Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory Prediction, Lineups & Odds

Adelaide United FC

Melbourne Victory FC
United Should Prove Too Strong
Adelaide look like the real deal against Melbourne Victory and we’re happy to take the 1.92 about them on the Asian Handicap -0.25. We get half our money back if the game ends level.
Victory Overcame United in Last Meeting
Adelaide United have won two on the spin, triumphing 2-1 in their previous game. This was away to Wellington Phoenix at Sky Stadium. Carl Veart's side had 50% possession and six shots on target, while Matthew Sheridan (own goal) and Luka Jovanovic scored one goal each.
Melbourne Victory lost when they were last in action. In a home game at AAMI Park, they were turned over 4-3 by Western United. The Boys in Blue recorded 51% possession and managed six shots on goal, with Brendan Hamill, Bruno Fornaroli and Clarismario Rodrigus on the scoresheet.
It has been three successive wins for Melbourne when playing Adelaide. In their last encounter, it was a 1-0 FFA Cup home victory for Melbourne. The past 10 H2H meetings have resulted in five Melbourne wins, four draws and one Adelaide victory.
A-League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | ![]() |
25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 43:35 | 42 |
6 | ![]() |
26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 53:55 | 38 |
7 wins, 1 loss and 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals from 13.5 attempts and 5.9 shots on goal. United have had 52.8% possession and 6.0 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.6 goals from 11.7 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 4.2 corners.
Top scorer Archie Goodwin has found the net 5 times, with Zach Clough and Stefan Mauk getting 4 apiece. Zach Clough is the leading assists maker with 5.
Melbourne Victory – Last 10 League GamesVictory have 4 victories, 3 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 5.5 shots on goal, 11.8 attempts and 1.5 goals. Arthur Diles' team average 52.4% possession, 6.4 corners awarded and 5.2 corners against, while 1.3 goals have been conceded from 7.3 attempts and 4.0 shots on goal.
The top scorers have been Bruno Fornaroli, Roderick Miranda and Zinedine Machach, with 2 goals apiece. Zinedine Machach has had 3 assists in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Adelaide United confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Ethan Cox (GK), Dylan Pierias, Bart Vriends, Panagiotis Kikianis, Ryan Kitto, Jay Barnett, Ethan Alagich, Zach Clough, Stefan Mauk, Ben Folami, Archie Goodwin.
Melbourne Victory confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Jack Duncan (GK), Joshua Rawlins, Brendan Hamill, Roderick Miranda, Kasey Bos, Ryan Teague, Jordi Valadon, Clarismario Rodrigus, Zinedine Machach, Daniel Arzani, Bruno Fornaroli.
Expert A-League Analysis
We’re always monitoring the team news. Combined with the latest form, this helps us secure the best value. Our football experts also take a data-led approach, with the key numbers proving useful.
Key Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory league stats:
Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory Prediction
The best betting angle could be Adelaide -0.25 on the Asian Handicap. Take the 1.92 for the home team to win this A-League game, with a strong argument in favour of a triumph.
In the hunt for tastier odds, you might be interested to know that you can move the line. There’s an increasing amount of juice according to how far you are prepared to go.
United -0.25 Probability
The bookies are estimating that there is a 52.1% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, we think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.
Our Pick
Adelaide Asian Hcp -0.25 @ 1.92
Correct Score Prediction
A 2-1 win in favor of Adelaide is available at odds of 8.50. Correct score betting can be rewarding and you can also get plenty of entertainment with this option.
Latest Correct Score Odds
Corners Prediction
Adelaide have had under 6.5 corners in three consecutive home games, while the previous 10 Melbourne Victory matches have seen them concede an average of 5.20 corners. We’re going to bet on Adelaide to fall short for Team Corners and this selection is available at 1.80.
Corner Stats


