América vs Toluca Prediction, Lineups & Odds

Club América

Deportivo Toluca FC
Best Bet Could Be América for the Win
Get ready for the first leg of the Liga MX Clausura Final as América clash with Toluca at Estadio Ciudad de los Deportes.
We’ve identified a value bet in the form of América who are trading at odds of 1.92. There’s plenty of juice in the price when it comes to this Full-Time Result selection and they can beat Toluca.
América 3-0 Winners in Last H2H Battle
Club América were winners last time out. Their 2-1 victory against Cruz Azul at Estadio Azteca was their third consecutive home victory. Andre Jardine's team boasted 67% possession and had six shots on target, while Henry Martin and Cristian Borja scored one goal apiece.
Deportivo Toluca claimed a 3-0 home win over Tigres UANL at Estadio Nemesio Diez in their previous game. Los Diablos Rojos boasted 56% possession and recorded eight shots on goal, while Alexis Vega scored twice and Ivan Lopez also found the net.
It’s been three victories on the bounce for América when playing Toluca. Their last encounter was at Estadio Azteca, with América claiming a 3-0 home win. The past 10 H2H matches have included five América victories, three draws and two Toluca wins.
Liga MX | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | ![]() |
17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 41:22 | 37 |
2 | ![]() |
17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 10 | 24 | 34:10 | 34 |
5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 9.4 attempts. Club América have had 54.2% possession and 4.8 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 0.5 goals from 2.9 shots on goal and 7.4 attempts, while being awarded 4.5 corners.
Top goalscorers Victor Davila and Rodrigo Aguirre have found the net 3 times, with Alex Zendejas scoring 2. Kevin Alvarez, Alex Zendejas and Erick Sanchez are the leading assists makers with 2.
Toluca – Last 10 League GamesDeportivo Toluca have won 7, lost 1 and drawn 2, with an average of 2.2 goals from 6.0 shots on goal and 10.1 attempts. Antonio Mohamed's side have averaged 51.6% possession, 4.2 corners taken and 4.8 corners against, while conceding 1.2 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 9.0 attempts.
Paulinho has scored 7 goals, followed by Alexis Vega on 5 and Jesus Gallardo with 3. Alexis Vega has managed to clock up 5 assists in the last 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
América predicted lineup (4-4-2): Luis Malagón (GK), Kevin Alvarez, Israel Reyes Romero, Sebastián Cáceres, Cristian Borja, Alejandro Zendejas, Jonathan dos Santos, Erick Sánchez, Álvaro Fidalgo, Víctor Dávila, Henry Martín.
Toluca predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Luis García (GK), Diego Barbosa, Federico Pereira, Luan, Jesús Gallardo, Marcel Ruíz, Franco Romero, Juan Pablo Domínguez, Jesús Angulo, Ernesto Alexis Vega, Paulinho.
Expert Liga MX Analysis
Our football picks always stem from lots of research and it begins by looking at the latest team news and current form. When we have a strong view of what might happen, we match up the latest numbers.
Key América vs Toluca league stats:
América vs Toluca Prediction
We’re going for a straight pick on América as we think they’re the likely winners of this Liga MX contest. We think the hosts can achieve some kind of victory, with odds of 1.92 currently available.
There’s the chance to secure bigger odds by combining América to win with BTTS No if you think that they’ll not only oblige with a victory but also keep a clean sheet during the ninety minutes.
América to Win Probability
According to the betting sites, our pick has a 52.1% chance of landing a return. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.
Our Pick
América To Win @ 1.92
Correct Score Prediction
An exciting bet could be a 2-1 victory in favor of América at odds of 7.50. A correct score wager provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.
Latest Correct Score Odds
Player Props
Alexis Vega (Toluca) has netted three goals in his past five Liga MX games. We think there’s value in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop bet at 4.35 which will hopefully see him find the net.
Latest Alexis Vega Player Prop Odds

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Corners Prediction
The 5.5 corners line has not been covered by América in four straight games, with Toluca conceding under 5.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 away matches. The América Team Corners line looks too high and we’re content to go under this number at odds of 1.70.
Corner Stats


