Brighton & Hove Albion FC

Football England - Premier League The American Express Community Stadium Sun 4 May 21:00

Newcastle United FC

  1. Prediction
  2. Odds
  3. Stats
  4. Team News
  5. Lineups
  6. Injuries
  7. Squads
  8. Table

Don’t Underestimate the Underdogs

We’re splitting our Asian Handicap stake between 0 and +0.5 when backing Brighton +0.25 at 1.83 against Champions League hopefuls Newcastle. We need the hosts to win for a maximum payout although the draw means we also get a return.

Previous H2H Saw Brighton Win in Extra Time

Brighton won their last game 3-2. This was recorded at The American Express Community Stadium against West Ham United. The Seagulls managed nine shots on target and had 53% possession, with Yasin Ayari, Kaoru Mitoma and Carlos Baleba scoring one goal apiece.

Newcastle United claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 3-0 win occurred against Ipswich Town at St James' Park. Eddie Howe's team boasted a mind-boggling 78% of possession and had five shots on goal, while Alexander Isak, Daniel Burn and William Osula were on the scoresheet.

Brighton have beaten Newcastle in their last two clashes, winning by 2-1 in extra time and 1-0 scorelines when visiting St James' Park. The previous 10 H2H matches have ended up with five Brighton wins, two Newcastle victories and three draws.

Premier League G W D L GF GA GD GD P
3 Newcastle logo Newcastle 37 20 6 11 68 46 22 68:46 66
9 Brighton logo Brighton 36 14 13 9 59 56 3 59:56 55
View Full Table
Brighton – Last 10 League Games

5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 2.1 goals from 13.8 attempts and 5.6 shots on goal. Brighton have had 50.1% possession, 438.9 passes and 4.3 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.7 goals from 10.7 attempts and 3.6 shots on goal, while earning 4.7 corners.

Top goalscorer Joao Pedro has found the net 5 times, with Kaoru Mitoma and Danny Welbeck scoring 4 and 3 respectively. Brajan Gruda is the leading assists maker on 3, with goalkeeper Bart Verbruggen keeping 2 clean sheets.

Newcastle United – Last 10 League Games

Newcastle have won 7 and lost 3, with an average of 2.3 goals from 12.8 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 51.1% possession, 435.7 passes, 5.3 corners in their favour and 5.2 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.5 goals from 11.5 attempts and 4.0 shots on goal.

Alexander Isak has scored 5, followed by Jacob Murphy and Harvey Barnes with 4 goals apiece. Kieran Trippier, Harvey Barnes and Jacob Murphy are top assists providers with 3, while Nick Pope has recorded 4 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Brighton confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Bart Verbruggen (GK), Mats Wieffer, Jan Paul van Hecke, Lewis Dunk, Pervis Estupinan, Carlos Baleba, Jack Hinshelwood, Yankuba Minteh, Matthew O'Riley, Simon Adingra, Danny Welbeck.

Newcastle confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Nick Pope (GK), Kieran Trippier, Fabian Schaer, Daniel Burn, Valentino Livramento, Bruno Guimaraes, Sandro Tonali, Joseph Willock, Jacob Murphy, Alexander Isak, Harvey Barnes.

Expert Premier League Analysis

We study the form as a first port of call and also make sure we’re across any injuries before making any football picks. Then it’s a case of understanding the sort of narrative that the stats provide.

Key Brighton vs Newcastle league stats:

  • The +0.25 line has been covered by Brighton in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
  • The +0.25 line has been covered by Brighton in 15 of their last 20 games at home.
  • The +0.25 line has been covered by Brighton in 2 consecutive games at home.
  • The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Newcastle in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
  • The +0.25 line has been covered by Brighton in 4 consecutive games against Newcastle.

Brighton vs Newcastle Prediction

When Brighton line up for this Premier League game, we will back them at 1.83 on the Asian Handicap +0.25. We think the hosts are more than capable of avoiding defeat and might be able to land a win.

Looking for more juice from your selection? By moving the line, you are able to get bigger betting odds although you will need to take a riskier bet.

