Middlesbrough vs Derby Prediction, Lineups & Odds

Middlesbrough FC

Derby County FC
Boro Look a Great Bet to Win
There’s a strong case for siding with Middlesbrough when it comes to the Full-Time Result betting market. We think the favourites could prove too strong for Derby and odds of 1.65 are attractive.
Derby 1-0 Victors When Teams Met Last
Middlesbrough have suffered back-to-back home losses. In their last game, they beat Stoke City 3-1 away at Bet365 Stadium. The Boro had 53% possession and recorded six shots on target, with Marcus Forss, Finn Azaz and Tommy Conway each scoring one goal.
Derby County suffered a second straight defeat when losing 1-0 in their previous game. This was at home to Millwall at Pride Park. The East Midlands side had 51% possession, but were unable to record a shot on goal.
The last clash between Derby and Middlesbrough saw the former triumph at home. It was a 1-0 scoreline at Pride Park. The previous 8 H2H meetings have involved three Derby wins, two Middlesbrough victories and three draws.
Championship | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | ![]() |
44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 64:54 | 63 |
21 | ![]() |
44 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 47 | 56 | -9 | 47:56 | 46 |
Middlesbrough have 3 wins, 6 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.3 goals from 10.0 attempts and 4.6 shots on goal. The Teeside outfit have averaged 54.4% possession and 3.9 corners per game, conceding 1.5 goals and 5.3 corners from 10.9 attempts and 4.6 shots on goal.
Top goalscorer Delano Burgzorg has found the net 3 times, with Tommy Conway, Hayden Hackney and Emmanuel Latte Lath scoring 2 each. Tommy Conway, Ben Doak and Delano Burgzorg have racked up the most assists with 2 each.
Derby County – Last 10 League GamesDerby have 8 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 3.2 shots on goal, 7.0 attempts and 0.4 goals. John Eustace's team average 51.3% possession, 5.6 corners taken and 4.1 corners against them, while 1.7 goals have been conceded from 7.2 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal.
Jerry Yates is top of the team’s scoring charts with 2, while Lars-Joergen Salvesen and Ebou Adams have 1. Jerry Yates and Curtis Nelson have been the top assists providers with 1 in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Middlesbrough confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Mark Travers (GK), Anfernee Dijksteel, Luke Ayling, Dael Fry, Neto Borges, Aidan Morris, Hayden Hackney, Marcus Forss, Morgan Whittaker, Finn Azaz, Tommy Conway.
Derby confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Jacob Widell Zetterstroem (GK), Ryan Nyambe, Sondre Klingen Langaas, Craig Forsyth, Callum Elder, Ebou Adams, Harrison Armstrong, Tom Barkhuizen, Marcus Harness, Kayden Jackson, Jerry Yates.
Expert Championship Analysis
The football betting tips are created after keeping tabs on the latest team news along with the form guide. We also delve into the latest stats which can provide a barometer for how the action might play out.
Key Middlesbrough vs Derby league stats:
Middlesbrough vs Derby Prediction
Middlesbrough look like a standout bet and we’re expecting them to triumph. There are odds of 1.65 that the home team win this Championship clash and we’re confident that this is a value play.
If you’re looking for a bet at bigger odds, then Middlesbrough are an option on the Asian Handicap. The betting sites have a series of lines that you can back them to cover.
Boro to Win Probability
According to the latest odds, there’s a 60.6% likelihood of our pick winning. However, our tipsters in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 65-70%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.
Our Pick
Middlesbrough To Win @ 1.65
Correct Score Prediction
There are odds of 7.00 available that Middlesbrough land a 2-0 win. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.
Latest Correct Score Odds
Corners Prediction
Middlesbrough have averaged 3.00 corners in the past 5 matches, with the corner count against Derby going under 5.5 in their previous seven games. The Middlesbrough Team Corners line looks to be too big given the stats and 2.00 is available to wager.
Corner Stats


