Real Madrid vs Atlético Madrid Prediction, Lineups & Odds

By Richard Clarke, Football Analyst | Published: 1 month ago | Last Updated: Mar 5, 02:00 | 4 min read

Real Madrid CF

Football UEFA Champions League Estadio Santiago Bernabeu Wed 5 Mar 03:00

Atlético Madrid

  1. Prediction
  2. Odds
  3. Stats
  4. Team News
  5. Lineups
  6. Injuries
  7. Squads
  8. Table

Don’t Underestimate Atléti

Estadio Santiago Bernabeu plays host to a Madrid derby when Real and Atléti clash in the first leg of this Champions League round of 16 tie.

Our betting prediction is that Real won’t win, so our pick is to back Atléti and the draw on the Double Chance market. You can get 1.91 for this bet.

Match Preview & H2H

Real Madrid enjoyed 59% possession and had two shots on target when losing 2-1 away to Real Betis in their last game. This was a La Liga match at Estadio Benito Villamarin, with Brahim Diaz finding the net for Los Merengues.

Atlético Madrid approach this fixture after winning 1-0 at home against Athletic Club. Diego Simeone's team had 51% possession and three shots on goal in the La Liga encounter, with Julian Alvarez scoring the winner at Riyadh Air Metropolitano.

In their most recent Champions League encounters, Real beat Manchester City 3-1 at home, while Atléti won 4-1 on the road against Red Bull Salzburg.

There has been three consecutive draws between Real and Atléti, with the last clash ending in a 1-1 La Liga scoreline. The previous 10 H2H games have resulted in four draws and three wins apiece.

Real Madrid – Last 10 League Games

Real have 5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 2.1 goals from 6.4 shots on goal and 18.6 attempts. Carlo Ancelotti's side have averaged 63.1% possession, 628.7 passes and 5.8 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.2 goals from 3.1 shots on goal, 9.6 attempts and 3.7 corners.

Kylian Mbappe leads the way with 8 goals, with Brahim Diaz and Rodrygo getting 3 apiece. Rodrygo is the leading assists maker on 4, with goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois keeping 2 clean sheets.

Atlético Madrid – Last 10 League Games

Atléti have won 6, lost 1 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.3 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 12.3 attempts. There’s been an average of 49.9% possession, 493.2 passes, 4.8 corners awarded and 4.8 corners against, while Los Colchoneros have conceded 0.5 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 12.4 attempts.

Julian Alvarez has top scored with 5 goals, while Alexander Soerloth and Samuel Dias Lino are next on 3 and 2. Giuliano Simeone and Nahuel Molina have managed 2 assists in the last 10 games, while Jan Oblak has 5 clean sheets to his name.

Confirmed Lineups

Real Madrid confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Thibaut Courtois (GK), Federico Valverde, Raul Asencio, Antonio Ruediger, Ferland Mendy, Rodrygo, Aurelien Tchouameni, Eduardo Camavinga, Brahim Diaz, Kylian Mbappe, Vinicius Junior.

Atlético Madrid confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Jan Oblak (GK), Marcos Llorente, Jose Gimenez, Clement Lenglet, Javi Galan, Giuliano Simeone, Rodrigo De Paul, Pablo Barrios, Samuel Dias Lino, Julian Alvarez, Antoine Griezmann.

View All Team News

Expert Champions League Analysis

A good deal of research goes into our football picks. We start by studying the latest form and getting a handle on injuries. The key stats can then be used as the missing piece of the jigsaw.

Key Real Madrid vs Atlético Madrid stats:

  • Atléti have not lost any of their last 9 matches
  • Atléti have won 16 of their past 20 matches
  • Atléti have scored 2 or more goals in 12 of their past 20 matches
  • Atléti have kept 13 clean sheets in their 26 La Liga matches this season

Real Madrid vs Atlético Madrid Prediction

Jump on the 1.91 about Atlético Madrid and the Draw on the Double Chance market, with our experts making the Champions League prediction that Real will not triumph over the ninety minutes.

If the odds are too skinny for this selection, why not check out the Full-Time Result market where you can choose one of the options at bigger odds.

Our Pick

Double Chance X2 @ 1.91 Bet Now Bet365 logo
Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.
Published 08:25, 03 March 2025

Real Madrid vs Atlético Madrid Odds

The bookies have Real Madrid at 1.85 in the Full-Time Result market, implying the market leaders are 54% likely to win this Champions League match according to the latest betting odds. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get 4.10 about Atlético Madrid.

You can back Over 2.5 Goals or Under 2.5 Goals at similar odds right now. If you think both teams will score, then BTTS Yes could appeal. Otherwise, you can back BTTS No as an alternative.

Should you want to back Real Madrid to win this Champions League match, then there is 1.36 available on the Draw No Bet market, with Atlético Madrid chalked at 3.00.