Brighton +0.25 Probability

The betting sites make it a 54.8% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our experts have this probability close to 60%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

Our Pick

Brighton Asian Hcp +0.25 @ 1.83 Bet Now bet365 logo
Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.
Published 01:37, 03 May 2025

Correct Score Prediction

Brighton Brighton logo 2 - 1 Newcastle logo Newcastle

Player Props

Anthony Gordon Over 0.5 Shots On Target 1.84 bet365 logo

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle) can be backed to record a minimum of one shot on goal at 1.84. The Shots on Target market allows us to follow this selection and get an attractive price in the process.


Kaoru Mitoma to Score 4.10 bet365 logo

Kaoru Mitoma (Brighton) has managed two goals in his past four Premier League matches. We believe this is the best of the player props, with a healthy 4.10 available when it comes to betting him to score at any time.

Corners Prediction

Newcastle To Have Most Corners 1.98 bet365 logo

There has been an average 6.40 corners for Newcastle in their past 5 games, with Brighton averaging 3.80 corners in the previous 5 home matches. We can’t pass up the chance to back 1.98 that Newcastle have the most corners.

Corner Stats

League Games
Last 10 Total For Against
Last 10 at Home Total For Against
Last 10 Away Total For Against
Brighton Logo Brighton
Total
9.00 4.30 4.70
Home
9.10 4.50 4.60
Away
9.90 5.10 4.80
Newcastle Logo Newcastle
Total
10.50 5.30 5.20
Home
10.40 6.20 4.20
Away
9.70 4.50 5.20

Latest Corner Odds

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Brighton vs Newcastle Bet Builder Tips

Asian Handicap Brighton +0.25 1.83
Total Goals Over 2.5 1.53
Shots On Target Anthony Gordon Over 0.5 1.84

You’re welcome to follow our same-game multi which has Brighton to cover the 0.25 Asian Handicap, at least three goals in total combined with Anthony Gordon to end up with one or more shots on target.

We advise a bet builder as it can be a fun approach when betting on a football game. If a bettor has all predictions correct, it’s possible to land a nice pay out from a relatively small amount of money.

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Brighton vs Newcastle Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Match Odds Suggest Newcastle Win

Newcastle United are the 2.40 favourites and that means a 42% chance of winning this Premier League match according to the betting odds at the bookies. Brighton are the 2.70 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.

The Total Goals market reveals that Over 2.5 Goals is the current betting favourite. An alternative angle is a Both Teams to Score bet and Yes has been chalked up at 1.44.

There are hundreds of markets when it comes to betting on the Premier League coupon and we recommend visiting the leading betting sites to find the bet that matches your view on the game.

Dan Burn Favourite to Be First Goalscorer

There is 10.00 available that Dan Burn finds the net, while he is available at 23.00 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.

Player Goals

Dan Burn (Newcastle)
First
23.00
Anytime
10.00
bet365 Logo
bet365 Logo

Player Shots

Dan Burn (Newcastle)
Over 0.5
2.30
Under 0.5
-
bet365 Logo
bet365 Logo

Best Betting Offers

Team Stats

Brighton logo Brighton League Stats

Newcastle logo Newcastle League Stats

Full-Time Result

  • 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in previous 10 matches
  • 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

  • 7 wins, 3 defeats and 0 draws in previous 10 matches
  • 6 wins, 4 defeats and 0 draws in previous 10 away matches

Goals

Goals

Corners

Corners

Possession

Possession

Top Scorers & Assists

Top Scorers & Assists

Team News

If you’re looking for Brighton vs Newcastle team news, then we have predicted and confirmed lineups available along with details of any injuries on both sides.

If you’re looking for the latest player information, check out the Premier League squads.

Brighton vs Newcastle Lineups

Brighton Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1

Newcastle Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3

Brighton Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1

1 Bart Verbruggen
27 Mats Wieffer 29 Jan Paul van Hecke 5 Lewis Dunk 30 Pervis Estupinan
20 Carlos Baleba 41 Jack Hinshelwood
17 Yankuba Minteh 33 Matthew O'Riley 11 Simon Adingra
18 Danny Welbeck
22 Nick Pope
2 Kieran Trippier 5 Fabian Schaer 33 Daniel Burn 21 Valentino Livramento
39 Bruno Guimaraes 8 Sandro Tonali 28 Joseph Willock
23 Jacob Murphy 14 Alexander Isak 11 Harvey Barnes

