Atlético Mineiro vs São Paulo Prediction, Lineups & Odds
Galo Could Prove Too Strong
Atlético Mineiro can deliver the goods when it comes to Full-Time Result betting and we’ll back them with confidence against São Paulo. The odds of 1.95 look attractive when it comes to the home team.
2-2 Draw in Previous H2H Meeting
Atlético Mineiro were defeated in their last Série A game. Away from home, they suffered a 2-1 loss against Grêmio. Galo had seven shots on target and enjoyed 66% possession, while Rony registered the goal.
On Tuesday night, Atlético played out a goalless draw away to Peruvian Liga 1 side Cienciano in the Copa Sudamericana.
São Paulo drew their previous league game which was at home. The action ended 0-0 against Sport Recife. Luis Zubeldia's team dominated possession with 64% of the ball and had three shots on goal.
Last time out, São Paulo won 1-0 when visiting Argentine Primera División side Talleres in the Copa Libertadores.
Atlético are unbeaten in the past ten matches against São Paulo, with the last encounter ending in a 2-2 draw. The 10 most recent H2H games have included five Atlético victories along with five draws.
Serie A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | ![]() |
6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6:5 | 8 |
17 | ![]() |
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6:8 | 6 |
1 win, 6 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.7 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 8.3 attempts. Atlético have had 53.2% possession and 4.9 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.4 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 10.8 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 4.7 corners.
Eduardo Vargas and Paulinho are the top scorers with 2 goals each, while Rony has 1. Gustavo Scarpa, Eduardo Vargas and Hulk are the leading assists makers with 1.
São Paulo – Last 10 League GamesSão Paulo have won 3, lost 3 and drawn 4, with an average of 1.5 goals from 2.9 shots on goal and 8.2 attempts. There’s been an average of 59.6% possession, 5.1 corners taken and 4.6 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.1 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 9.3 attempts.
Lucas Moura is the leading goalscorer with 4, Luciano Neves has 3, with Luiz Gustavo and Andre getting 2. Lucas Moura, Wellington Rato and Jonathan Calleri have been the top assists providers with 2 in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Atlético Mineiro confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Everson (GK), Natanael, Lyanco, Junior Alonso, Guilherme Arana, Gustavo Scarpa, Alan Franco, Gabriel Menino, Rony, Hulk, Tomas Cuello.
São Paulo confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Rafael (GK), Nahuel Ferraresi, Robert Arboleda, Alan Franco, Wendell, Alisson, Marcos Antonio, Cedric Soares, Luciano Neves, Ferreira, Andre.
Expert Serie A Analysis
The latest team news and current form are always useful information when it comes to providing football tips. It’s also important to pay attention to the available stats so that we make the best predictions.
Key Atlético Mineiro vs São Paulo league stats:
Atlético Mineiro vs São Paulo Prediction
Atlético Mineiro look a great bet for this Serie A game as we’re expecting them to win. You can get odds of 1.95 that the home team claim a victory and this looks like a value wager based on the latest stats and team news.
Those who are looking for bigger odds when backing Atlético should consider the Asian Handicap. Place a wager on them to cover the line that makes the most appeal.
Atlético to Win Probability
According to the odds, there’s a 51.3% likelihood of our pick winning. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.
Our Pick
Atlético MG To Win @ 1.95
Correct Score Prediction
Atlético are available at 4.90 to secure a 1-0 victory. Many bettors enjoy a correct score wager and there are some nice potential returns to be had.
Latest Correct Score Odds
Corners Prediction
Atlético Mineiro have had the most corners in four straight games. We think that the value can be found by backing Atlético to win the Corner Match Bet and you can get attractive odds of 1.67.
Corner Stats


Latest Corner Odds




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Atlético Mineiro vs São Paulo Odds
Atlético Mineiro are regarded as having a 51% chance of winning this Serie A match according to the bookies’ latest betting odds who have priced them up at 1.95. São Paulo are regarded as the least likely winner at 4.50.
Under 2.5 Goals is a short-priced option for those customers expecting two goals or less. If you think this points to a low-scoring or one-sided affair, then BTTS No could be an option at 1.50.
The good news is that you can access hundreds of markets for any Serie A match. All the leading football betting sites have a massive range of pre-match and In-Play betting options.
