

Moneyline

8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

+11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in the last 10 games
+11.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

-11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
-11.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

Game Totals: An average of 141.10 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals on the Road: An average of 131.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
Over 151.5: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games
Over 151.5 on the Road: Has not been covered in any of the previous 10 games on the road
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 75.10 pts and allowed 66.00 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 68.90 pts and allowed 62.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

Game Totals: An average of 162.90 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals at Home: An average of 164.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
Over 151.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
Over 151.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 82.00 pts and allowed 80.90 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 85.80 pts and allowed 78.40 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Regular Season Table Select Season

Southeastern	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Florida	30-4	2904	2354	550	22-1	8-3	6W
Auburn	28-5	2767	2297	470	16-3	12-2	1L
Tennessee	27-7	2541	2143	398	20-1	7-6	1L
Alabama	25-8	3007	2687	320	14-4	11-4	1L
Texas A&M	22-10	2378	2174	204	14-6	8-4	1L
Kentucky	22-11	2815	2570	245	16-4	6-7	1L
Ole Miss	22-11	2547	2367	180	16-3	6-8	1L
Missouri	22-11	2787	2437	350	19-3	3-8	1L
Mississippi State	21-12	2632	2447	185	13-6	8-6	1L
Georgia	20-12	2418	2218	200	17-5	3-7	1L
Vanderbilt	20-12	2548	2393	155	15-5	5-7	3L
Arkansas	20-13	2528	2348	180	14-4	6-9	1L
Oklahoma	20-13	2602	2470	132	13-5	7-8	1L
Texas	19-15	2667	2456	211	11-7	8-8	1L
LSU	14-18	2363	2355	8	12-8	2-10	6L
South Carolina	12-20	2233	2286	-53	10-9	2-11	3L

Sun Belt	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Arkansas State	24-10	2692	2385	307	14-4	10-6	1L
Troy	23-10	2438	2159	279	13-4	10-6	6W
South Alabama	21-11	2332	2066	266	13-5	8-6	1L
James Madison	20-12	2365	2256	109	13-3	7-9	2L
Marshall	20-13	2499	2366	133	15-3	5-10	1L
Appalachian State	17-14	2102	1970	132	12-5	5-9	4L
Georgia Southern	17-16	2449	2505	-56	13-3	4-13	1L
Texas State	16-16	2439	2346	93	11-6	5-10	1L
Old Dominion	15-20	2376	2502	-126	8-11	7-9	1L
Georgia State	14-19	2479	2583	-104	11-7	3-12	1L
Louisiana	12-21	2159	2410	-251	6-13	6-8	1L
Southern Miss	11-22	2352	2507	-155	10-7	1-15	1L
Coastal Carolina	10-22	2136	2275	-139	7-8	3-14	2L
UL Monroe	7-25	2205	2417	-212	5-12	2-13	5L