São Paulo FC

Football Brazil - Serie A Sun 18 May 08:00

Grêmio FBPA

  1. Prediction
  2. Odds
  3. Stats
  4. Team News
  5. Lineups
  6. Injuries
  7. Squads
  8. Table

Back São Paulo to Beat Grêmio

We’ll take São Paulo at attractive betting odds of 1.80 considering that they could be dominant against Grêmio. The Full-Time Result market provides plenty of value and a nice potential return.

Grêmio 2-1 Victory in Previous H2H Meeting

São Paulo suffered a defeat in their last game. A 1-0 scoreline occurred on the road against Palmeiras. Tricolor Paulista had 42% possession and totalled two shots on target.

Grêmio drew their previous game which was at home. The action ended 1-1 against Red Bull Bragantino. Mano Menezes' side were restricted to just 37% possession and managed four shots on goal, while Francis Amuzu found the net.

Grêmio had the upper hand in the last encounter between these sides. They recorded a 2-1 home victory over São Paulo. Both teams have four wins each from the past 10 H2H games, along with two draws.

Serie A G W D L GF GA GD GD P
11 São Paulo logo São Paulo 9 2 6 1 8 7 1 8:7 12
17 Grêmio logo Grêmio 9 2 3 4 8 14 -6 8:14 9
View Full Table
São Paulo – Last 10 League Games

1 win, 3 losses and 6 draws, averaging 0.8 goals from 7.8 attempts and 2.9 shots on goal. São Paulo have had 51.7% possession and 4.3 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.0 goals from 12.6 attempts and 4.2 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 6.5 corners.

Top goalscorer Ferreira has found the net 3 times, Andre 2, with Ryan Francisco and two other players on 1. Ferreira is the leading assists maker on 2.

Grêmio – Last 10 League Games

Grêmio have 2 victories, 4 defeats and 4 draws, with an average of 0.8 goals from 9.6 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal. The Porto Alegre club average 43.9% possession, 4.3 corners in their favour and 5.9 corners against, while conceding 1.6 goals from 11.1 attempts and 4.6 shots on goal.

Francis Amuzu is the leading scorer along with five others, with 1 goals on the board each. Martin Braithwaite, Wagner Leonardo and Matias Arezo have been the top assists providers with 1 in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

São Paulo confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Rafael (GK), Nahuel Ferraresi, Robert Arboleda, Sabino, Enzo Hernan Diaz, Alisson, Marcos Antonio, Lucas Ferreira, Luciano Neves, Oscar, Andre.

Grêmio confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Tiago Volpi (GK), Joao Pedro, Jemerson, Wagner Leonardo, Marlon, Alysson Edward, Mathias Villasanti, Dodi, Alexander Aravena, Miguel Monsalve, Martin Braithwaite.

Expert Serie A Analysis

Injuries and suspensions can affect the overall outcome and we use this information as well as the latest form guide. The same applies to the stats so that we can get the best understanding of how things might pan out.

Key São Paulo vs Grêmio league stats:

  • São Paulo have won 12 of their last 20 games at home.

São Paulo vs Grêmio Prediction

We believe that São Paulo are excellent value at 1.80 when it comes to this Serie A encounter. The odds look really attractive and we’re confident of landing a return here.

Want to back São Paulo for the win but in search of larger odds? How about taking the bigger Double Result price when it comes to our pick leading at both half-time and full-time.

São Paulo to Win Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 55.6% chance of winning. However, we think that the probability sits between 60-65% taking all factors into consideration. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

Our Pick

São Paulo To Win @ 1.80 Bet Now bet365 logo
Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.
Published 12:37, 16 May 2025

Correct Score Prediction

São Paulo São Paulo logo 1 - 0 Grêmio logo Grêmio

Our correct score prediction is a 1-0 win for São Paulo which is available at odds of 4.90. We think they’ll achieve victory and this is a way of getting bigger odds and more excitement.

Player Props

Aldemir Ferreira Over 0.5 Shots On Target 1.64 bet365 logo

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo) is available to finish with at least one shot on goal at 1.64. He stands out as a value pick when it comes to Shots on Target, with the recommendation being to wager this player prop pick.

