Atlas vs Toluca Prediction, Lineups & Odds
Goals the Play in Atlas vs Toluca
Betting Over 2.5 in the Total Goals market at 1.67 looks to be the way forward based on the available stats. We anticipate three goals or more to be recorded in the contest between Atlas and Toluca.
4-1 Toluca Triumph in Previous H2H
Atlas played Juárez at home in their last game. It was a 1-1 draw at Estadio Jalisco. Los Rojinegros had 46% possession and totalled two shots on target, with Matias Coccaro being the goalscorer.
Deportivo Toluca have won their previous four games. The latest was a 2-1 home win at Estadio Nemesio Diez against Santos Laguna. Antonio Mohamed's side enjoyed 54% possession and managed six shots on goal, with Paulinho and Marcel Ruiz finding the net.
Toluca have claimed consecutive victories over Atlas, winning by 4-1 and 4-1 scorelines when hosting at Estadio Nemesio Diez. The past 10 H2H games have featured four triumphs for Toluca, two for Atlas and four draws.
Liga MX | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | ![]() |
17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 41:22 | 37 |
14 | ![]() |
17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 32 | -7 | 25:32 | 18 |
3 wins, 5 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 10.2 attempts. Atlas have had 46.1% possession and 5.3 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 2.1 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 10.5 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 4.3 corners.
Top scorer Uros Djurdjevic has found the net 9 times, with Matias Coccaro, Eduardo Aguirre, Matheus Doria and Matheus Doria getting 1 goals each. Rivaldo Lozano is the top assists maker with 2.
Toluca – Last 10 League GamesDeportivo Toluca have 8 victories, 1 defeat and 1 draw, averaging 7.5 shots on goal, 13.3 attempts and 2.8 goals. Los Diablos Rojos average 59.9% possession, 5.1 corners taken and 3.5 corners against them, while 1.2 goals have been conceded from 8.0 attempts and 3.1 shots on goal.
Paulinho is the leading goalscorer with 8, Alexis Vega has 7, with Jesus Angulo and Robert Morales getting 3. Jesus Gallardo, Alexis Vega and Marcel Ruiz have managed 4 assists in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Atlas confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Camilo Vargas (GK), Carlos Orrantia, Martin Hugo Nervo, Matheus Doria, Gaddi Aguirre, Diego Gonzalez, Jeremy Marquez, Aldo Rocha, Rivaldo Lozano, Uros Djurdjevic, Eduardo Aguirre.
Toluca confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Luis Garcia (GK), Bruno Mendez, Federico Pereira, Everardo Del Villar, Isaias Violante, Marcel Ruiz, Hector Herrera, Juan Dominguez, Jesus Angulo, Alexis Vega, Paulinho.
Expert Liga MX Analysis
We’re always monitoring the team news. Combined with the latest form, this helps us secure the best value. Our football experts also take a data-led approach, with the key numbers proving useful.
Key Atlas vs Toluca league stats:
Atlas vs Toluca Prediction
The latest stats suggest that we’ll see a number of goals being scored during this Liga MX clash. If you agree with this verdict, you can secure a price of 1.67 when it comes to betting on Over 2.5 Goals.
There’s a chance to back selections at larger odds, with bettors able to combine the Over 2.5 Goals pick with BTTS Yes on the Total Goals & Both Teams to Score market.
Over 2.5 Probability
The betting sites are estimating that there is a 60% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Based on our experts research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 70%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.
Our Pick
Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.67
Correct Score Prediction
There could be merit in backing Toluca to win 2-1. Odds of 8.00 are available about a correct score bet where a nice potential return is on the cards.
Latest Correct Score Odds
Corners Prediction
It’s been under 5.5 corners for Toluca in 8 of their past 10 away matches, while Atlas have conceded less than 5.5 corners in five straight home games. There is value when it comes to going under the Toluca Team Corners line and this is available at 1.67.
Corner Stats


Latest Corner Odds




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Atlas vs Toluca Odds
With a 49% chance of winning, Deportivo Toluca are favourites to win this Liga MX match and they’re available at betting odds of 2.05 with the bookies. For those wanting to back Atlas, you will find 3.40 about this outsider.
A high-scoring match is a possibility and that is reflected in the Over 2.5 Goals odds. An alternative angle is a Both Teams to Score bet and Yes has been chalked up at 1.57.
You can back Atlas at 2.50 on the Draw No Bet market, with money back if the game is a draw. Deportivo Toluca are 1.50 with the football betting sites to win this Liga MX game.







