Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Prediction, Lineups & Odds

Wellington Phoenix FC

Melbourne Victory FC
There Could Be Goals at Both Ends
Wellington and Melbourne Victory both look good to find the net when it comes to this showdown and that leads us to a BTTS Yes wager. We can land odds of 1.67 for this outcome and that’s an appealing price.
1-0 Triumph for Victory in Last H2H
Wellington Phoenix won their last game 2-1. This was a road win against Newcastle Jets at McDonald Jones Stadium. The Nix enjoyed just 33% possession and had eight shots on target, with Kosta Barbarouses and Kazuki Nagasawa scoring one goal each.
Melbourne Victory claimed a 5-3 home win over Adelaide United at AAMI Park in their previous game. Arthur Diles' side had the lion’s share of the ball enjoying 57% possession and nine shots on goal, with Daniel Arzani and Nikolaos Vergos both scoring twice.
Melbourne overcame Wellington in their last head-to-head encounter. It was a 1-0 home triumph at AAMI Park. The past 10 meetings between these sides have resulted in five Melbourne victories and two Wellington wins. There have also been three draws.
A-League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | ![]() |
25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 43:35 | 42 |
11 | ![]() |
25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 27:41 | 24 |
2 wins, 4 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.0 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 6.4 attempts. Wellington have had 43.0% possession and 3.3 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.8 goals from 6.1 shots on goal and 13.5 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 6.1 corners.
Kosta Barbarouses is the top goalscorer with 3, Kazuki Nagasawa has 2, with Corban Piper and two other players on 1. Hideki Ishige is the leading assists maker with 3.
Melbourne Victory – Last 10 League GamesVictory have won 5, lost 3 and drawn 2, averaging 6.4 shots on goal, 12.0 attempts and 2.0 goals. The Boys in Blue average 55.3% possession, 6.0 corners awarded and 4.4 corners against, while 1.6 goals have been conceded from 8.3 attempts and 4.0 shots on goal.
Nishan Velupillay and Nikolaos Vergos have top scored with 4 goals, while Clarismario Rodrigus is next on 3. Nishan Velupillay, Daniel Arzani and Jordi Valadon have clocked up 2 assists each in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Wellington Phoenix confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Josh Oluwayemi (GK), Corban Piper, Scott Wootton, Isaac Robert Hughes, Tim Payne, Alex Rufer, Matthew Sheridan, Sam Sutton, Kazuki Nagasawa, Hideki Ishige, Kosta Barbarouses.
Melbourne Victory confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Mitchell Langerak (GK), Joshua Rawlins, Roderick Miranda, Lachlan Jackson, Kasey Bos, Ryan Teague, Jordi Valadon, Daniel Arzani, Zinedine Machach, Nishan Velupillay, Nikolaos Vergos.
Expert A-League Analysis
It’s always a case of checking out the latest team news to make expert football recommendations. Then we get to work when it comes to unearthing the stats that are the most valuable.
Key Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory league stats:
Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Prediction
We can’t pass up the chance to back BTTS Yes at 1.67, with both sides expected to find the net in this A-League match. The Both Teams to Score market provides a great angle for a wager.
There are opportunities to boost your BTTS Yes odds and a popular option is to combine it with the match result on the Result & Both Teams to Score market. This means forecasting a team to win or the draw along with your original selection.
BTTS Yes Probability
The betting sites make it a 60% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our tipsters research has found that the actual probability is closer to 70%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.
Our Pick
Both Teams To Score - Yes @ 1.67
Corners Prediction
It’s been five straight Wellington matches where the 10.5 Total Corners line has not been covered. The Total Corners line looks too high and we’re happy to go under this number at odds of 1.83.
Corner Stats