Newcastle Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3

Brighton Substitutes

  • 2Tariq Lamptey
  • 3Igor
  • 4Adam Webster
  • 8Brajan Gruda
  • 23Jason Steele
  • 25Diego Gomez
  • 26Yasin Ayari
  • 34Joel Veltman
  • 72Harry Howell

Newcastle Substitutes

  • 1Martin Dubravka
  • 4Sven Botman
  • 9Callum Wilson
  • 10Anthony Gordon
  • 17Emil Krafth
  • 18William Osula
  • 36Sean Longstaff
  • 67Lewis Miley
  • 78Sean Neave

Previous Brighton Lineups

26 Apr Premier League
Brighton 3-2 West Ham
19 Apr Premier League
Brentford 4-2 Brighton
12 Apr Premier League
Brighton 2-2 Leicester
05 Apr Premier League
Crystal Palace 2-1 Brighton
03 Apr Premier League
Brighton 0-3 Aston Villa
30 Mar FA Cup
Brighton 3-4 Nott’m Forest

Previous Newcastle Lineups

26 Apr Premier League
Newcastle 3-0 Ipswich
20 Apr Premier League
Aston Villa 4-1 Newcastle
17 Apr Premier League
Newcastle 5-0 Crystal Palace
13 Apr Premier League
Newcastle 4-1 Man United
08 Apr Premier League
Leicester 0-3 Newcastle
03 Apr Premier League
Newcastle 2-1 Brentford

Injuries & Suspensions

Brighton Injury Table

Type Name Info
James Milner Thigh
Ferdi Kadioglu Foot
Solly March Knee
Georginio Rutter Ankle
Stefanos Tzimas Calf

Newcastle Injury Table

Type Name Info
Kieran Trippier Thigh
Joelinton Knee
Matt Targett Thigh
Lewis Hall Ankle
Jamal Lewis Ankle

England FlagPremier League Table

2024/2025 Season

# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Liverpool 36 25 8 3 83:37 83
2 Arsenal 37 19 14 4 67:33 71
3 Newcastle 37 20 6 11 68:46 66
4 Chelsea 37 19 9 9 63:43 66
5 Aston Villa 37 19 9 9 58:49 66
6 Man City 36 19 8 9 67:43 65
7 Nott’m Forest 37 19 8 10 58:45 65
8 Brentford 37 16 7 14 65:56 55
9 Brighton 36 14 13 9 59:56 55
10 Fulham 37 15 9 13 54:52 54
11 Bournemouth 36 14 11 11 55:43 53
12 Crystal Palace 36 12 13 11 46:48 49
13 Everton 37 10 15 12 41:44 45
14 Wolverhampton 36 12 5 19 51:64 41
15 West Ham 37 10 10 17 43:61 40
16 Man United 37 10 9 18 42:54 39
17 Tottenham 37 11 5 21 63:61 38
18 Leicester 37 6 7 24 33:78 25
19 Ipswich 37 4 10 23 35:79 22
20 Southampton 37 2 6 29 25:84 12
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Liverpool 18 14 3 1 41:15 45
2 Chelsea 19 12 5 2 35:18 41
3 Aston Villa 19 11 7 1 34:20 40
4 Man City 18 12 3 3 40:22 39
5 Arsenal 19 11 6 2 35:17 39
6 Newcastle 18 12 2 4 40:19 38
7 Nott’m Forest 18 9 5 4 26:15 32
8 Brentford 19 9 4 6 40:35 31
9 Brighton 18 7 8 3 27:24 29
10 Fulham 18 7 5 6 27:28 26
11 Bournemouth 18 7 4 7 21:16 25
12 Everton 19 5 9 5 26:23 24
13 Crystal Palace 18 5 7 6 20:24 22
14 Tottenham 18 6 3 9 34:31 21
15 Man United 18 6 3 9 21:28 21
16 Wolverhampton 18 6 2 10 26:31 20
17 West Ham 19 5 5 9 23:34 20
18 Leicester 19 4 3 12 15:34 15
19 Ipswich 18 1 4 13 13:41 7
20 Southampton 18 1 3 14 12:45 6