Derby vs Sunderland Prediction, Lineups & Odds

By Alan Johnson, Football Analyst | Published: 3 months ago | Last Updated: Jan 22, 01:45 | 4 min read

Derby County FC

Football England - EFL Championship Pride Park Wed 22 Jan 02:45

Sunderland AFC

  1. Prediction
  2. Odds
  3. Stats
  4. Team News
  5. Lineups
  6. Injuries
  7. Squads
  8. Table

We Think Under 2.5 Goals is the Value Bet

The numbers imply that we’ll see a low-scoring contest and a goal tally of two or less could be the sensible bet when Derby play Sunderland. Secure a price of 1.67 for Under 2.5 Goals.

Teams’ Previous H2H Saw 2-0 Sunderland Victory

Derby County were defeated last time out, making it four losses on the bounce. Pride Park saw them turned over 2-0 at home to Watford. Paul Warne's team boasted 56% possession and recorded three shots on target.

Sunderland played Burnley away from home in their previous game. It was a 0-0 draw at Turf Moor. The Wearside side were restricted to 42% possession and recorded three shots on goal.

Sunderland won the last clash between the pair. Enjoying a 2-0 home triumph when facing Derby at Stadium of Light.

Championship G W D L GF GA GD GD P
4 Sunderland logo Sunderland 45 21 13 11 58 43 15 58:43 76
19 Derby logo Derby 45 13 10 22 48 56 -8 48:56 49
View Full Table
Derby County – Last 10 League Games

2 wins, 7 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.0 goals from 7.5 attempts and 3.5 shots on goal. Derby have had 46.5% possession and 4.9 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.5 goals from 8.2 attempts and 4.1 shots on goal, while earning 6.1 corners.

Ebou Adams is the top goalscorer with 3, Jerry Yates has 2, with Kayden Jackson and two other players on 1. The leading assistor is Kenzo Goudmijn with 2.

Sunderland – Last 10 League Games

Sunderland have won 5, lost 2 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.3 goals from 5.4 shots on goal and 12.1 attempts. There’s been an average of 49.1% possession, 6.4 corners awarded and 4.7 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.0 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 6.7 attempts.

Wilson Isidor has top scored with 3, while Daniel Ballard, Jobe Bellingham and Tom Watson are next on 2. Eliezer Mayenda has been the top assist maker with 3 in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Derby confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Jacob Widell Zetterstroem (GK), Ebou Adams, Craig Forsyth, Callum Elder, Kayden Jackson, Kenzo Goudmijn, Marcus Harness, Liam Thompson, Kane Wilson, Nathaniel Mendez-Laing, Jerry Yates.

Sunderland confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Anthony Patterson (GK), Trai Hume, Chris Mepham, Luke O'Nien, Dennis Cirkin, Enzo Le Fee, Jobe Bellingham, Daniel Neil, Eliezer Mayenda, Wilson Isidor, Chris Rigg.

View All Team News

Expert Championship Analysis

In order to come up with the best football predictions, we like to know the team news and study the latest form. There are also plenty of numbers to crunch from the available stats.

Key Derby vs Sunderland league stats:

  • The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 12 of the last 20 Derby games.
  • The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Derby games.
  • The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Derby games.
  • The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Sunderland games on the road.
  • The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 20 Sunderland games on the road.
  • The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Sunderland games.

Derby vs Sunderland Prediction

The two teams might not deliver too many goals and that leads us to bet Under 2.5. This Championship selection could be the way forward and that’s especially considering you can get odds of 1.67.

Bettors looking for a larger price when it comes to backing Under 2.5 Goals can include this pick as part of a Result & Total Goals selection. Predict the team that will land the spoils.

Under 2.5 Probability

The latest odds imply that our pick has a 60% prospect of winning. Based on our experts research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

Our Pick

Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.67 Bet Now bet365 logo
Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.
Published 08:37, 20 January 2025

Correct Score Prediction

Derby Derby logo 0 - 1 Sunderland logo Sunderland

We’re predicting Sunderland to land a 1-0 victory and this is available at 6.50. The correct score betting option provides plenty of fun and entertainment.

Derby vs Sunderland Odds

The bookies betting odds have Sunderland as 2.05 favourites for this Championship clash, implying that they are 49% likely to win the match. At 3.60, Derby County are regarded as having a lower probability of winning this match.

A tight game could be on the cards and that is reflected in the short odds about Under 2.5 Goals being scored. There are two Both Teams to Score options, with Yes on offer at 1.91 and No at 1.80.

A Bet Builder allows you to combine different Championship betting markets for a match. For example, you might want to predict the Match Winner and Total Goals at a football betting site.

Best Betting Offers

Team Stats

Derby logo Derby Stats

Sunderland logo Sunderland Stats

Full time Result

  • 2 wins, 7 defeats and 1 draws in previous 10 matches
  • 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in previous 10 home matches

Full time Results

  • 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in previous 10 matches
  • 3 wins, 2 defeats and 5 draws in previous 10 away matches

Goals

Goals

Corners

Corners

Possession

Possession

Top Scorers & Assists

Top Scorers & Assists

Team News

Our Derby vs Sunderland team news will highlight the injuries for both squads, with the lineups giving you a helping hand with your bets.

If you’re looking for the latest player information, check out the Championship squads.

