São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama Prediction, Lineups & Odds
Goals Look in Short Supply
We’re expecting a low goal tally when São Paulo and Vasco da Gama go up against each other. The Total Goals market provides the opportunity to wager on Under 2.5 and the price of 1.60 looks attractive.
Vasco Overcame São Paulo in Last H2H
São Paulo were defeated in their last game. Away from home, they suffered a 2-0 loss against Cuiabá. Tricolor Paulista recorded an incredible 78% of possession and managed three shots on target.
Vasco da Gama played Juventude at home in their previous game. It was a 1-1 draw. Rafael Paiva's team enjoyed 52% possession and had three shots on goal, with Dimitri Payet on the scoresheet.
Vasco beat São Paulo when the teams last met. It was a 4-1 scoreline. Looking back to the previous 9 H2H meetings, there has been two draws. São Paulo have won four games and Vasco three.
Serie A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | ![]() |
9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8:7 | 12 |
13 | ![]() |
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10:11 | 10 |
5 wins and 5 losses, averaging 1.0 goals from 9.1 attempts and 4.0 shots on goal. São Paulo have had 56.2% possession and 5.3 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.2 goals from 9.0 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 3.8 corners.
Andre, Luciano Neves and William Gomes are joint-top scorers with 2 goals on the board. Wellington Rato is the top assists maker on 3.
Vasco da Gama – Last 10 League GamesVasco have 3 victories, 2 defeats and 5 draws, with an average of 1.2 goals from 7.7 attempts and 3.4 shots on goal. The Rio de Janeiro side average 48.8% possession, 4.9 corners awarded and 6.5 corners against them, while conceding 1.0 goals from 11.7 attempts and 4.0 shots on goal.
Pablo Vegetti is top of the team’s scoring charts with 3, while Dimitri Payet, Philippe Coutinho, Joao Victor and Emerson Rodriguez have 1. The top assistors in the last 10 games are Hugo Moura, Jose Rodriguez and Dimitri Payet who have all made 1.
Confirmed Lineups
São Paulo confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Rafael (GK), Igor Vinicius, Ruan Tressoldi, Sabino, Welington, Marcos Antonio, Luiz Gustavo, Erick, Luciano Neves, Lucas Moura, Jonathan Calleri.
Vasco da Gama confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Leo Jardim (GK), Paulo Henrique, Joao Victor, Maicon, Lucas Piton, Hugo Moura, Mateus Cocao, Philippe Coutinho, Dimitri Payet, Emerson Rodriguez, Pablo Vegetti.
Expert Serie A Analysis
We’re always monitoring the team news. Combined with the latest form, this helps us secure the best value. Our football experts also take a data-led approach, with the key numbers proving useful.
Key São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama league stats:
São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama Prediction
We are expecting a low number of goals for this Serie A encounter. The odds of 1.60 for Under 2.5 look really attractive and we can play this bet with a fair amount of confidence.
If you want to push things a little further to get bigger odds, there’s the chance to back Under 1.5 Goals, with bettors needing one goal or less in order for the bet to secure a return.
Under 2.5 Probability
The latest betting odds imply that our pick has a 62.5% prospect of winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 65-70%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.
Our Pick
Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.60
Correct Score Prediction
São Paulo are available at 5.40 to win by a 2-0 scoreline. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.
Latest Correct Score Odds
São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama Odds
São Paulo are the 1.70 favourites and that means a 59% chance of winning this Serie A match according to the betting odds at the bookies. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Vasco da Gama are trading at 5.00.
A tight game could be on the cards and that is reflected in the short odds about Under 2.5 Goals being scored. If you’re expecting at least one team to keep a clean sheet, you might be interested in the 1.67 about Both Teams to Score No.
The Draw No Bet market is popular for Serie A matches, with the football betting sites offering São Paulo at 1.25 and Vasco da Gama are priced at 3.75 for the win.







