Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City Prediction, Lineups & Odds
A Tight Game In Store
There’s a strong argument to go with Under 2.5 on the Total Goals market. Wellington and Melbourne City might not reach this total and we’re a fan of the odds of 1.91 that are available for this prediction.
City Are 7 From 10 on the Head-to-Head
Wellington Phoenix lost away in their last game, making it back-to-back losses. Auckland won 6-1 at Go Media Stadium. Giancarlo Italiano's side had 48% possession and managed five shots on target, with Luke Brooke-Smith registering the goal.
Melbourne City drew on the road in their previous game. A 2-2 scoreline was played out against Melbourne Victory at AAMI Park. The Cranbourne East club recorded 45% possession and had seven shots on goal, with Marco Tilio and Kai Trewin both on target.
City are bidding for a third successive win against Wellington, having previously obliged at home by 2-0 and 1-0 scorelines at AAMI Park. The previous 10 H2H games have included seven wins for City, two triumphs for Wellington and a single draw.
A-League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | ![]() |
25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 36:24 | 45 |
11 | ![]() |
25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 27:41 | 24 |
2 wins, 5 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.8 goals from 2.8 shots on goal and 5.0 attempts. Wellington have had 45.6% possession and 3.5 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.8 goals from 6.3 shots on goal and 13.7 attempts, while being awarded 5.7 corners.
Top goalscorer Kosta Barbarouses has found the net 2 times, with Luke Brooke-Smith, Isaac Robert Hughes, Kazuki Nagasawa and Corban Piper scoring 1 each. Leading assistor is Hideki Ishige with 3.
Melbourne City – Last 10 League GamesCity have won 4, lost 3 and drawn 3, with an average of 4.7 shots on goal, 10.3 attempts and 1.0 goals. Aurelio Vidmar's team average 53.8% possession, 4.4 corners taken and 4.0 corners against them, while 0.9 goals have been conceded from 7.4 attempts and 4.5 shots on goal.
Benjamin Mazzeo and Harry Politidis have scored 2 goals, followed by Marco Tilio with 1. Max Caputo, Zane Schreiber and Arion Sulemani have managed 1 assists in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Wellington Phoenix confirmed lineup (4-3-2-1): Alby Kelly-Heald (GK), Tim Payne, Isaac Robert Hughes, Scott Wootton, Sam Sutton, Paulo Retre, Alex Rufer, Matthew Sheridan, Chico Geraldes, Nathan Walker, Kosta Barbarouses.
Melbourne City confirmed lineup (4-1-3-2): Patrick Beach (GK), Nathaniel Atkinson, German Ferreyra, Samuel Souprayen, Aziz Behich, Kai Trewin, Marco Tilio, Zane Schreiber, Kavian Rahmani, Max Caputo, Andreas Kuen.
Expert A-League Analysis
We use the injury and suspension information to come up with the best possible football tips. You will also see that we take a stats-led approach by considering the key numbers.
Key Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City league stats:
Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City Prediction
The best bet for this A-League game could involve going low on the number of goals. We think that Under 2.5 is crying out to be backed based on the available stats and the odds of 1.91 look value.
If you’re in search of a larger price and anticipate things being tight, then it might be worth looking at Under 1.5 Goals, with less than two goals needing to be scored overall.
Under 2.5 Probability
When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. However, our experts think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.
Our Pick
Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.91
Correct Score Prediction
We’re taking a correct score bet which involves a 0-0 scoreline. The odds of 11.00 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.
Latest Correct Score Odds
Corners Prediction
The 10.5 Total Corners line has not been covered in three straight Melbourne City matches, with the previous 10 Wellington games averaging 9.20 corners. We think the teams might end up being short on this front, with odds of 1.83 on offer when it comes to this Total Corners selection.
Corner Stats


Latest Corner Odds




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Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City Odds
Melbourne City are the 1.73 favourites and that means a 58% chance of winning this A-League match according to the betting odds at the bookies. Wellington Phoenix are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and they can be backed at 4.50.
The latest betting suggests it’s a close call between Over 2.5 Goals and Under 2.5 Goals. There are two Both Teams to Score options, with Yes on offer at 1.80 and No at 1.95.
A Bet Builder allows you to combine different A-League betting markets for a match. For example, you might want to predict the Match Winner and Total Goals at a football betting site.