Latest Aldemir Ferreira Player Prop Odds

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Lucas dos Santos Ferreira To Score 4.90 bet365 logo

Lucas dos Santos Ferreira (São Paulo) can be backed at 4.90 to be among the goals. We’ll happily take the odds that he is able to score at least one goal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Lucas dos Santos Ferreira Player Prop Odds

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Corners Prediction

São Paulo Under 5.5 Corners 1.80 bet365 logo

São Paulo have not covered the 5.5 corners line in seven consecutive matches. We think that São Paulo will come up short and this Team Corners bet can be backed at 1.80.

Corner Stats

League Games
Last 10 Total For Against
Last 10 at Home Total For Against
Last 10 Away Total For Against
São Paulo Logo São Paulo
Total
10.80 4.30 6.50
Home
10.30 5.70 4.60
Away
10.20 3.50 6.70
Grêmio Logo Grêmio
Total
10.20 4.30 5.90
Home
10.30 5.00 5.30
Away
10.30 4.30 6.00

Latest Corner Odds

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São Paulo vs Grêmio Bet Builder Tips

Full-Time Result São Paulo 1.80
Total Goals Under 2.5 1.50
Shots On Target Aldemir Ferreira Over 0.5 1.64

It’s great fun to place a same-game multi and our picks are São Paulo to triumph, less than three goals to be scored together with Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo) to finish with a minimum of one shot on target.

The bet builder feature allows football punters to place a multiple wager on the same game. You can go through the available markets and cherry-pick the outcomes that you think will happen. The odds for each selection are then combined together.

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São Paulo vs Grêmio Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

São Paulo Favourites to Win According to Bookies

São Paulo are the 1.62 favourites and that means a 62% chance of winning this Serie A match according to the betting odds at the bookies. Grêmio are the outsiders at 5.75 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

A low-scoring game will be anticipated by many and Under 2.5 Goals currently has the shortest odds. An alternative angle is a BTTS bet and Both Teams to Score No is available at 1.57.

To combine various Serie A selections within the same match, you will find football betting sites offer a Bet Builder. Start adding the picks you fancy until you’re happy with the overall payout.

André Oliveira Silva Top of First Goalscorer List

André Oliveira Silva is available at 3.45 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer, with the favourite priced at odds of 5.80 to find the net first.

Player Goals

André Oliveira Silva (São Paulo)
First
5.80
Anytime
3.45
bet365 Logo
Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)
First
6.10
Anytime
3.70
bet365 Logo
José Sabino Chagas Monteiro (São Paulo)
First
7.00
Anytime
4.10
bet365 Logo
Enzo Diaz (São Paulo)
First
8.00
Anytime
4.50
bet365 Logo

Player Shots On Target

André Oliveira Silva (São Paulo)
Over 0.5
1.58
Under 0.5
2.00
bet365 Logo
Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)
Over 0.5
1.62
Under 0.5
1.96
bet365 Logo
Lucas dos Santos Ferreira (São Paulo)
Over 0.5
1.83
Under 0.5
1.70
bet365 Logo
Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)
Over 0.5
1.83
Under 0.5
1.71
bet365 Logo

Player Shots

André Oliveira Silva (São Paulo)
Over 2.5
1.81
Under 2.5
-
bet365 Logo
Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)
Over 2.5
2.04
Under 2.5
-
bet365 Logo
Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)
Over 2.5
2.04
Under 2.5
-
bet365 Logo
Matías Arezo (Grêmio)
Over 2.5
2.06
Under 2.5
-
bet365 Logo

Best Betting Offers

Team Stats

São Paulo logo São Paulo League Stats

Grêmio logo Grêmio League Stats

Full-Time Result

  • 1 wins, 3 defeats and 6 draws in previous 10 matches
  • 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

  • 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in previous 10 matches
  • 0 wins, 5 defeats and 5 draws in previous 10 away matches

Goals

Goals

Corners

Corners

Possession

Possession

Top Scorers & Assists

Top Scorers & Assists

Team News

It’s good to know about any injuries and this is reflected in our São Paulo vs Grêmio team news, with this leading to predicted and confirmed lineups.

Getting the player information you need is easy thanks to the Serie A squads.