Best Betting Offers
São Paulo
Head to Head
São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama
- Serie A: 23/06 2024 Vasco da Gama 4 São Paulo 1
- Serie A: 07/10 2023 Vasco da Gama 0 São Paulo 0
- Serie A: 20/05 2023 São Paulo 4 Vasco da Gama 2
- Copa do Brasil: 05/08 2021 Vasco da Gama 1 São Paulo 2
- Copa do Brasil: 29/07 2021 São Paulo 2 Vasco da Gama 0
- Serie A: 22/11 2020 São Paulo 1 Vasco da Gama 1
- Serie A: 16/08 2020 Vasco da Gama 2 São Paulo 1
- Serie A: 29/11 2019 São Paulo 1 Vasco da Gama 0
- Serie A: 25/08 2019 Vasco da Gama 2 São Paulo 0
Team Stats
São Paulo League Stats
Vasco da Gama League Stats
Full-Time Result
- 5 wins, 5 defeats and 0 draws in previous 10 matches
- 8 wins, 1 defeats and 1 draws in previous 10 home matches
Full-Time Result
- 3 wins, 2 defeats and 5 draws in previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in previous 10 away matches
Goals
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
Goals
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
Corners
- An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 3.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 3.30 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
Corners
- An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 6.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.20 corners awarded and 6.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 11.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.10 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
Possession
- An average of 56.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 55.40% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
Possession
- An average of 48.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 46.80% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 away matches
Team News
Make sure you know the lineups ahead of kick-off, with injuries also playing a part when it comes to São Paulo vs Vasco team news.
The Serie A squad information is a great asset when it comes to making your bets.
São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama Lineups
São Paulo Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Vasco da Gama Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
São Paulo Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Vasco da Gama Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
São Paulo Substitutes
- 4Santiago Longo
- 8Giuliano Galoppo
- 11Rodrigo Nestor
- 13Rafinha
- 18Rodriguinho
- 27Wellington Rato
- 30Joao Moreira
- 34Igao
- 37Henrique Carmo
- 39William Gomes
- 47Ferreira
- 93Jandrei
Vasco da Gama Substitutes
- 2Jose Rodriguez
- 3Leo
- 13Keiller
- 20Juan Sforza
- 21Jean Meneses
- 26Maxime Dominguez
- 27Pablo Galdames
- 31Rossi
- 32Robert Rojas
- 66Leandrinho
- 77Rayan
- 90Alex Teixeira
Previous São Paulo Lineups
Previous Vasco da Gama Lineups
Brazil Serie A Table
2025 Season
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Palmeiras | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 11:4 | 22 |
2 | Flamengo | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:4 | 18 |
3 | Cruzeiro | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | 17 |
4 | Bragantino | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | 17 |
5 | Ceará | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 15 |
6 | Bahia | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9:9 | 15 |
7 | Fluminense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:11 | 14 |
8 | Corinthians | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:14 | 13 |
9 | Atlético MG | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:10 | 13 |
10 | Botafogo | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:5 | 12 |
11 | São Paulo | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 8:7 | 12 |
12 | Mirassol | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 14:12 | 11 |
13 | Vasco da Gama | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10:11 | 10 |
14 | Fortaleza | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:8 | 10 |
15 | Internacional | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:13 | 10 |
16 | Vitória | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | 9 |
17 | Grêmio | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:14 | 9 |
18 | Juventude | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:21 | 8 |
19 | Santos | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7:11 | 5 |
20 | Sport Recife | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4:16 | 2 |
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Cruzeiro | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 13 |
2 | Ceará | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 13 |
3 | Corinthians | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | 12 |
4 | Flamengo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12:1 | 11 |
5 | Bahia | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 11 |
6 | Botafogo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:2 | 10 |
7 | Vasco da Gama | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 10 |
8 | Fluminense | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 10 |
9 | Bragantino | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 10 |
10 | São Paulo | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5:3 | 9 |
11 | Mirassol | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 8 |
12 | Juventude | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 8 |
13 | Atlético MG | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 8 |
14 | Grêmio | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 8 |
15 | Fortaleza | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:2 | 7 |
16 | Internacional | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 7 |
17 | Palmeiras | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:1 | 7 |
18 | Vitória | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
19 | Santos | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 5 |
20 | Sport Recife | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:7 | 1 |
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