Latest Corner Odds




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Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory Odds
The bookies betting odds have Adelaide United as 1.95 favourites for this A-League clash, implying that they are 51% likely to win the match. Melbourne Victory are the 3.50 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.
Over 2.5 Goals is trading at a shorter price than Under 2.5 Goals right now. Should you expect both teams score, then the BTTS Yes option is available at 1.44
The Draw No Bet market is popular for A-League matches, with the football betting sites offering Adelaide United at 1.44 and Melbourne Victory are priced at 2.63 for the win.
-
Full Time Result
1
1.95
X
3.80
2
3.50
-
Half Time Result
1
2.50
X
2.50
2
3.60
-
Double Chance
1X
1.29
12
1.25
X2
1.80
-
Both Teams to Score
Yes
1.44
No
2.63
-
Draw No Bet
1
1.44
2
2.63
-
Asian Handicap
1 Hcp -0.5
2.03
2 Hcp +0.5
1.87
-
Total Goals
Under 2.5
2.75
Over 2.5
1.44
-
Total Corners
Under 11.5
2.00
Over 11.5
1.73
Best Betting Offers
Adelaide
Head to Head
Adelaide vs Melbourne Victory
- FFA Cup: 21/09 2024 Melbourne Victory 1 Adelaide 0
- A-League: 09/03 2024 Adelaide 1 Melbourne Victory 2
- A-League: 30/12 2023 Melbourne Victory 2 Adelaide 0
- A-League: 04/11 2023 Melbourne Victory 1 Adelaide 1
- A-League: 26/02 2023 Melbourne Victory 1 Adelaide 1
- A-League: 14/01 2023 Adelaide 1 Melbourne Victory 1
- A-League: 11/11 2022 Adelaide 3 Melbourne Victory 0
- A-League: 02/04 2022 Adelaide 0 Melbourne Victory 1
- A-League: 08/01 2022 Melbourne Victory 1 Adelaide 1
- FFA Cup: 05/01 2022 Adelaide 1 Melbourne Victory 2
Team Stats
Adelaide United Stats
Melbourne Victory Stats
Full time Result
- 7 wins, 1 defeats and 2 draws in previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in previous 10 home matches
Full time Results
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in previous 10 away matches
Goals
- An average of 2.50 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 4.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 10 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 home matches
Goals
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
Corners
- An average of 6.00 corners awarded and 4.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.00 corners awarded and 4.50 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.50 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
Corners
- An average of 6.40 corners awarded and 5.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 6.20 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 11.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.60 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches
Possession
- An average of 52.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 53.80% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
Possession
- An average of 52.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 46.60% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 away matches
Team News
If you’re wanting the latest Adelaide vs Victory team news, then you’ve come to the right place. Get the best information.
Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory Lineups
Adelaide United Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Melbourne Victory Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Adelaide United Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Melbourne Victory Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Adelaide United Substitutes
- 1James Delianov
- 8Isaias
- 9Luka Jovanovic
- 12Jonny Yull
- 19Yaya Dukuly
- 42Austin Ayoubi
- 44Ryan White
Melbourne Victory Substitutes
- 1Mitchell Langerak
- 3Adama Traore
- 9Nikolaos Vergos
- 16Joshua Inserra
- 17Nishan Velupillay
- 18Fabian Monge
- 19Jing Reec
Previous Adelaide United Lineups
Previous Melbourne Victory Lineups
A-League Table
2024/2025 Season
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Auckland | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 47:23 | 53 |
2 | Melb City | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 36:24 | 45 |
3 | Western United | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 51:35 | 44 |
4 | Western Sydney | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 55:39 | 43 |
5 | Melb Victory | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 43:35 | 42 |
6 | Adelaide United | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 53:55 | 38 |
7 | Sydney FC | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 52:41 | 37 |
8 | Macarthur | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 49:42 | 33 |
9 | Newcastle Jets | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 42:43 | 29 |
10 | Central Coast | 25 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 28:49 | 26 |
11 | Wellington | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 27:41 | 24 |
12 | Brisbane Roar | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 30:50 | 18 |
13 | Perth Glory | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20:56 | 14 |
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Auckland | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 26:14 | 28 |
2 | Melb Victory | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 25:15 | 24 |
3 | Melb City | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 15:10 | 23 |
4 | Sydney FC | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 36:25 | 21 |
5 | Western United | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19:12 | 21 |
6 | Western Sydney | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 31:23 | 20 |
7 | Adelaide United | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 27:27 | 17 |
8 | Newcastle Jets | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 22:22 | 12 |
9 | Wellington | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11:15 | 11 |
10 | Central Coast | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:25 | 11 |
11 | Macarthur | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21:22 | 10 |
12 | Brisbane Roar | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12:26 | 8 |
13 | Perth Glory | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11:29 | 8 |
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