São Paulo vs Grêmio Prediction, Lineups & Odds
Back São Paulo to Beat Grêmio
We’ll take São Paulo at attractive betting odds of 1.80 considering that they could be dominant against Grêmio. The Full-Time Result market provides plenty of value and a nice potential return.
Grêmio 2-1 Victory in Previous H2H Meeting
São Paulo suffered a defeat in their last game. A 1-0 scoreline occurred on the road against Palmeiras. Tricolor Paulista had 42% possession and totalled two shots on target.
Grêmio drew their previous game which was at home. The action ended 1-1 against Red Bull Bragantino. Mano Menezes' side were restricted to just 37% possession and managed four shots on goal, while Francis Amuzu found the net.
Grêmio had the upper hand in the last encounter between these sides. They recorded a 2-1 home victory over São Paulo. Both teams have four wins each from the past 10 H2H games, along with two draws.
Serie A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | ![]() |
9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8:7 | 12 |
17 | ![]() |
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 8:14 | 9 |
1 win, 3 losses and 6 draws, averaging 0.8 goals from 7.8 attempts and 2.9 shots on goal. São Paulo have had 51.7% possession and 4.3 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.0 goals from 12.6 attempts and 4.2 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 6.5 corners.
Top goalscorer Ferreira has found the net 3 times, Andre 2, with Ryan Francisco and two other players on 1. Ferreira is the leading assists maker on 2.
Grêmio – Last 10 League GamesGrêmio have 2 victories, 4 defeats and 4 draws, with an average of 0.8 goals from 9.6 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal. The Porto Alegre club average 43.9% possession, 4.3 corners in their favour and 5.9 corners against, while conceding 1.6 goals from 11.1 attempts and 4.6 shots on goal.
Francis Amuzu is the leading scorer along with five others, with 1 goals on the board each. Martin Braithwaite, Wagner Leonardo and Matias Arezo have been the top assists providers with 1 in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
São Paulo confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Rafael (GK), Nahuel Ferraresi, Robert Arboleda, Sabino, Enzo Hernan Diaz, Alisson, Marcos Antonio, Lucas Ferreira, Luciano Neves, Oscar, Andre.
Grêmio confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Tiago Volpi (GK), Joao Pedro, Jemerson, Wagner Leonardo, Marlon, Alysson Edward, Mathias Villasanti, Dodi, Alexander Aravena, Miguel Monsalve, Martin Braithwaite.
Expert Serie A Analysis
Injuries and suspensions can affect the overall outcome and we use this information as well as the latest form guide. The same applies to the stats so that we can get the best understanding of how things might pan out.
Key São Paulo vs Grêmio league stats:
São Paulo vs Grêmio Prediction
We believe that São Paulo are excellent value at 1.80 when it comes to this Serie A encounter. The odds look really attractive and we’re confident of landing a return here.
Want to back São Paulo for the win but in search of larger odds? How about taking the bigger Double Result price when it comes to our pick leading at both half-time and full-time.
São Paulo to Win Probability
According to the latest odds, our pick has a 55.6% chance of winning. However, we think that the probability sits between 60-65% taking all factors into consideration. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.
Our Pick
São Paulo To Win @ 1.80
Correct Score Prediction
Our correct score prediction is a 1-0 win for São Paulo which is available at odds of 4.90. We think they’ll achieve victory and this is a way of getting bigger odds and more excitement.
Latest Correct Score Odds
Player Props
Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo) is available to finish with at least one shot on goal at 1.64. He stands out as a value pick when it comes to Shots on Target, with the recommendation being to wager this player prop pick.
Latest Aldemir Ferreira Player Prop Odds


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Lucas dos Santos Ferreira (São Paulo) can be backed at 4.90 to be among the goals. We’ll happily take the odds that he is able to score at least one goal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.
Latest Lucas dos Santos Ferreira Player Prop Odds


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Corners Prediction
São Paulo have not covered the 5.5 corners line in seven consecutive matches. We think that São Paulo will come up short and this Team Corners bet can be backed at 1.80.
Corner Stats


Latest Corner Odds




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São Paulo vs Grêmio Bet Builder Tips
It’s great fun to place a same-game multi and our picks are São Paulo to triumph, less than three goals to be scored together with Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo) to finish with a minimum of one shot on target.
The bet builder feature allows football punters to place a multiple wager on the same game. You can go through the available markets and cherry-pick the outcomes that you think will happen. The odds for each selection are then combined together.
São Paulo vs Grêmio Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
São Paulo Favourites to Win According to Bookies
São Paulo are the 1.62 favourites and that means a 62% chance of winning this Serie A match according to the betting odds at the bookies. Grêmio are the outsiders at 5.75 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.
A low-scoring game will be anticipated by many and Under 2.5 Goals currently has the shortest odds. An alternative angle is a BTTS bet and Both Teams to Score No is available at 1.57.
To combine various Serie A selections within the same match, you will find football betting sites offer a Bet Builder. Start adding the picks you fancy until you’re happy with the overall payout.