Best Betting Offers
Atlas
Head to Head
Atlas vs Toluca
- Liga MX: 29/09 2024 Toluca 4 Atlas 1
- Liga MX: 07/04 2024 Toluca 4 Atlas 1
- Liga MX: 27/08 2023 Atlas 0 Toluca 0
- Liga MX: 02/02 2023 Atlas 0 Toluca 0
- Liga MX: 10/07 2022 Toluca 3 Atlas 2
- Liga MX: 24/04 2022 Toluca 2 Atlas 4
- Liga MX: 22/08 2021 Atlas 0 Toluca 0
- Liga MX: 28/02 2021 Toluca 0 Atlas 0
- Liga MX: 14/08 2020 Atlas 1 Toluca 2
- Liga MX: 15/03 2020 Toluca 2 Atlas 3
Team Stats
Atlas League Stats
Toluca League Stats
Full-Time Result
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 3 defeats and 5 draws in previous 10 home matches
Full-Time Result
- 8 wins, 1 defeats and 1 draws in previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in previous 10 away matches
Goals
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 2.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
Goals
- An average of 2.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.60 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
Corners
- An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 4.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 4.60 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
Corners
- An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 3.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.20 corners awarded and 3.20 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.40 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
Possession
- An average of 46.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 45.90% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 home matches
Possession
- An average of 59.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 54.10% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 10 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 away matches
Team News
It’s good to know about any injuries and this is reflected in our Atlas vs Toluca team news, with this leading to predicted and confirmed lineups.
We’re on hand to provide you with full details of the latest Liga MX squads.
Atlas vs Toluca Lineups
Atlas Confirmed Lineup 3-5-2
Deportivo Toluca Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Atlas Confirmed Lineup 3-5-2
Deportivo Toluca Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Atlas Substitutes
- 1Jose Hernandez
- 3Idekel Dominguez
- 4Adrian Mora
- 7Matias Coccaro
- 10Gustavo Del Prete
- 21Carlos Robles
- 185Victor Rios
- 192Jesus Serrato
- 209Jorge Guzman
- 216Paulo Barbosa
Deportivo Toluca Substitutes
- 2Diego Barbosa
- 11Helio Junio
- 13Luan Garcia
- 17Brian Garcia
- 18Pau Lopez
- 19Ivan Lopez
- 20Jesus Gallardo
- 24Frankie Amaya
- 31Robert Morales
- 198Victor Arteaga
Previous Atlas Lineups
Previous Toluca Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Atlas Injury Table
Toluca Injury Table
Liga MX Table
2024/2025 Season
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Toluca | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 41:22 | 37 |
2 | América | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 34:10 | 34 |
3 | Cruz Azul | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 26:16 | 33 |
4 | Tigres | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 24:14 | 33 |
5 | Necaxa | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 36:29 | 31 |
6 | León | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 24:21 | 30 |
7 | Monterrey | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 32:23 | 28 |
8 | Pachuca | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:23 | 28 |
9 | Juárez | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 16:21 | 24 |
10 | Pumas | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 23:26 | 21 |
11 | Guadalajara | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:21 | 21 |
12 | Querétaro | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 17:24 | 20 |
13 | Tijuana | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 29:35 | 19 |
14 | Atlas | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 25:32 | 18 |
15 | San Luis | 17 | 6 | 0 | 11 | 20:33 | 18 |
16 | Mazatlán | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16:26 | 17 |
17 | Puebla | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12:25 | 9 |
18 | Santos Laguna | 17 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 15:36 | 7 |
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Tigres | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 18:6 | 24 |
2 | Toluca | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 21:9 | 20 |
3 | América | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 22:5 | 18 |
4 | Cruz Azul | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | 18 |
5 | Pachuca | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13:7 | 18 |
6 | Monterrey | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16:10 | 16 |
7 | León | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 16 |
8 | Guadalajara | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 15 |
9 | Necaxa | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 18:16 | 15 |
10 | Juárez | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:12 | 15 |
11 | Querétaro | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11:11 | 13 |
12 | Mazatlán | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:11 | 13 |
13 | Pumas | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:8 | 12 |
14 | San Luis | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12:15 | 12 |
15 | Tijuana | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 17:19 | 9 |
16 | Atlas | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15:20 | 9 |
17 | Santos Laguna | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:17 | 6 |
18 | Puebla | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:12 | 4 |
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