Latest Corner Odds




T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Middlesbrough vs Derby Odds
The Middlesbrough betting odds have been priced up by the bookies and they are 1.65 favourites to land victory in this Championship encounter which means a 61% chance of winning. Derby County are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and they can be backed at 5.25.
If you’re betting on Total Goals, the market are finding it hard to split Unders and Overs. If you’re betting on Both Teams to Score, you can back Yes at 1.83 and No at 1.83.
To combine various Championship selections within the same match, you will find football betting sites offer a Bet Builder. Start adding the picks you fancy until you’re happy with the overall payout.
-
Full Time Result
1
1.65
X
3.80
2
5.25
-
Half Time Result
1
2.25
X
2.20
2
5.50
-
Double Chance
1X
1.17
12
1.25
X2
2.20
-
Both Teams to Score
Yes
1.83
No
1.83
-
Draw No Bet
1
1.25
2
3.75
-
Asian Handicap
1 Hcp -0.75
1.88
2 Hcp +0.75
2.02
-
Total Goals
Under 2.5
1.91
Over 2.5
1.91
-
Total Corners
Under 10.5
1.80
Over 10.5
1.91
Best Betting Offers
Middlesbrough
Head to Head
Middlesbrough vs Derby
- Championship: 17/08 2024 Derby 1 Middlesbrough 0
- Championship: 12/02 2022 Middlesbrough 4 Derby 1
- Championship: 21/08 2021 Derby 0 Middlesbrough 0
- Championship: 13/02 2021 Derby 2 Middlesbrough 1
- Championship: 25/11 2020 Middlesbrough 3 Derby 0
- Championship: 11/01 2020 Middlesbrough 2 Derby 2
- Championship: 02/11 2019 Derby 2 Middlesbrough 0
- Championship: 01/01 2019 Derby 1 Middlesbrough 1
Team Stats
Middlesbrough Stats
Derby Stats
Full time Result
- 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draws in previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in previous 10 home matches
Full time Results
- 0 wins, 8 defeats and 2 draws in previous 10 matches
- 1 wins, 6 defeats and 3 draws in previous 10 away matches
Goals
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
Goals
- An average of 0.40 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
Corners
- An average of 3.90 corners awarded and 5.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.60 corners awarded and 4.50 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
Corners
- An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 4.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.20 corners awarded and 5.80 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.00 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches
Possession
- An average of 54.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 54.20% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
Possession
- An average of 51.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 44.00% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 away matches
Team News
Make sure you know the lineups ahead of kick-off, with injuries also playing a part when it comes to Middlesbrough vs Derby team news.
The Championship squads highlight the star players operating for every team in the division.
Middlesbrough vs Derby Lineups
Middlesbrough Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Derby Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Middlesbrough Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Derby Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Middlesbrough Substitutes
- 4Daniel Barlaser
- 9Kelechi Iheanacho
- 10Delano Burgzorg
- 16Jonathan Howson
- 23Thomas Glover
- 28Ryan Giles
- 29Samuel Iling-Junior
- 46Josh Dede
- 49Law McCabe
Derby Substitutes
- 8Ben Osborn
- 9Kemar Roofe
- 12Nathaniel Phillips
- 15L. Salvesen
- 16Liam Thompson
- 17Kenzo Goudmijn
- 21Jake Rooney
- 31Josh Vickers
- 38C. Agbawodikeizu
Previous Middlesbrough Lineups
Previous Derby Lineups
Championship Table
2024/2025 Season
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Leeds | 44 | 27 | 13 | 4 | 89:29 | 94 |
2 | Burnley | 44 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 61:15 | 94 |
3 | Sheffield Utd | 44 | 27 | 7 | 10 | 60:35 | 86 |
4 | Sunderland | 44 | 21 | 13 | 10 | 58:41 | 76 |
5 | Bristol City | 44 | 17 | 16 | 11 | 57:49 | 67 |
6 | Coventry | 44 | 19 | 9 | 16 | 62:57 | 66 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 64:54 | 63 |
8 | Millwall | 44 | 17 | 12 | 15 | 45:46 | 63 |
9 | Blackburn | 44 | 18 | 8 | 18 | 50:46 | 62 |
10 | West Brom | 44 | 14 | 18 | 12 | 52:44 | 60 |
11 | Swansea | 44 | 17 | 9 | 18 | 48:52 | 60 |
12 | Watford | 44 | 16 | 8 | 20 | 51:58 | 56 |
13 | Sheffield Wed | 44 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 58:67 | 56 |
14 | Norwich | 44 | 13 | 14 | 17 | 67:66 | 53 |
15 | QPR | 44 | 13 | 14 | 17 | 52:58 | 53 |
16 | Portsmouth | 44 | 14 | 10 | 20 | 56:69 | 52 |
17 | Stoke | 44 | 12 | 14 | 18 | 45:60 | 50 |
18 | Preston | 44 | 10 | 19 | 15 | 45:55 | 49 |
19 | Oxford | 44 | 12 | 13 | 19 | 44:62 | 49 |
20 | Hull | 44 | 12 | 12 | 20 | 43:52 | 48 |
21 | Derby | 44 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 47:56 | 46 |
22 | Luton | 44 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 41:64 | 46 |
23 | Cardiff | 44 | 9 | 16 | 19 | 46:69 | 43 |
24 | Plymouth | 44 | 10 | 13 | 21 | 48:85 | 43 |
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Leeds | 22 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 57:12 | 55 |
2 | Burnley | 22 | 13 | 9 | 0 | 32:7 | 48 |
3 | Sheffield Utd | 22 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 32:16 | 48 |
4 | Bristol City | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 34:18 | 45 |
5 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 32:17 | 43 |
6 | Coventry | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 38:24 | 42 |
7 | Portsmouth | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 32:20 | 39 |
8 | Watford | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 26:21 | 39 |
9 | West Brom | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 28:17 | 38 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 31:23 | 38 |
11 | Blackburn | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 32:22 | 37 |
12 | Millwall | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 26:19 | 37 |
13 | Norwich | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 48:32 | 35 |
14 | Swansea | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 30:21 | 35 |
15 | Oxford | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 29:29 | 35 |
16 | Plymouth | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 39:37 | 34 |
17 | Stoke | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 29:23 | 33 |
18 | Preston | 22 | 7 | 12 | 3 | 25:20 | 33 |
19 | Derby | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 25:18 | 31 |
20 | Luton | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 24:22 | 31 |
21 | QPR | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 31:29 | 29 |
22 | Cardiff | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 24:27 | 26 |
23 | Sheffield Wed | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 29:31 | 25 |
24 | Hull | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 24:27 | 23 |
Championship Predictions

































Next Predictions
















