Toluca vs Cruz Azul Prediction, Lineups & Odds
Toluca Worthy Favourites
Toluca look like the real deal against Cruz Azul and we’re happy to take the 1.93 about them on the Asian Handicap -0.25. We get half our money back if the game ends level.
Teams Drew 1-1 in Last H2H Encounter
Deportivo Toluca have triumphed in their last six games. The latest of these was on the road where Atlético San Luis were beaten 1-0 at Estadio Alfonso Lastras. Los Diablos Rojos enjoyed 49% possession and had five shots on target, with Jesus Gallardo netting the winner in the 16th minute.
Cruz Azul claimed a 2-1 home win over Club León at Estadio Azteca in their previous game. Vicente Sanchez's side had the lion’s share of the ball recording 62% possession and eight shots on goal, while Luka Romero and Gabriel Fernandez were both on target.
Estadio Azteca played host to the most recent head-to-head when home side Cruz Azul drew 1-1 with Toluca. In the previous 10 H2H matches, we have seen five Cruz Azul victories, four Toluca wins and one draw.
Liga MX | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | ![]() |
17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 41:22 | 37 |
3 | ![]() |
17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 26:16 | 33 |
9 wins and 1 loss, averaging 2.8 goals from 7.5 shots on goal and 12.0 attempts. Deportivo Toluca have had 57.7% possession and 5.4 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.1 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 8.3 attempts, while being awarded 4.5 corners.
Paulinho is the top scorer with 10 goals, while Alexis Vega has 7 and Jesus Angulo 3. Alexis Vega and Jesus Gallardo are the leading assists makers with 4.
Cruz Azul – Last 10 League GamesCruz Azul have won 6, lost 1 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.4 goals from 11.7 attempts and 4.7 shots on goal. La Máquina Celeste average 54.8% possession, 5.4 corners awarded and 5.9 corners against them, while conceding 0.7 goals from 7.0 attempts and 3.0 shots on goal.
Ignacio Rivero has recorded 4 goals, Angel Sepulveda 3, with Carlos Rodolfo Rotondi and Andres Montano both managing 2. Mateusz Bogusz is the top assists provider in the last 10 games with 3.
Confirmed Lineups
Toluca confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Pau Lopez (GK), Bruno Mendez, Federico Pereira, Everardo Del Villar, Jesus Gallardo, Hector Herrera, Marcel Ruiz, Juan Dominguez, Jesus Angulo, Alexis Vega, Paulinho.
Cruz Azul confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Kevin Mier (GK), Willer Ditta, Erik Lira, Jesus Orozco, Jorge Sanchez, Lorenzo Faravelli, Andres Montano, Carlos Rodolfo Rotondi, Luka Romero, Gabriel Fernandez, Alexis Gutierrez.
Expert Liga MX Analysis
The football betting tips are only provided once we have a handle on the team news and the latest form guide. We are also on point when it comes to the most valuable stats.
Key Toluca vs Cruz Azul league stats:
Toluca vs Cruz Azul Prediction
There’s a strong case for backing Toluca in this Liga MX game and we’ll take them at -0.25 at 1.93. This means a good return if they win and we expect the home team to have the edge.
There are plenty of different options to Asian Handicap and that includes the Winning Margin market. Choose whether a team will achieve a close win or something bigger.
Toluca -0.25 Probability
The latest betting odds imply that our pick has a 51.9% prospect of winning. After careful examination, our experts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.
Our Pick
Toluca Asian Hcp -0.25 @ 1.93
Correct Score Prediction
Let’s take a chance on the 8.00 available that Toluca secure a 2-1 victory. There’s a nice potential return waiting if we’re able to predict the correct score.
Latest Correct Score Odds
Player Props
Alexis Vega (Toluca) has managed six goals in his past five Liga MX matches on home soil. Based on the stats, we are happy to back the 4.40 when it comes to him finding the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.
Latest Alexis Vega Player Prop Odds

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Corners Prediction
The 4.5 corners line has not been covered by Cruz Azul in their past four games, with the corner count against Toluca going under 4.5 in their last four home matches. On this basis, we can take a price of 1.73 that this Cruz Azul Team Corners bet falls short of the line.
Corner Stats


Latest Corner Odds




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Toluca vs Cruz Azul Odds
The bookies have Deportivo Toluca at 2.20 in the Full-Time Result market, implying the market leaders are 45% likely to win this Liga MX match according to the latest betting odds. Cruz Azul are the outsiders at 3.25 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.
The odds suggest that Over 2.5 Goals is a strong probability in this exciting match. If you think both teams will score, then you can back BTTS Yes at 1.50.
To combine various Liga MX selections within the same match, you will find football betting sites offer a Bet Builder. Start adding the picks you fancy until you’re happy with the overall payout.