São Paulo vs Grêmio Lineups

São Paulo Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1

Grêmio Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2

São Paulo Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1

23 Rafael
32 Nahuel Ferraresi 5 Robert Arboleda 35 Sabino 13 Enzo Hernan Diaz
25 Alisson 20 Marcos Antonio
48 Lucas Ferreira 10 Luciano Neves 8 Oscar
17 Andre
1 Tiago Volpi
18 Joao Pedro 21 Jemerson 3 Wagner Leonardo 23 Marlon
47 Alysson Edward 20 Mathias Villasanti 17 Dodi 16 Alexander Aravena
11 Miguel Monsalve 22 Martin Braithwaite

Grêmio Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2

São Paulo Substitutes

  • 6Cedric Soares
  • 12Mathias Leandro
  • 18Wendell
  • 21Damian Bobadilla
  • 28Alan Franco
  • 29Pablo Maia
  • 36Patryck
  • 43Felipe Negrucci
  • 45Lucca Marques
  • 47Matheus Alves
  • 49Ryan Francisco
  • 93Jandrei

Grêmio Substitutes

  • 4Walter Kannemann
  • 7Cristian Pavon
  • 9Francis Amuzu
  • 10Franco Cristaldo
  • 12Gabriel Grando
  • 15Camilo
  • 19Matias Arezo
  • 25Lucas Esteves
  • 35Ronald
  • 36Luan Candido
  • 44Viery
  • 77Andre

Previous São Paulo Lineups

15 May Copa Libertadores
São Paulo 1-1 Libertad
12 May Serie A
Palmeiras 1-0 São Paulo
07 May Copa Libertadores
Alianza Lima 0-2 São Paulo
03 May Serie A
São Paulo 0-0 Fortaleza
30 Apr Copa do Brasil
São Paulo 2-1 Náutico
27 Apr Serie A
Ceará 1-1 São Paulo

Previous Grêmio Lineups

14 May Copa Sudamericana
Grêmio 1-1 Godoy Cruz
11 May Serie A
Grêmio 1-1 Bragantino
08 May Copa Sudamericana
Atlético Grau 0-0 Grêmio
05 May Serie A
Grêmio 1-0 Santos
01 May Copa do Brasil
CS Alagoano 3-2 Grêmio
28 Apr Serie A
Vitória 1-1 Grêmio

Injuries & Suspensions

São Paulo Injury Table

Type Name Info
Igor Vinicius Low back

Grêmio Injury Table

Type Name Info
Gustavo Cuellar Muscle
Gustavo Martins Knee

Brazil FlagBrazil Serie A Table

2025 Season

# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Palmeiras 9 7 1 1 11:4 22
2 Flamengo 9 5 3 1 17:4 18
3 Cruzeiro 9 5 2 2 13:7 17
4 Bragantino 9 5 2 2 11:8 17
5 Ceará 9 4 3 2 11:7 15
6 Bahia 9 4 3 2 9:9 15
7 Fluminense 9 4 2 3 11:11 14
8 Corinthians 9 4 1 4 12:14 13
9 Atlético MG 9 3 4 2 10:10 13
10 Botafogo 9 3 3 3 10:5 12
11 São Paulo 9 2 6 1 8:7 12
12 Mirassol 9 2 5 2 14:12 11
13 Vasco da Gama 9 3 1 5 10:11 10
14 Fortaleza 9 2 4 3 10:8 10
15 Internacional 9 2 4 3 11:13 10
16 Vitória 9 2 3 4 10:13 9
17 Grêmio 9 2 3 4 8:14 9
18 Juventude 9 2 2 5 8:21 8
19 Santos 9 1 2 6 7:11 5
20 Sport Recife 9 0 2 7 4:16 2
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Cruzeiro 5 4 1 0 8:2 13
2 Ceará 5 4 1 0 8:2 13
3 Corinthians 5 4 0 1 10:5 12
4 Flamengo 5 3 2 0 12:1 11
5 Bahia 5 3 2 0 6:3 11
6 Botafogo 4 3 1 0 10:2 10
7 Vasco da Gama 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
8 Fluminense 4 3 1 0 6:3 10
9 Bragantino 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
10 São Paulo 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
11 Mirassol 4 2 2 0 9:5 8
12 Juventude 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
13 Atlético MG 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
14 Grêmio 5 2 2 1 5:5 8
15 Fortaleza 4 2 1 1 8:2 7
16 Internacional 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
17 Palmeiras 4 2 1 1 3:1 7
18 Vitória 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
19 Santos 4 1 2 1 5:4 5
20 Sport Recife 4 0 1 3 1:7 1