Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid Prediction, Lineups & Odds

By Peter Morris, Senior Football Analyst | Published: 1 month ago | Last Updated: Mar 13, 02:00 | 4 min read

Atlético Madrid

Football UEFA Champions League Riyadh Air Metropolitano Thu 13 Mar 03:00

Real Madrid CF

  1. Prediction
  2. Odds
  3. Stats
  4. Team News
  5. Lineups
  6. Injuries
  7. Squads
  8. Table

Expect Goals in Atléti vs Real

There’s a Madrid derby when Atléti and Real clash in the second leg of this Champions League round of 16 tie at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu. Real won the first leg 2-1.

Our prediction is to bet on Over 2.5 Goals. This means we need Atléti and Real to score three or more goals combined, with this available at 1.73.

Match Preview & H2H

Atlético Madrid played Getafe away in their last match. The scoreline was a 2-1 loss in the La Liga encounter at Coliseum, with Alexander Soerloth finding the net for Los Colchoneros. Atléti enjoyed 61% possession and had shots two shots on target.

Real Madrid beat Rayo Vallecano 2-1 at home in their previous game. Carlo Ancelotti's team had 46% possession and four shots on target in the La Liga clash, with Kylian Mbappe and Vinicius Junior on the scoresheet at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Real secured a 2-1 home victory in the first leg against Atléti, with Real having 52% possession and winning the shots on target 7-2.

Real have avoided defeat against Atléti in the past four meetings. The past 10 H2H matches have featured four draws and three wins for each team.

Atlético Madrid – Last 10 League Games

Atléti have 5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 11.5 attempts. Diego Simeone's side have averaged 50.3% possession, 495.2 passes and 4.4 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 0.7 goals from 3.4 shots on goal, 12.8 attempts and 4.9 corners.

Top goalscorer Julian Alvarez has found the net 5 times, with Alexander Soerloth and Samuel Dias Lino scoring 3 and 2 respectively. Leading assistor is Giuliano Simeone with 2, while goalie Jan Oblak has recorded 4 clean sheets.

Real Madrid – Last 10 League Games

Real have 6 victories, 2 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 6.2 shots on goal, 18.2 attempts and 2.0 goals. Los Merengues average 61.1% possession, 611.2 passes, 5.9 corners taken and 3.9 corners against them, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 9.7 attempts and 3.2 shots on goal.

Kylian Mbappe got 9 goals, Brahim Diaz notched 3, while Vinicius Junior and two other players scored 2. Rodrygo has clocked up 3 assists, with Thibaut Courtois keeping 2 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Atlético Madrid confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Jan Oblak (GK), Marcos Llorente, Jose Gimenez, Clement Lenglet, Reinildo, Giuliano Simeone, Rodrigo De Paul, Pablo Barrios, Conor Gallagher, Antoine Griezmann, Julian Alvarez.

Real Madrid confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Thibaut Courtois (GK), Federico Valverde, Raul Asencio, Antonio Ruediger, Ferland Mendy, Luka Modric, Aurelien Tchouameni, Rodrygo, Jude Bellingham, Vinicius Junior, Kylian Mbappe.

View All Team News

Expert Champions League Analysis

Team news plays a valuable role and we’re always monitoring the players who have an injury concern. We’ve also got a handle on the form guide, with plenty of data provided which puts you in the picture in terms of stats.

Key Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid stats:

  • Atléti have scored 2 or more goals in 10 of their past 20 matches
  • Real have scored 2 or more goals in 15 of their past 20 matches
  • In 15 of the last 20 Real matches, there have been Over 2.5 Goals

Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid Prediction

Head to the Total Goals betting market and back our prediction about Over 2.5 Goals. We’re expecting this Champions League clash to be high-scoring and you can get odds of 1.73.

If you have a preference for a particular team to win, you can combine this with Over 2.5 Goals and get bigger odds.

Our Pick

Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.73 Bet Now Bet365 logo
Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.
Published 08:25, 11 March 2025

Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid Odds

The draw is currently trading at 3.50 if you think this Champions League match will end all square, while Atlético Madrid have betting odds of 2.50 and Real Madrid are 2.70 with the bookies to land a victory of their own.

Over 2.5 Goals is the market leader and that means three or more goals are predicted. The Yes option in the Both Teams to Score market is regarded as the most likely outcome and is trading at 1.57.

If you’re betting on Champions League games, we recommend heading to the best football betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of markets. There’s a chance to bet pre-match and In-Play.