João Paulo "Paulinho" Fernandes is the First Goalscorer Favourite
Favourite João Paulo "Paulinho" Fernandes is available at 3.80 to be the First Goalscorer. Similar odds apply if you’re interested in him to score the last goal.
Player Goals




Best Betting Offers
Toluca
Head to Head
Toluca vs Cruz Azul
- Liga MX: 21/07 2024 Cruz Azul 1 Toluca 1
- Liga MX: 28/04 2024 Toluca 0 Cruz Azul 1
- Liga MX: 09/07 2023 Cruz Azul 0 Toluca 2
- Liga MX: 12/02 2023 Toluca 3 Cruz Azul 1
- Liga MX: 15/08 2022 Cruz Azul 2 Toluca 3
- Liga MX: 21/02 2022 Toluca 1 Cruz Azul 4
- Liga MX: 15/08 2021 Cruz Azul 4 Toluca 0
- Liga MX: 16/05 2021 Cruz Azul 3 Toluca 1
- Liga MX: 13/05 2021 Toluca 2 Cruz Azul 1
- Liga MX: 21/02 2021 Cruz Azul 3 Toluca 2
Team Stats
Toluca League Stats
Cruz Azul League Stats
Full-Time Result
- 9 wins, 1 defeats and 0 draws in previous 10 matches
- 7 wins, 1 defeats and 2 draws in previous 10 home matches
Full-Time Result
- 6 wins, 1 defeats and 3 draws in previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in previous 10 away matches
Goals
- An average of 2.80 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.60 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
Goals
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
Corners
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 4.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 4.10 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.50 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 home matches
Corners
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 5.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.80 corners awarded and 5.40 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 11.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.20 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches
Possession
- An average of 57.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 57.60% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
Possession
- An average of 54.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 51.20% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 away matches
Team News
You’ve found the right place for Toluca vs Cruz Azul team news, with all the latest information available including lineups and injuries so you’re fully informed.
We’ve got details of the Liga MX squads so that you know every player on the roster.
Toluca vs Cruz Azul Lineups
Deportivo Toluca Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Cruz Azul Confirmed Lineup 3-4-3
Deportivo Toluca Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Cruz Azul Confirmed Lineup 3-4-3
Deportivo Toluca Substitutes
- 2Diego Barbosa
- 5Franco Romero
- 11Helio Junio
- 12Isaias Violante
- 13Luan Garcia
- 17Brian Garcia
- 19Ivan Lopez
- 24Frankie Amaya
- 31Robert Morales
- 181Ronaldo Dimas
Cruz Azul Substitutes
- 1Andres Gudino
- 7Mateusz Bogusz
- 9Angel Sepulveda
- 11Georgios Giakoumakis
- 15Ignacio Rivero
- 17Amaury Garcia
- 19Carlos Rodriguez
- 26Carlos Vargas
- 35Luis Gutierrez
- 194Amaury Morales
Previous Toluca Lineups
Previous Cruz Azul Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Toluca Injury Table
Cruz Azul Injury Table
Liga MX Table
2024/2025 Season
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Toluca | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 41:22 | 37 |
2 | América | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 34:10 | 34 |
3 | Cruz Azul | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 26:16 | 33 |
4 | Tigres | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 24:14 | 33 |
5 | Necaxa | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 36:29 | 31 |
6 | León | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 24:21 | 30 |
7 | Monterrey | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 32:23 | 28 |
8 | Pachuca | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:23 | 28 |
9 | Juárez | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 16:21 | 24 |
10 | Pumas | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 23:26 | 21 |
11 | Guadalajara | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:21 | 21 |
12 | Querétaro | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 17:24 | 20 |
13 | Tijuana | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 29:35 | 19 |
14 | Atlas | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 25:32 | 18 |
15 | San Luis | 17 | 6 | 0 | 11 | 20:33 | 18 |
16 | Mazatlán | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16:26 | 17 |
17 | Puebla | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12:25 | 9 |
18 | Santos Laguna | 17 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 15:36 | 7 |
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Tigres | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 18:6 | 24 |
2 | Toluca | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 21:9 | 20 |
3 | América | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 22:5 | 18 |
4 | Cruz Azul | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | 18 |
5 | Pachuca | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13:7 | 18 |
6 | Monterrey | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16:10 | 16 |
7 | León | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 16 |
8 | Guadalajara | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 15 |
9 | Necaxa | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 18:16 | 15 |
10 | Juárez | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:12 | 15 |
11 | Querétaro | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11:11 | 13 |
12 | Mazatlán | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:11 | 13 |
13 | Pumas | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:8 | 12 |
14 | San Luis | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12:15 | 12 |
15 | Tijuana | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 17:19 | 9 |
16 | Atlas | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15:20 | 9 |
17 | Santos Laguna | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:17 | 6 |
18 | Puebla | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:12 | 4 |
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