Best Betting Offers

Team Stats

Latest Champions League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Real Madrid logo Real Madrid Betting Stats

Atlético Madrid logo Atlético Madrid Betting Stats

Full time Result

  • 13 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in previous 20 matches
  • 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in previous 10 home matches

Full time Results

  • 16 wins, 1 defeats and 3 draws in previous 20 matches
  • 6 wins, 1 defeats and 3 draws in previous 10 away matches

Goals

Goals

Real Madrid

Atlético Madrid

Goals / match
1.6 2
Conceded / match
0.8 1.2
Total / match
2.4 3.2

Corners

Corners

Real Madrid

Atlético Madrid

For / match
6 2.4
Against / match
6.6 6
Total / match
12.6 8.4

Possession

Possession

Top Scorers & Assists

Top Scorers & Assists

Team News

It’s great to get the latest lineups for the match, with injuries being flagged up thanks to our up-to-date Real Madrid vs Atlético Madrid team news.

We’ve got details of the Champions League squads so that you know every player on the roster.

Real Madrid vs Atlético Madrid Lineups

Real Madrid Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2

Atlético Madrid Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2

Real Madrid Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2

1 Thibaut Courtois
8 Federico Valverde 35 Raul Asencio 22 Antonio Ruediger 23 Ferland Mendy
11 Rodrygo 14 Aurelien Tchouameni 6 Eduardo Camavinga 21 Brahim Diaz
9 Kylian Mbappe 7 Vinicius Junior
13 Jan Oblak
14 Marcos Llorente 2 Jose Gimenez 15 Clement Lenglet 21 Javi Galan
22 Giuliano Simeone 5 Rodrigo De Paul 8 Pablo Barrios 12 Samuel Dias Lino
19 Julian Alvarez 7 Antoine Griezmann

Atlético Madrid Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2

Real Madrid Substitutes

  • 4David Alaba
  • 10Luka Modric
  • 13Andriy Lunin
  • 15Arda Guler
  • 16Endrick
  • 17Lucas Vazquez
  • 20Francisco Garcia
  • 26Fran Gonzalez

Atlético Madrid Substitutes

  • 1Juan Musso
  • 4Conor Gallagher
  • 9Alexander Soerloth
  • 10Angel Correa
  • 11Thomas Lemar
  • 16Nahuel Molina
  • 17Rodrigo Riquelme
  • 20Axel Witsel
  • 23Reinildo
  • 24Robin Le Normand
  • 31Antonio Gomis

Previous Real Madrid Lineups

02 Mar La Liga
Real Betis 2-1 Real Madrid
27 Feb Copa del Rey
Real Sociedad 0-1 Real Madrid
23 Feb La Liga
Real Madrid 2-0 Girona

Previous Atlético Madrid Lineups

02 Mar La Liga
Atlético Madrid 1-0 Athletic Club
26 Feb Copa del Rey
Barcelona 4-4 Atlético Madrid
23 Feb La Liga
Valencia 0-3 Atlético Madrid

If you’re looking for the Real Madrid vs Atlético Madrid lineups, then we have predicted lineups and confirmed starting 11s along with the substitutes for each team.

Injuries & Suspensions

Real Madrid Injury Table

Type Name Info
No players are currently reported injured or suspended.
Éder Militão ACL injury

Atlético Madrid Injury Table

Type Name Info
No players are currently reported injured or suspended.
Koke Muscle injury

Team Squads

Real Madrid Squad

Atlético Madrid Squad

We cover the injuries and suspensions when it comes to leagues all over the world. Go through our latest injury report to get key information.

Make sure you check out the latest squads and access the up-to-date player stats.