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Full Time Result
1
4.50
X
4.00
2
1.73
-
Half Time Result
1
5.00
X
2.25
2
2.30
-
Double Chance
1X
2.05
12
1.22
X2
1.18
-
Both Teams to Score
Yes
1.80
No
1.95
-
Draw No Bet
1
3.40
2
1.30
-
Asian Handicap
1 Hcp +0.75
1.92
2 Hcp -0.75
1.98
-
Total Goals
Under 2.5
1.91
Over 2.5
1.91
-
Total Corners
Under 10.5
1.83
Over 10.5
1.83
Best Betting Offers
Wellington
Head to Head
Wellington vs Melbourne City
- A-League: 03/01 2025 Melbourne City 2 Wellington 0
- A-League: 09/03 2024 Melbourne City 1 Wellington 0
- A-League: 25/11 2023 Wellington 1 Melbourne City 0
- FFA Cup: 27/08 2023 Melbourne City 3 Wellington 0
- A-League: 10/04 2023 Melbourne City 4 Wellington 1
- A-League: 02/01 2023 Wellington 1 Melbourne City 3
- A-League: 30/10 2022 Melbourne City 2 Wellington 2
- FFA Cup: 17/08 2022 Melbourne City 1 Wellington 2
- A-League: 09/05 2022 Melbourne City 2 Wellington 1
- A-League: 02/04 2022 Wellington 0 Melbourne City 6
Team Stats
Wellington Phoenix Stats
Melbourne City Stats
Full time Result
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in previous 10 home matches
Full time Results
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in previous 10 away matches
Goals
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.90 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
Goals
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
Corners
- An average of 3.50 corners awarded and 5.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 5.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 home matches
Corners
- An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 4.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 4.10 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
Possession
- An average of 45.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 50.20% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 home matches
Possession
- An average of 53.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 54.10% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 away matches
Team News
We’re ready to bring you Wellington vs City team news as soon as it’s announced. This will allow you to get the big picture.
Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City Lineups
Wellington Phoenix Confirmed Lineup 4-3-2-1
Melbourne City Confirmed Lineup 4-1-3-2
Wellington Phoenix Confirmed Lineup 4-3-2-1
Melbourne City Confirmed Lineup 4-1-3-2
Wellington Phoenix Substitutes
- 1Josh Oluwayemi
- 3Corban Piper
- 9Hideki Ishige
- 18Lukas Kelly-Heald
- 21Marco Rojas
- 25Kazuki Nagasawa
- 29Luke Brooke-Smith
Melbourne City Substitutes
- 2Callum Talbot
- 7Matthew Leckie
- 38Harry Politidis
- 39Emin Durakovic
- 40James Nieuwenhuizen
- 41Lawrence Wong
- 46Benjamin Mazzeo
Previous Wellington Phoenix Lineups
Previous Melbourne City Lineups
A-League Table
2024/2025 Season
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Auckland | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 47:23 | 53 |
2 | Melb City | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 36:24 | 45 |
3 | Western United | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 51:35 | 44 |
4 | Western Sydney | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 55:39 | 43 |
5 | Melb Victory | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 43:35 | 42 |
6 | Adelaide United | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 53:55 | 38 |
7 | Sydney FC | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 52:41 | 37 |
8 | Macarthur | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 49:42 | 33 |
9 | Newcastle Jets | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 42:43 | 29 |
10 | Central Coast | 25 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 28:49 | 26 |
11 | Wellington | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 27:41 | 24 |
12 | Brisbane Roar | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 30:50 | 18 |
13 | Perth Glory | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20:56 | 14 |
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Auckland | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 26:14 | 28 |
2 | Melb Victory | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 25:15 | 24 |
3 | Melb City | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 15:10 | 23 |
4 | Sydney FC | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 36:25 | 21 |
5 | Western United | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19:12 | 21 |
6 | Western Sydney | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 31:23 | 20 |
7 | Adelaide United | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 27:27 | 17 |
8 | Newcastle Jets | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 22:22 | 12 |
9 | Wellington | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11:15 | 11 |
10 | Central Coast | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:25 | 11 |
11 | Macarthur | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21:22 | 10 |
12 | Brisbane Roar | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12:26 | 8 |
13 | Perth Glory | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11:29 | 8 |
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