Porto vs Nacional Prediction, Lineups & Odds

Nacional Look Value on the Asian Handicap

Nacional +1.5 look like great value on the Asian Handicap at 1.95 considering a one-goal loss for the outsiders would still result in a return. We are expecting them to be competitive against Porto.

Nacional Won 2-0 in Teams’ Last Meeting

FC Porto have triumphed in back-to-back games. The latest was on the road where Boavista were beaten 2-1 at Estadio do Bessa XXI. Martin Anselmi's team boasted 58% possession and had seven shots on target, with Rodrigo Mora and Ivan Marcano scoring one goal each.

Nacional drew 3-3 in their previous game. This was at home at Estadio da Madeira against Rio Ave. The White and Black had 44% possession and four shots on goal, with Andre Sousa, Leonardo Santos and Konstantinos Kostoulas (own goal) finding the net.

Nacional triumphed in the last clash between the pair. Landing a 2-0 home win when playing Porto at Estadio da Madeira. In the past 3 H2H games, we’ve seen two Porto wins and one Nacional triumph.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Porto	34	22	5	7	65	30	35	65:30	71
14	Nacional	34	9	7	18	32	50	-18	32:50	34

View Full Table

Porto have 7 wins and 3 losses, averaging 1.5 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 12.1 attempts. The Dragons have averaged 60.3% possession, 512.8 passes and 4.8 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.1 goals from 3.5 shots on goal, 8.1 attempts and 3.7 corners.

Rodrigo Mora is the top scorer with 6 goals, while Samuel Aghehowa has 5 and Fabio Vieira 2. Francisco Moura has the most assists with 5, while goalkeeper Diogo Costa has 3 clean sheets.

Nacional have 3 victories, 5 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 14.2 attempts, 4.2 shots on goal and 1.1 goals. The Madeira side average 51.3% possession, 354.7 passes, 4.8 corners awarded and 4.1 corners against them, while 1.6 goals have been conceded from 5.2 shots on goal and 13.2 attempts.

The top scorers have been Joel Tagueu and Daniel Penha on 2, with Andre Sousa getting 1. Paulinho Boia and Fuki Yamada have clocked up 2 assists, with Lucas Franca keeping one clean sheet in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Porto confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Diogo Costa (GK), Martim Fernandes, Ze Pedro, Ivan Marcano, Joao Mario, Fabio Vieira, Alan Varela, Francisco Moura, Pepe, Samuel Aghehowa, Rodrigo Mora.

Nacional confirmed lineup (3-2-4-1): Rui Encarnacao (GK), Leonardo Santos, Matheus Dias, Ze Vitor, Joao Aurelio, Jose Gomes, Ruben Macedo, Djibril Soumare, Andre Sousa, Paulinho Boia, Joel Tagueu.

Expert Primeira Liga Analysis

It’s always a case of checking out the latest team news to make expert football recommendations. Then we get to work when it comes to unearthing the stats that are the most valuable.

Key Porto vs Nacional league stats:

• The +1.5 line has been covered by Nacional in 13 of their last 16 games on the road.
• The +1.5 line has been covered by Nacional in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +1.5 line has been covered by Nacional in 3 consecutive games.
• The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Porto in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Porto in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Porto in 2 consecutive games against Nacional.

Porto vs Nacional Prediction

The logical play is Nacional +1.5 at odds of 1.95. We’re expecting them to compete well in this Primeira Liga game and the Asian Handicap option means that we land a nice payout if this wager wins.

In a mission to bag bigger odds, there’s the possibility to move the line. There are lots of choices when taking this option, so you can make the selection that you like best.

Nacional +1.5 Probability

The betting sites make it a 51.3% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

Our Pick

Nacional Asian Hcp +1.5 @ 1.95 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Porto 2 - 1 Nacional

A potentially entertaining bet is going for Porto to win by a 2-1 scoreline. At odds of 8.00, there’s the chance to get a handsome return should this wager win.

Player Props

Top Pick: Fabio Vieira to Score 3.40

Fabio Vieira (Porto) has netted two goals in his past five Primeira Liga home games. There are odds of 3.40 available for this Anytime Goalscorer wager and we think this is a value proposition for the player to find the net.