André Oliveira Silva Top of First Goalscorer List
André Oliveira Silva is available at 3.45 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer, with the favourite priced at odds of 5.80 to find the net first.
Player Goals




Player Shots On Target




Player Shots




Best Betting Offers
São Paulo
Head to Head
São Paulo vs Grêmio
- Serie A: 01/12 2024 Grêmio 2 São Paulo 1
- Serie A: 18/07 2024 São Paulo 1 Grêmio 0
- Serie A: 21/10 2023 São Paulo 3 Grêmio 0
- Serie A: 04/06 2023 Grêmio 2 São Paulo 1
- Serie A: 03/12 2021 Grêmio 3 São Paulo 0
- Serie A: 15/08 2021 São Paulo 2 Grêmio 1
- Serie A: 15/02 2021 Grêmio 1 São Paulo 2
- Copa do Brasil: 31/12 2020 São Paulo 0 Grêmio 0
- Copa do Brasil: 24/12 2020 Grêmio 1 São Paulo 0
- Serie A: 18/10 2020 São Paulo 0 Grêmio 0
Team Stats
São Paulo League Stats
Grêmio League Stats
Full-Time Result
- 1 wins, 3 defeats and 6 draws in previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in previous 10 home matches
Full-Time Result
- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in previous 10 matches
- 0 wins, 5 defeats and 5 draws in previous 10 away matches
Goals
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
Goals
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
Corners
- An average of 4.30 corners awarded and 6.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.70 corners awarded and 4.60 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 home matches
Corners
- An average of 4.30 corners awarded and 5.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.30 corners awarded and 6.00 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
Possession
- An average of 51.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 56.80% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
Possession
- An average of 43.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 45.40% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 away matches
Team News
It’s good to know about any injuries and this is reflected in our São Paulo vs Grêmio team news, with this leading to predicted and confirmed lineups.
Getting the player information you need is easy thanks to the Serie A squads.
São Paulo vs Grêmio Lineups
São Paulo Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Grêmio Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
São Paulo Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Grêmio Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
São Paulo Substitutes
- 6Cedric Soares
- 12Mathias Leandro
- 18Wendell
- 21Damian Bobadilla
- 28Alan Franco
- 29Pablo Maia
- 36Patryck
- 43Felipe Negrucci
- 45Lucca Marques
- 47Matheus Alves
- 49Ryan Francisco
- 93Jandrei
Grêmio Substitutes
- 4Walter Kannemann
- 7Cristian Pavon
- 9Francis Amuzu
- 10Franco Cristaldo
- 12Gabriel Grando
- 15Camilo
- 19Matias Arezo
- 25Lucas Esteves
- 35Ronald
- 36Luan Candido
- 44Viery
- 77Andre
Previous São Paulo Lineups
Previous Grêmio Lineups
Brazil Serie A Table
2025 Season
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Palmeiras | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 11:4 | 22 |
2 | Flamengo | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:4 | 18 |
3 | Cruzeiro | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | 17 |
4 | Bragantino | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | 17 |
5 | Ceará | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 15 |
6 | Bahia | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9:9 | 15 |
7 | Fluminense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:11 | 14 |
8 | Corinthians | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:14 | 13 |
9 | Atlético MG | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:10 | 13 |
10 | Botafogo | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:5 | 12 |
11 | São Paulo | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 8:7 | 12 |
12 | Mirassol | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 14:12 | 11 |
13 | Vasco da Gama | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10:11 | 10 |
14 | Fortaleza | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:8 | 10 |
15 | Internacional | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:13 | 10 |
16 | Vitória | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | 9 |
17 | Grêmio | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:14 | 9 |
18 | Juventude | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:21 | 8 |
19 | Santos | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7:11 | 5 |
20 | Sport Recife | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4:16 | 2 |
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Cruzeiro | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 13 |
2 | Ceará | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 13 |
3 | Corinthians | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | 12 |
4 | Flamengo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12:1 | 11 |
5 | Bahia | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 11 |
6 | Botafogo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:2 | 10 |
7 | Vasco da Gama | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 10 |
8 | Fluminense | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 10 |
9 | Bragantino | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 10 |
10 | São Paulo | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5:3 | 9 |
11 | Mirassol | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 8 |
12 | Juventude | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 8 |
13 | Atlético MG | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 8 |
14 | Grêmio | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 8 |
15 | Fortaleza | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:2 | 7 |
16 | Internacional | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 7 |
17 | Palmeiras | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:1 | 7 |
18 | Vitória | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
19 | Santos | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 5 |
20 | Sport Recife | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:7 | 1 |
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