-
Full Time Result
1
1.95
X
3.10
2
4.50
-
Half Time Result
1
2.75
X
1.83
2
5.50
-
Double Chance
1X
1.18
12
1.36
X2
1.80
-
Both Teams to Score
Yes
2.50
No
1.50
-
Draw No Bet
1
1.36
2
3.00
-
Asian Handicap
1 Hcp -0.5
2.01
2 Hcp +0.5
1.89
-
Total Goals
Under 2.5
1.40
Over 2.5
2.88
-
Total Corners
Under 9.5
1.83
Over 9.5
1.83
Best Betting Offers
Atlético MG
Head to Head
Atlético MG vs São Paulo
- Serie A: 24/11 2024 São Paulo 2 Atlético MG 2
- Copa do Brasil: 13/09 2024 Atlético MG 0 São Paulo 0
- Copa do Brasil: 29/08 2024 São Paulo 0 Atlético MG 1
- Serie A: 12/07 2024 Atlético MG 2 São Paulo 1
- Serie A: 03/12 2023 Atlético MG 2 São Paulo 1
- Serie A: 06/08 2023 São Paulo 0 Atlético MG 2
- Serie A: 02/11 2022 São Paulo 2 Atlético MG 2
- Serie A: 10/07 2022 Atlético MG 0 São Paulo 0
- Serie A: 26/09 2021 São Paulo 0 Atlético MG 0
- Serie A: 13/06 2021 Atlético MG 1 São Paulo 0
Team Stats
Atlético Mineiro Stats
São Paulo Stats
Full time Result
- 1 wins, 6 defeats and 3 draws in previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in previous 10 home matches
Full time Results
- 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 6 defeats and 2 draws in previous 10 away matches
Goals
- An average of 0.70 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
Goals
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
Corners
- An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 4.90 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
Corners
- An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 4.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 5.40 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches
Possession
- An average of 53.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 53.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
Team News
Make sure you know the lineups ahead of kick-off, with injuries also playing a part when it comes to Atlético vs São Paulo team news.
The Serie A squads highlight the star players operating for every team in the division.
Atlético Mineiro vs São Paulo Lineups
Atlético Mineiro Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
São Paulo Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Atlético Mineiro Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
São Paulo Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Atlético Mineiro Substitutes
- 1Gabriel Delfim
- 8Fausto Vera
- 11Bernard
- 14Vitor Hugo
- 17Igor Gomes
- 19Joao Marcelo
- 20Patrick Silva
- 26Renzo Saravia
- 37Junior Santos
- 38Caio Paulista
- 44Rubens
- 47Romulo
São Paulo Substitutes
- 2Igor Vinicius
- 9Jonathan Calleri
- 12Mathias Leandro
- 13Enzo Hernan Diaz
- 21Damian Bobadilla
- 22Ruan Tressoldi
- 35Sabino
- 43Felipe Negrucci
- 47Matheus Alves
- 48Lucas Ferreira
- 49Ryan Francisco
- 93Jandrei
Previous Atlético Mineiro Lineups
Previous São Paulo Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Atlético Mineiro Injury Table
São Paulo Injury Table
Brazil Serie A Table
2025 Season
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Flamengo | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15:2 | 14 |
2 | Palmeiras | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 13 |
3 | Bragantino | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 13 |
4 | Cruzeiro | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 10 |
5 | Fluminense | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 10 |
6 | Internacional | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:4 | 9 |
7 | Bahia | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:7 | 9 |
8 | Botafogo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:4 | 8 |
9 | Ceará | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 8 |
10 | São Paulo | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 6:5 | 8 |
11 | Vasco da Gama | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | 7 |
12 | Corinthians | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | 7 |
13 | Juventude | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:14 | 7 |
14 | Mirassol | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 11:9 | 7 |
15 | Fortaleza | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:5 | 6 |
16 | Vitória | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:9 | 6 |
17 | Atlético MG | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | 6 |
18 | Grêmio | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:11 | 5 |
19 | Santos | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | 4 |
20 | Sport Recife | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:8 | 2 |
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Cruzeiro | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 9 |
2 | Flamengo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11:1 | 7 |
3 | Botafogo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 7 |
4 | Juventude | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
5 | Ceará | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 |
6 | Vasco da Gama | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 |
7 | Bragantino | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 7 |
8 | Fluminense | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 7 |
9 | Internacional | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 6 |
10 | Corinthians | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 6 |
11 | Mirassol | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 5 |
12 | Bahia | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 5 |
13 | São Paulo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 5 |
14 | Atlético MG | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 5 |
15 | Santos | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 4 |
16 | Fortaleza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 4 |
17 | Palmeiras | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:1 | 4 |
18 | Vitória | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 4 |
19 | Grêmio | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 4 |
20 | Sport Recife | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | 1 |
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