UEFA FlagTables & Standings

Champions League

# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Liverpool 8 7 0 1 17:5 21
2 Barcelona 8 6 1 1 28:13 19
3 Arsenal 8 6 1 1 16:3 19
4 Inter Milan 8 6 1 1 11:1 19
5 Atlético Madrid 8 6 0 2 20:12 18
6 Leverkusen 8 5 1 2 15:7 16
7 Lille 8 5 1 2 17:10 16
8 Aston Villa 8 5 1 2 13:6 16
9 Atalanta 8 4 3 1 20:6 15
10 Dortmund 8 5 0 3 22:12 15
11 Real Madrid 8 5 0 3 20:12 15
12 Bayern Munich 8 5 0 3 20:12 15
13 AC Milan 8 5 0 3 14:11 15
14 PSV 8 4 2 2 16:12 14
15 PSG 8 4 1 3 14:9 13
16 Benfica 8 4 1 3 16:12 13
17 Monaco 8 4 1 3 13:13 13
18 Brest 8 4 1 3 10:11 13
19 Feyenoord 8 4 1 3 18:21 13
20 Juventus 8 3 3 2 9:7 12
21 Celtic 8 3 3 2 13:14 12
22 Man City 8 3 2 3 18:14 11
23 Sporting 8 3 2 3 13:12 11
24 Club Brugge 8 3 2 3 7:11 11
25 Dinamo Zagreb 8 3 2 3 12:19 11
26 Stuttgart 8 3 1 4 13:17 10
27 Sh. Donetsk 8 2 1 5 8:16 7
28 Bologna 8 1 3 4 4:9 6
29 Crvena Zvezda 8 2 0 6 13:22 6
30 Sturm Graz 8 2 0 6 5:14 6
31 Sparta Prague 8 1 1 6 7:21 4
32 RB Leipzig 8 1 0 7 8:15 3
33 Girona 8 1 0 7 5:13 3
34 RB Salzburg 8 1 0 7 5:27 3
35 Slovan Bratislava 8 0 0 8 7:27 0
36 Young Boys 8 0 0 8 3:24 0
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Bayern Munich 4 4 0 0 14:3 12
2 Liverpool 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
3 Arsenal 4 4 0 0 9:0 12
4 Inter Milan 4 4 0 0 9:0 12
5 Leverkusen 4 4 0 0 9:0 12
6 Barcelona 4 3 1 0 14:3 10
7 Lille 4 3 1 0 11:4 10
8 Celtic 4 3 1 0 10:3 10
9 PSV 4 3 1 0 11:5 10
10 Aston Villa 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
11 Dortmund 4 3 0 1 13:5 9
12 Real Madrid 4 3 0 1 14:7 9
13 Monaco 4 3 0 1 10:5 9
14 Atlético Madrid 4 3 0 1 8:6 9
15 AC Milan 4 3 0 1 7:5 9
16 Man City 4 2 2 0 11:4 8
17 PSG 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
18 Sporting 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
19 Brest 4 2 1 1 4:5 7
20 Club Brugge 4 2 1 1 3:4 7
21 Juventus 4 2 0 2 5:4 6
22 Feyenoord 4 2 0 2 8:9 6
23 Sturm Graz 4 2 0 2 2:3 6
24 Sh. Donetsk 4 2 0 2 5:9 6
25 Atalanta 4 1 2 1 7:3 5
26 Dinamo Zagreb 4 1 2 1 4:6 5
27 Benfica 4 1 1 2 9:8 4
28 Stuttgart 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
29 Bologna 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
30 Crvena Zvezda 4 1 0 3 10:11 3
31 Girona 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
32 RB Leipzig 4 1 0 3 6:8 3
33 Sparta Prague 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
34 Slovan Bratislava 4 0 0 4 4:14 0
35 Young Boys 4 0 0 4 1:11 0
36 RB Salzburg 4 0 0 4 1:13 0

2024/2025 Season

# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Barcelona 33 24 4 5 89:32 76
2 Real Madrid 33 22 6 5 66:31 72
3 Atlético Madrid 33 19 9 5 56:27 66
4 Athletic Club 33 16 12 5 50:26 60
5 Real Betis 33 15 9 9 50:41 54
6 Villarreal 32 14 10 8 55:45 52
7 Celta Vigo 33 13 7 13 50:49 46
8 Osasuna 33 10 14 9 40:46 44
9 Mallorca 33 12 8 13 31:38 44
10 Real Sociedad 33 12 6 15 32:37 42
11 Rayo Vallecano 33 10 11 12 35:42 41
12 Getafe 33 10 9 14 31:30 39
13 Espanyol 32 10 9 13 35:41 39
14 Valencia 33 9 12 12 37:49 39
15 Sevilla 33 9 10 14 35:44 37
16 Girona 33 9 8 16 40:52 35
17 Alavés 33 8 10 15 35:46 34
18 Las Palmas 33 8 8 17 38:53 32
19 Leganés 33 6 12 15 30:49 30
20 Real Valladolid 33 4 4 25 24:81 16
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Barcelona 17 13 1 3 46:14 40
2 Real Madrid 16 13 1 2 38:16 40
3 Atlético Madrid 17 12 4 1 34:14 40
4 Athletic Club 17 10 6 1 31:10 36
5 Celta Vigo 17 10 3 4 28:17 33
6 Real Betis 17 9 5 3 30:19 32
7 Osasuna 17 8 6 3 29:23 30
8 Valencia 17 8 4 5 23:19 28
9 Espanyol 16 7 6 3 20:16 27
10 Mallorca 17 6 6 5 17:18 24
11 Real Sociedad 16 7 2 7 17:17 23
12 Villarreal 15 5 7 3 31:23 22
13 Girona 16 6 3 7 26:25 21
14 Rayo Vallecano 16 5 6 5 21:24 21
15 Sevilla 16 5 5 6 14:19 20
16 Getafe 17 4 7 6 14:15 19
17 Alavés 16 5 4 7 12:16 19
18 Leganés 17 5 4 8 17:25 19
19 Las Palmas 16 4 5 7 19:24 17
20 Real Valladolid 16 3 4 9 10:28 13

We’re on hand to provide you with the updated Champions League standings. Find out where each team is placed in the table after the latest results.

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