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América vs Toluca Bet Builder Tips
You’re welcome to follow our same-game multi which has América on the Full-Time Result, Over 2.5 goals and also América to have under 5.5 corners.
A bet builder is a great alternative for football punters who want to focus their wagering on a single game. The bookies have created this personalised betting tool where you can hand-pick different selections and combine the odds together.
América vs Toluca Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Bookies Giving América Plenty of Respect
Favourites Club América are regarded as the likeliest winners for this Liga MX clash. The 1.90 about them triumphing means a 53% chance of coming out on top based on their current betting odds. Deportivo Toluca are operating at larger odds than the opposition and the underdogs can be wagered at 3.90.
If you want to back América to win, then you can take the Asian Handicap -0.5 option. This selection is priced at 1.90, although Toluca +0.5 is 1.90 and the latter puts the draw on your side.
You’re able to back Over 2.5 Goals or Under 2.5 Goals at roughly the same price right now. If you think both sides will find the net, then you can back the Yes option on the Both Teams to Score market at 1.75.
You’ll be blown away by the hundreds of markets available for Liga MX matches. Head to the best betting sites and take your pick from the various football options available.







Henry Martín Heads First Goalscorer Market
Favourite Henry Martín is 4.90 to be the First Goalscorer, while similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.
Player Goals




Best Betting Offers
América
Head to Head
América vs Toluca
- Liga MX: 02/03 2025 América 3 Toluca 0
- Liga MX: 01/12 2024 Toluca 0 América 2
- Liga MX: 28/11 2024 América 2 Toluca 0
- Liga MX: 10/11 2024 Toluca 4 América 0
- Liga MX: 14/04 2024 América 5 Toluca 1
- Liga MX: 24/09 2023 Toluca 1 América 1
- Liga MX: 15/01 2023 Toluca 2 América 2
- Liga MX: 23/10 2022 América 1 Toluca 1
- Liga MX: 20/10 2022 Toluca 2 América 1
- Liga MX: 14/07 2022 América 1 Toluca 0
Team Stats
América League Stats
Toluca League Stats
Full-Time Result
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in previous 10 matches
- 7 wins, 1 defeats and 2 draws in previous 10 home matches
Full-Time Result
- 7 wins, 1 defeats and 2 draws in previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in previous 10 away matches
Goals
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
Goals
- An average of 2.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
Corners
- An average of 4.80 corners awarded and 4.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 4.50 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.20 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
Corners
- An average of 4.20 corners awarded and 4.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 4.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches
Possession
- An average of 54.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 58.10% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
Possession
- An average of 51.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 53.80% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 away matches
Live Stream
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Team News
It’s good to know about any injuries and this is reflected in our América vs Toluca team news, with this leading to predicted and confirmed lineups.
The Liga MX squad information is a great asset when it comes to making your bets.
América vs Toluca Lineups
América Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Deportivo Toluca Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
América Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Deportivo Toluca Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous América Lineups
Previous Toluca Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
América Injury Table
Toluca Injury Table
Liga MX Table
2024/2025 Season
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Toluca | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 41:22 | 37 |
2 | América | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 34:10 | 34 |
3 | Cruz Azul | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 26:16 | 33 |
4 | Tigres | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 24:14 | 33 |
5 | Necaxa | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 36:29 | 31 |
6 | León | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 24:21 | 30 |
7 | Monterrey | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 32:23 | 28 |
8 | Pachuca | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:23 | 28 |
9 | Juárez | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 16:21 | 24 |
10 | Pumas | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 23:26 | 21 |
11 | Guadalajara | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:21 | 21 |
12 | Querétaro | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 17:24 | 20 |
13 | Tijuana | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 29:35 | 19 |
14 | Atlas | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 25:32 | 18 |
15 | San Luis | 17 | 6 | 0 | 11 | 20:33 | 18 |
16 | Mazatlán | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16:26 | 17 |
17 | Puebla | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12:25 | 9 |
18 | Santos Laguna | 17 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 15:36 | 7 |
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Tigres | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 18:6 | 24 |
2 | Toluca | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 21:9 | 20 |
3 | América | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 22:5 | 18 |
4 | Cruz Azul | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | 18 |
5 | Pachuca | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13:7 | 18 |
6 | Monterrey | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16:10 | 16 |
7 | León | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 16 |
8 | Guadalajara | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 15 |
9 | Necaxa | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 18:16 | 15 |
10 | Juárez | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:12 | 15 |
11 | Querétaro | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11:11 | 13 |
12 | Mazatlán | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:11 | 13 |
13 | Pumas | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:8 | 12 |
14 | San Luis | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12:15 | 12 |
15 | Tijuana | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 17:19 | 9 |
16 | Atlas | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15:20 | 9 |
17 | Santos Laguna | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:17 | 6 |
18 | Puebla | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:12 | 4 |
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