Best Betting Offers

Team Stats

Latest Champions League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Atlético Madrid logo Atlético Madrid Betting Stats

Real Madrid logo Real Madrid Betting Stats

Full time Result

  • 14 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in previous 20 matches
  • 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in previous 10 home matches

Full time Results

  • 14 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in previous 20 matches
  • 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in previous 10 away matches

Goals

Goals

Atlético Madrid

Real Madrid

Goals / match
2 1.6
Conceded / match
1.6 0.8
Total / match
3.6 2.4

Corners

Corners

Atlético Madrid

Real Madrid

For / match
3.2 6.2
Against / match
5.4 6.2
Total / match
8.6 12.4

Possession

Possession

Top Scorers & Assists

Top Scorers & Assists

Team News

If you’re looking for Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid team news, then we have predicted and confirmed lineups available along with details of any injuries on both sides.

We’ve got details of the Champions League squads so that you know every player on the roster.

Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid Lineups

Atlético Madrid Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2

Real Madrid Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1

Atlético Madrid Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2

13 Jan Oblak
14 Marcos Llorente 2 Jose Gimenez 15 Clement Lenglet 23 Reinildo
22 Giuliano Simeone 5 Rodrigo De Paul 8 Pablo Barrios 4 Conor Gallagher
7 Antoine Griezmann 19 Julian Alvarez
1 Thibaut Courtois
8 Federico Valverde 35 Raul Asencio 22 Antonio Ruediger 23 Ferland Mendy
10 Luka Modric 14 Aurelien Tchouameni
11 Rodrygo 5 Jude Bellingham 7 Vinicius Junior
9 Kylian Mbappe

Real Madrid Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1

Atlético Madrid Substitutes

  • 1Juan Musso
  • 3Cesar Azpilicueta
  • 9Alexander Soerloth
  • 10Angel Correa
  • 11Thomas Lemar
  • 12Samuel Dias Lino
  • 16Nahuel Molina
  • 17Rodrigo Riquelme
  • 20Axel Witsel
  • 24Robin Le Normand
  • 27Ilias Kostis

Real Madrid Substitutes

  • 4David Alaba
  • 6Eduardo Camavinga
  • 13Andriy Lunin
  • 15Arda Guler
  • 16Endrick
  • 17Lucas Vazquez
  • 20Francisco Garcia
  • 21Brahim Diaz
  • 26Fran Gonzalez
  • 30Gonzalo Garcia
  • 31Jacobo Ramon
  • 36Chema Andres

Previous Atlético Madrid Lineups

09 Mar La Liga
Getafe 2-1 Atlético Madrid
05 Mar Champions League
Real Madrid 2-1 Atlético Madrid
02 Mar La Liga
Atlético Madrid 1-0 Athletic Club

Previous Real Madrid Lineups

09 Mar La Liga
Real Madrid 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
05 Mar Champions League
Real Madrid 2-1 Atlético Madrid
02 Mar La Liga
Real Betis 2-1 Real Madrid

We aim to bring you predicted lineups before the confirmed teams are announced. Get formations and substitutes as part of our Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid lineups service.

Injuries & Suspensions

Atlético Madrid Injury Table

Type Name Info
No players are currently reported injured or suspended.
Koke Muscle injury

Real Madrid Injury Table

Type Name Info
No players are currently reported injured or suspended.
Éder Militão ACL injury

Team Squads

Atlético Madrid Squad

Real Madrid Squad

Get the lowdown on player injuries and suspensions thanks to our injury news section. We have a list of players currently unavailable for their teams.

Squad information is available for every team so you can identify all the players.