Latest Corner Odds




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Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Odds
Melbourne Victory are the shortest price to win this A-League game according to the bookies, with the gambling operators giving them a 59% probability due to their 1.70 betting odds. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get 4.10 about Wellington Phoenix.
The odds suggest that Over 2.5 Goals is a strong probability in this exciting match. BTTS betting is popular and you can back Yes at 1.57 on the Both Teams to Score market.
A Bet Builder allows you to combine different A-League betting markets for a match. For example, you might want to predict the Match Winner and Total Goals at a football betting site.
-
Full Time Result
1
4.10
X
4.20
2
1.70
-
Half Time Result
1
4.50
X
2.40
2
2.25
-
Double Chance
1X
2.10
12
1.22
X2
1.22
-
Both Teams to Score
Yes
1.57
No
2.25
-
Draw No Bet
1
3.25
2
1.33
-
Asian Handicap
1 Hcp +0.75
1.95
2 Hcp -0.75
1.95
-
Total Goals
Under 2.5
2.38
Over 2.5
1.57
-
Total Corners
Under 10.5
1.83
Over 10.5
1.83
Best Betting Offers
Wellington
Head to Head
Wellington vs Melbourne Victory
- A-League: 14/02 2025 Melbourne Victory 1 Wellington 0
- A-League: 24/11 2024 Wellington 1 Melbourne Victory 0
- A-League: 18/05 2024 Wellington 1 Melbourne Victory 2
- A-League: 12/05 2024 Melbourne Victory 0 Wellington 0
- A-League: 12/04 2024 Wellington 1 Melbourne Victory 0
- A-League: 19/01 2024 Wellington 1 Melbourne Victory 1
- A-League: 10/11 2023 Melbourne Victory 1 Wellington 1
- A-League: 01/04 2023 Wellington 1 Melbourne Victory 2
- A-League: 03/02 2023 Melbourne Victory 3 Wellington 1
- A-League: 29/04 2022 Melbourne Victory 3 Wellington 1
Team Stats
Wellington Phoenix Stats
Melbourne Victory Stats
Full time Result
- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in previous 10 home matches
Full time Results
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in previous 10 away matches
Goals
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.90 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
Goals
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
Corners
- An average of 3.30 corners awarded and 6.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.70 corners awarded and 6.40 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 home matches
Corners
- An average of 6.00 corners awarded and 4.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.70 corners awarded and 5.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.00 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
Possession
- An average of 43.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 47.20% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 home matches
Possession
- An average of 55.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 53.20% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 away matches
Team News
It’s important to be as informed as possible, with the Wellington vs Victory team news helping you find out who is available for the next game.
Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Lineups
Wellington Phoenix Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Melbourne Victory Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Wellington Phoenix Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Melbourne Victory Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Wellington Phoenix Substitutes
- 5Fin Conchie
- 8Paulo Retre
- 18Lukas Kelly-Heald
- 29Luke Brooke-Smith
- 35Dublin Boon
- 39Jayden Smith
- 41Nathan Walker
Melbourne Victory Substitutes
- 5Brendan Hamill
- 10Bruno Fornaroli
- 16Joshua Inserra
- 18Fabian Monge
- 23Alexander Badolato
- 25Jack Duncan
- 27Reno Piscopo
Previous Wellington Phoenix Lineups
Previous Melbourne Victory Lineups
A-League Table
2024/2025 Season
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Auckland | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 47:23 | 53 |
2 | Melb City | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 36:24 | 45 |
3 | Western United | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 51:35 | 44 |
4 | Western Sydney | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 55:39 | 43 |
5 | Melb Victory | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 43:35 | 42 |
6 | Adelaide United | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 53:55 | 38 |
7 | Sydney FC | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 52:41 | 37 |
8 | Macarthur | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 49:42 | 33 |
9 | Newcastle Jets | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 42:43 | 29 |
10 | Central Coast | 25 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 28:49 | 26 |
11 | Wellington | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 27:41 | 24 |
12 | Brisbane Roar | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 30:50 | 18 |
13 | Perth Glory | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20:56 | 14 |
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Auckland | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 26:14 | 28 |
2 | Melb Victory | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 25:15 | 24 |
3 | Melb City | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 15:10 | 23 |
4 | Sydney FC | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 36:25 | 21 |
5 | Western United | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19:12 | 21 |
6 | Western Sydney | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 31:23 | 20 |
7 | Adelaide United | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 27:27 | 17 |
8 | Newcastle Jets | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 22:22 | 12 |
9 | Wellington | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11:15 | 11 |
10 | Central Coast | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:25 | 11 |
11 | Macarthur | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21:22 | 10 |
12 | Brisbane Roar | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12:26 | 8 |
13 | Perth Glory | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11:29 | 8 |
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