Swansea City AFC

Football England - EFL Championship Swansea.com Stadium Sat 5 Apr 22:00

Derby County FC

  1. Prediction
  2. Odds
  3. Stats
  4. Team News
  5. Lineups
  6. Injuries
  7. Squads
  8. Table

Best Bet Has to Be Under 2.5

There’s an opportunity to back Under 2.5 on the Total Goals market at odds of 1.62. This looks like an attractive bet, with Swansea and Derby set to play out a low-scoring contest.

2-1 Win for Swansea in Last H2H Clash

Swansea City drew on the road in their last game. A 2-2 scoreline was played out against Leeds United at Elland Road. The Swans recorded 45% possession and had six shots on target, while Harry Darling and Zan Vipotnik scored one goal each.

Derby County made it four consecutive wins after a 2-0 home success over Preston North End at Pride Park. John Eustace's team had just 35% of the ball and recorded two shots on goal, while Craig Forsyth and Jerry Yates were both on target.

Swansea have won the last two head-to-heads against Derby. The most recent triumph saw them win 2-1 away at Pride Park after a 2-1 home success at Swansea.com Stadium. The previous 8 H2H games have ended in three Swansea victories, three draws and two Derby wins.

Championship G W D L GF GA GD GD P
11 Swansea logo Swansea 46 17 10 19 51 56 -5 51:56 61
19 Derby logo Derby 46 13 11 22 48 56 -8 48:56 50
View Full Table
Swansea City – Last 10 League Games

Swansea have 3 wins, 5 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.8 goals from 2.8 shots on goal and 6.1 attempts. The South Wales club have averaged 51.2% possession and 4.3 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.1 goals from 3.8 shots on goal, 8.6 attempts and 5.0 corners.

Top scorers Zan Vipotnik and Josh Tymon have found the net 2 times, with Harry Darling getting 1. Leading assistor is Myles Peart-Harris with 2.

Derby County – Last 10 League Games

Derby have won 4, lost 4 and drawn 2, with an average of 1.0 goals from 5.1 attempts and 2.1 shots on goal. The Rams average 41.5% possession, 3.2 corners awarded and 4.1 corners against them, while conceding 1.1 goals from 7.1 attempts and 3.4 shots on goal.

Marcus Harness has scored 3, followed by Craig Forsyth and Jerry Yates with 2 goals apiece. Nathaniel Phillips and Callum Elder have clocked up 3 assists each in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Swansea confirmed lineup (5-3-2): Lawrence Vigouroux (GK), Ben Cabango, Jay Fulton, Harry Darling, Josh Key, Josh Tymon, Ronald Pereira, Hannes Delcroix, Goncalo Franco, Lewis O'Brien, Liam Cullen.

Derby confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Jacob Widell Zetterstroem (GK), Nathaniel Phillips, Matthew Clarke, Sondre Klingen Langaas, Kane Wilson, Ebou Adams, Harrison Armstrong, Liam Thompson, Craig Forsyth, Kayden Jackson, Marcus Harness.

Expert Championship Analysis

Injuries and suspensions can affect the overall outcome and we use this information as well as the latest form guide. The same applies to the stats so that we can get the best understanding of how things might pan out.

Key Swansea vs Derby league stats:

  • The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Swansea games at home.
  • The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Swansea games.
  • The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Swansea games at home.
  • The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Derby games.
  • The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 12 of the last 20 Derby games.

Swansea vs Derby Prediction

There are reasons to side with Under 2.5 Goals for this Championship match. The two sides could fall short of the line and we really like the odds of 1.62 that are available for this pick.

There’s a different betting option which means choosing Under 2.5 Goals in a Bet Builder with other selections. This will increase the price and provide you with a run for your money.

Under 2.5 Probability

The bookies are estimating that there is a 61.9% likelihood of this pick landing a return. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 65-70%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

Our Pick

Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.62 Bet Now bet365 logo
Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.
Published 02:38, 04 April 2025

Correct Score Prediction

Swansea Swansea logo 1 - 0 Derby logo Derby

We’ve found an attractive bet at odds of 5.30 and it involves Swansea winning 1-0. We like a wager on correct score as there’s the chance to bank a bigger return.

Corners Prediction

Derby Over 3.5 Corners 1.73 bet365 logo

Derby have been awarded an average of 4.90 corners in the past 10 away matches, while the corner count against Swansea has been more than 3.5 in the previous four home games. We think that the value can be found by wagering on Team Corners and you can secure 1.73 that Derby go over the line.

Corner Stats

League Games
Last 10 Total For Against
Last 10 at Home Total For Against
Last 10 Away Total For Against
Swansea Logo Swansea
Total
9.30 4.30 5.00
Home
8.40 4.20 4.20
Away
9.70 4.80 4.90
Derby Logo Derby
Total
7.30 3.20 4.10
Home
8.70 3.80 4.90
Away
10.30 4.90 5.40

Latest Corner Odds

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Swansea vs Derby Odds

With the bookies giving them a 48% probability of winning, Swansea City might become a popular accumulator pick at their current betting odds. That is reflected in their 2.10 price of winning this Championship clash. The market suggests that Derby County are least likely to win at 4.00.

A tight game could be on the cards and that is reflected in the short odds about Under 2.5 Goals being scored. Both Teams to Score is a popular bet and the Yes/No options are something of a toss-up here.

Should you want to back Swansea City to win this Championship match, then there is 1.44 available on the Draw No Bet market, with Derby County chalked at 2.63.