UEFA FlagTables & Standings

Champions League

# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Liverpool 8 7 0 1 17:5 21
2 Barcelona 8 6 1 1 28:13 19
3 Arsenal 8 6 1 1 16:3 19
4 Inter Milan 8 6 1 1 11:1 19
5 Atlético Madrid 8 6 0 2 20:12 18
6 Leverkusen 8 5 1 2 15:7 16
7 Lille 8 5 1 2 17:10 16
8 Aston Villa 8 5 1 2 13:6 16
9 Atalanta 8 4 3 1 20:6 15
10 Dortmund 8 5 0 3 22:12 15
11 Real Madrid 8 5 0 3 20:12 15
12 Bayern Munich 8 5 0 3 20:12 15
13 AC Milan 8 5 0 3 14:11 15
14 PSV 8 4 2 2 16:12 14
15 PSG 8 4 1 3 14:9 13
16 Benfica 8 4 1 3 16:12 13
17 Monaco 8 4 1 3 13:13 13
18 Brest 8 4 1 3 10:11 13
19 Feyenoord 8 4 1 3 18:21 13
20 Juventus 8 3 3 2 9:7 12
21 Celtic 8 3 3 2 13:14 12
22 Man City 8 3 2 3 18:14 11
23 Sporting 8 3 2 3 13:12 11
24 Club Brugge 8 3 2 3 7:11 11
25 Dinamo Zagreb 8 3 2 3 12:19 11
26 Stuttgart 8 3 1 4 13:17 10
27 Sh. Donetsk 8 2 1 5 8:16 7
28 Bologna 8 1 3 4 4:9 6
29 Crvena Zvezda 8 2 0 6 13:22 6
30 Sturm Graz 8 2 0 6 5:14 6
31 Sparta Prague 8 1 1 6 7:21 4
32 RB Leipzig 8 1 0 7 8:15 3
33 Girona 8 1 0 7 5:13 3
34 RB Salzburg 8 1 0 7 5:27 3
35 Slovan Bratislava 8 0 0 8 7:27 0
36 Young Boys 8 0 0 8 3:24 0
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Bayern Munich 4 4 0 0 14:3 12
2 Liverpool 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
3 Arsenal 4 4 0 0 9:0 12
4 Inter Milan 4 4 0 0 9:0 12
5 Leverkusen 4 4 0 0 9:0 12
6 Barcelona 4 3 1 0 14:3 10
7 Lille 4 3 1 0 11:4 10
8 Celtic 4 3 1 0 10:3 10
9 PSV 4 3 1 0 11:5 10
10 Aston Villa 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
11 Dortmund 4 3 0 1 13:5 9
12 Real Madrid 4 3 0 1 14:7 9
13 Monaco 4 3 0 1 10:5 9
14 Atlético Madrid 4 3 0 1 8:6 9
15 AC Milan 4 3 0 1 7:5 9
16 Man City 4 2 2 0 11:4 8
17 PSG 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
18 Sporting 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
19 Brest 4 2 1 1 4:5 7
20 Club Brugge 4 2 1 1 3:4 7
21 Juventus 4 2 0 2 5:4 6
22 Feyenoord 4 2 0 2 8:9 6
23 Sturm Graz 4 2 0 2 2:3 6
24 Sh. Donetsk 4 2 0 2 5:9 6
25 Atalanta 4 1 2 1 7:3 5
26 Dinamo Zagreb 4 1 2 1 4:6 5
27 Benfica 4 1 1 2 9:8 4
28 Stuttgart 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
29 Bologna 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
30 Crvena Zvezda 4 1 0 3 10:11 3
31 Girona 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
32 RB Leipzig 4 1 0 3 6:8 3
33 Sparta Prague 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
34 Slovan Bratislava 4 0 0 4 4:14 0
35 Young Boys 4 0 0 4 1:11 0
36 RB Salzburg 4 0 0 4 1:13 0

2024/2025 Season

# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Barcelona 33 24 4 5 89:32 76
2 Real Madrid 33 22 6 5 66:31 72
3 Atlético Madrid 33 19 9 5 56:27 66
4 Athletic Club 33 16 12 5 50:26 60
5 Real Betis 33 15 9 9 50:41 54
6 Villarreal 32 14 10 8 55:45 52
7 Celta Vigo 33 13 7 13 50:49 46
8 Osasuna 33 10 14 9 40:46 44
9 Mallorca 33 12 8 13 31:38 44
10 Real Sociedad 33 12 6 15 32:37 42
11 Rayo Vallecano 33 10 11 12 35:42 41
12 Getafe 33 10 9 14 31:30 39
13 Espanyol 32 10 9 13 35:41 39
14 Valencia 33 9 12 12 37:49 39
15 Sevilla 33 9 10 14 35:44 37
16 Girona 33 9 8 16 40:52 35
17 Alavés 33 8 10 15 35:46 34
18 Las Palmas 33 8 8 17 38:53 32
19 Leganés 33 6 12 15 30:49 30
20 Real Valladolid 33 4 4 25 24:81 16
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Barcelona 17 13 1 3 46:14 40
2 Real Madrid 16 13 1 2 38:16 40
3 Atlético Madrid 17 12 4 1 34:14 40
4 Athletic Club 17 10 6 1 31:10 36
5 Celta Vigo 17 10 3 4 28:17 33
6 Real Betis 17 9 5 3 30:19 32
7 Osasuna 17 8 6 3 29:23 30
8 Valencia 17 8 4 5 23:19 28
9 Espanyol 16 7 6 3 20:16 27
10 Mallorca 17 6 6 5 17:18 24
11 Real Sociedad 16 7 2 7 17:17 23
12 Villarreal 15 5 7 3 31:23 22
13 Girona 16 6 3 7 26:25 21
14 Rayo Vallecano 16 5 6 5 21:24 21
15 Sevilla 16 5 5 6 14:19 20
16 Getafe 17 4 7 6 14:15 19
17 Alavés 16 5 4 7 12:16 19
18 Leganés 17 5 4 8 17:25 19
19 Las Palmas 16 4 5 7 19:24 17
20 Real Valladolid 16 3 4 9 10:28 13

The updated Champions League standings highlight the performance of each football team. See where the sides are ranked according to points earned so far.

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