Latest Fabio Vieira Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

3.40

First

7.00

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Corners Prediction

Porto Under 7.5 Corners 1.73

Porto have been awarded an average of 4.80 corners in the past 10 matches, while the corner count against Nacional has been less than 7.5 in the previous ten games. We can use these stats to our advantage, with odds of 1.73 that Porto fall short when it comes to the Team Corners line.

Corner Stats

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Porto

Total

8.50 4.80 3.70

Home

10.00 6.10 3.90

Away

8.50 5.40 3.10

Nacional

Total

8.90 4.80 4.10

Home

9.00 4.40 4.60

Away

11.00 4.40 6.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

1.91

Under 10.5

1.80

Porto Corners

Over 7.5

2.00

Under 7.5

1.73

Nacional Corners

Over 2.5

1.67

Under 2.5

2.10

Most Corners

1

1.19

X

9.50

2

4.90

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Porto vs Nacional Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Betting Sites Running Scared of Porto Victory

The bookies favourites are 78% likely to win the match according to the latest betting odds, with Porto priced at 1.29 to triumph in this Primeira Liga game. If you want to back the outsider for this match, Nacional are available at 10.00.

For those expecting a high-scoring game, Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest price. As long as one team or more fail to score, then the No option on the Both Teams to Score market will pay out at 1.91.

If you fancy Porto but want money back if this Primeira Liga match is a draw, then you can get 1.08. You can bet on Nacional at 8.00 on the Draw No Bet market.

Full-Time Result

1

1.29

X

5.50

2

10.00

Half-Time Result

1

1.67

X

2.75

2

8.00

Double Chance

1X

1.06

12

1.14

X2

3.50

Draw No Bet

1

1.08

2

8.00

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.75

2.03

2 Hcp +1.75

1.83

Total Goals

Under 2.5

2.60

Over 2.5

1.48

Both Teams to Score

Yes

1.91

No

1.91

Samu Aghehowa Heads First Goalscorer Market

Favourite Samu Aghehowa is priced at 3.65 to be the first player on the scoresheet, while there’s also the chance to back him to score any time at odds of 1.93.

Player Goals

Samu Aghehowa (Porto)

First

3.65

Anytime

1.93

Deniz Gul (Porto)

First

5.40

Anytime

2.55

Rodrigo Mora de Carvalho (Porto)

First

5.60

Anytime

2.80

Danny Namaso (Porto)

First

6.40

Anytime

3.15

Fabio Vieira (Porto)

First

7.00

Anytime

3.40

William Santos Gomes (Porto)

First

7.50

Anytime

3.65

Eduardo Gabriel "Pepe" Aquino Cossa (Porto)

First

8.50

Anytime

3.95

Vasco Sousa (Porto)

First

9.50

Anytime

4.10

André Franco (Porto)

First

9.50

Anytime

4.40

Alan Varela (Porto)

First

11.50

Anytime

5.10

Isaac Aguiar Tomich (Nacional)

First

11.50

Anytime

5.10

Luiz Eduardo Teodora da Silva (Nacional)

First

11.00

Anytime

5.30

Stephen Eustaquio (Porto)

First

12.50

Anytime

5.60

Ivan Marcano (Porto)

First

13.00

Anytime

5.60

Francisco Moura (Porto)

First

14.00

Anytime

5.80

Zé Pedro Figueiredo (Porto)

First

14.00

Anytime

6.25

Zaidu Sanusi (Porto)

First

15.00

Anytime

6.75

João Mário (Porto)

First

17.00

Anytime

7.00

Arvin Appiah (Nacional)

First

17.00

Anytime

7.00

Tiago Djalò (Porto)

First

17.00

Anytime

7.00

Rúben Macedo (Nacional)

First

17.00

Anytime

7.50

Otávio da Silva (Porto)

First

18.00

Anytime

7.50

Miguel Baeza (Nacional)

First

18.00

Anytime

8.00

Djibril Soumaré (Nacional)

First

19.00

Anytime

8.50

Luís Esteves (Nacional)

First

21.00

Anytime

9.50

Best Betting Offers

Team Stats

Team News

It’s great to get the latest lineups for the match, with injuries being flagged up thanks to our up-to-date Porto vs Nacional team news.

We’ve got details of the Primeira Liga squads so that you know every player on the roster.

FC Porto Team Page Nacional Team Page

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