Best Betting Offers

Team Stats

Swansea logo Swansea League Stats

Derby logo Derby League Stats

Full-Time Result

  • 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in previous 10 matches
  • 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draws in previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

  • 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in previous 10 matches
  • 1 wins, 7 defeats and 2 draws in previous 10 away matches

Goals

Goals

Corners

Corners

Possession

Possession

Top Scorers & Assists

Top Scorers & Assists

Team News

It’s great to get the latest lineups for the match, with injuries being flagged up thanks to our up-to-date Swansea vs Derby team news.

If you’re looking for the latest player information, check out the Championship squads.

Swansea vs Derby Lineups

Swansea Confirmed Lineup 5-3-2

Derby Confirmed Lineup 3-5-2

Swansea Confirmed Lineup 5-3-2

22 Lawrence Vigouroux
5 Ben Cabango 4 Jay Fulton 6 Harry Darling 2 Josh Key 14 Josh Tymon
35 Ronald Pereira 28 Hannes Delcroix 17 Goncalo Franco
8 Lewis O'Brien 20 Liam Cullen
1 J. W. Zetterstroem
12 Nathaniel Phillips 25 Matthew Clarke 6 S. Klingen Langaas
2 Kane Wilson 32 Ebou Adams 28 Harrison Armstrong 16 Liam Thompson 3 Craig Forsyth
19 Kayden Jackson 18 Marcus Harness

Derby Confirmed Lineup 3-5-2

Swansea Substitutes

  • 7Joe Allen
  • 9Zan Vipotnik
  • 10Ji-Sung Eom
  • 19Florian Bianchini
  • 23Cyrus Christie
  • 26Kyle Naughton
  • 31Oliver Cooper
  • 33Jon McLaughlin
  • 41Sam Parker

Derby Substitutes

  • 7Tom Barkhuizen
  • 11N. Mendez-Laing
  • 17Kenzo Goudmijn
  • 21Jake Rooney
  • 29Jeff Hendrick
  • 31Josh Vickers
  • 33Erik Pieters
  • 36Keilen Robinson
  • 48Lennon Wheeldon

Previous Swansea Lineups

29 Mar Championship
Leeds 2-2 Swansea
15 Mar Championship
Swansea 0-2 Burnley
13 Mar Championship
Watford 1-0 Swansea
08 Mar Championship
Swansea 1-0 Middlesbrough
05 Mar Championship
Preston 0-0 Swansea
22 Feb Championship
Swansea 3-0 Blackburn

Previous Derby Lineups

03 Apr Championship
Derby 2-0 Preston
15 Mar Championship
Plymouth 2-3 Derby
12 Mar Championship
Derby 2-0 Coventry
08 Mar Championship
Derby 2-1 Blackburn
01 Mar Championship
Middlesbrough 1-0 Derby
22 Feb Championship
Derby 0-1 Millwall

Injuries & Suspensions

Swansea Injury Table

Type Name Info
No players are currently reported injured or suspended.

Derby Injury Table

Type Name Info
J. W. Zetterstroem Other
Callum Elder Other
David Ozoh Thigh
Dajaune Brown Hamstring
L. Salvesen Cruciate ligame
Curtis Nelson Knee

England FlagChampionship Table

2024/2025 Season

# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Leeds 46 29 13 4 95:30 100
2 Burnley 46 28 16 2 69:16 100
3 Sheffield Utd 46 28 8 10 63:36 90
4 Sunderland 46 21 13 12 58:44 76
5 Coventry 46 20 9 17 64:58 69
6 Bristol City 46 17 17 12 59:55 68
7 Blackburn 46 19 9 18 53:48 66
8 Millwall 46 18 12 16 47:49 66
9 West Brom 46 15 19 12 57:47 64
10 Middlesbrough 46 18 10 18 64:56 64
11 Swansea 46 17 10 19 51:56 61
12 Sheffield Wed 46 15 13 18 60:69 58
13 Norwich 46 14 15 17 71:68 57
14 Watford 46 16 9 21 53:61 57
15 QPR 46 14 14 18 53:63 56
16 Portsmouth 46 14 12 20 58:71 54
17 Oxford 46 13 14 19 49:65 53
18 Stoke 46 12 15 19 45:62 51
19 Derby 46 13 11 22 48:56 50
20 Preston 46 10 20 16 48:59 50
21 Hull 46 12 13 21 44:54 49
22 Luton 46 13 10 23 45:69 49
23 Plymouth 46 11 13 22 51:88 46
24 Cardiff 46 9 17 20 48:73 44
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Leeds 23 18 4 1 61:12 58
2 Burnley 23 14 9 0 35:8 51
3 Sheffield Utd 23 15 4 4 33:17 49
4 Bristol City 23 13 7 3 36:20 46
5 Coventry 23 14 3 6 40:24 45
6 Sunderland 23 12 7 4 32:18 43
7 West Brom 23 11 8 4 33:20 41
8 Portsmouth 23 11 7 5 33:21 40
9 Blackburn 23 12 4 7 34:23 40
10 Millwall 23 12 4 7 27:19 40
11 Watford 23 12 4 7 27:22 40
12 Middlesbrough 23 11 6 6 31:23 39
13 Norwich 23 10 8 5 52:34 38
14 Oxford 23 11 5 7 31:29 38
15 Swansea 23 10 6 7 33:24 36
16 Luton 23 9 7 7 25:22 34
17 Plymouth 23 9 7 7 40:39 34
18 Stoke 23 8 9 6 29:25 33
19 Preston 23 7 12 4 26:22 33
20 Derby 23 9 5 9 25:18 32
21 QPR 23 7 8 8 31:34 29
22 Cardiff 23 7 6 10 24:27 27
23 Sheffield Wed 23 6 8 9 30:32 26
24 Hull 23 5 8 10 24:28 23