Derby vs Sunderland Lineups

Derby Confirmed Lineup 3-5-2

Sunderland Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2

Derby Confirmed Lineup 3-5-2

1 J. W. Zetterstroem
32 Ebou Adams 3 Craig Forsyth 20 Callum Elder
19 Kayden Jackson 17 Kenzo Goudmijn 18 Marcus Harness 16 Liam Thompson 2 Kane Wilson
11 N. Mendez-Laing 10 Jerry Yates
1 Anthony Patterson
32 Trai Hume 26 Chris Mepham 13 Luke O'Nien 3 Dennis Cirkin
28 Enzo Le Fee 7 Jobe Bellingham 4 Daniel Neil 12 Eliezer Mayenda
18 Wilson Isidor 11 Chris Rigg

Sunderland Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2

Derby Substitutes

  • 7Tom Barkhuizen
  • 8Ben Osborn
  • 15L. Salvesen
  • 21Jake Rooney
  • 23Joe Ward
  • 27C. Blackett-Taylor
  • 31Josh Vickers
  • 39Dajaune Brown
  • 40Freddie Turley

Sunderland Substitutes

  • 5Daniel Ballard
  • 10Patrick Roberts
  • 20Salis Abdul Samed
  • 21Simon Moore
  • 22Adil Aouchiche
  • 30Milan Aleksic
  • 33Leo Hjelde
  • 47Trey Samuel-Ogunsuyi
  • 50Harrison Jones

Previous Derby Lineups

18 Jan Championship
Derby 0-2 Watford
15 Jan FA Cup
Leyton Orient 7-6 Derby
04 Jan Championship
Bristol City 1-0 Derby
01 Jan Championship
Sheffield Wed 4-2 Derby
30 Dec Championship
Derby 0-1 Leeds
27 Dec Championship
Derby 2-1 West Brom

Previous Sunderland Lineups

18 Jan Championship
Burnley 0-0 Sunderland
11 Jan FA Cup
Sunderland 1-2 Stoke
05 Jan Championship
Sunderland 1-0 Portsmouth
02 Jan Championship
Sunderland 2-1 Sheffield Utd
29 Dec Championship
Stoke 1-0 Sunderland
26 Dec Championship
Blackburn 2-2 Sunderland

Injuries & Suspensions

Derby Injury Table

Type Name Info
Callum Elder Other
Ryan Nyambe Hamstring
David Ozoh Thigh
Dajaune Brown Hamstring
L. Salvesen Cruciate ligame
Curtis Nelson Knee

Sunderland Injury Table

Type Name Info
Ajibola Alese Foot

Team Squads

Derby Squad

Sunderland Squad

England FlagChampionship Table

2024/2025 Season

# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Leeds 45 28 13 4 93:29 97
2 Burnley 45 27 16 2 66:15 97
3 Sheffield Utd 45 28 7 10 62:35 89
4 Sunderland 45 21 13 11 58:43 76
5 Bristol City 45 17 16 12 57:53 67
6 Coventry 45 19 9 17 62:58 66
7 Millwall 45 18 12 15 46:46 66
8 Blackburn 45 19 8 18 52:47 65
9 Middlesbrough 45 18 10 17 64:54 64
10 West Brom 45 14 19 12 52:44 61
11 Swansea 45 17 9 19 48:53 60
12 Sheffield Wed 45 15 12 18 59:68 57
13 Watford 45 16 8 21 52:60 56
14 Norwich 45 13 15 17 67:66 54
15 QPR 45 13 14 18 52:63 53
16 Portsmouth 45 14 11 20 57:70 53
17 Oxford 45 13 13 19 46:62 52
18 Stoke 45 12 14 19 45:62 50
19 Derby 45 13 10 22 48:56 49
20 Preston 45 10 19 16 46:57 49
21 Luton 45 13 10 22 42:64 49
22 Hull 45 12 12 21 43:53 48
23 Plymouth 45 11 13 21 50:86 46
24 Cardiff 45 9 17 19 46:69 44
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Leeds 23 18 4 1 61:12 58
2 Burnley 22 13 9 0 32:7 48
3 Sheffield Utd 22 15 3 4 32:16 48
4 Bristol City 22 13 6 3 34:18 45
5 Sunderland 22 12 7 3 32:17 43
6 Coventry 22 13 3 6 38:24 42
7 Blackburn 23 12 4 7 34:23 40
8 Millwall 23 12 4 7 27:19 40
9 Portsmouth 22 11 6 5 32:20 39
10 Middlesbrough 23 11 6 6 31:23 39
11 Watford 22 12 3 7 26:21 39
12 West Brom 22 10 8 4 28:17 38
13 Oxford 23 11 5 7 31:29 38
14 Norwich 22 9 8 5 48:32 35
15 Swansea 22 10 5 7 30:21 35
16 Luton 23 9 7 7 25:22 34
17 Plymouth 22 9 7 6 39:37 34
18 Stoke 23 8 9 6 29:25 33
19 Preston 23 7 12 4 26:22 33
20 Derby 22 9 4 9 25:18 31
21 QPR 23 7 8 8 31:34 29
22 Cardiff 23 7 6 10 24:27 27
23 Sheffield Wed 23 6 8 9 30:32 26
24 Hull 23 5 8 10 24:28 23

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