Western United vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction, Lineups & Odds
Take United to Cover the Asian Handicap Line
It makes sense to back Western United -1.25 at 2.06 on the Asian Handicap. The favourites should beat Wellington by two goals or more, although we have the insurance of half our stake back should they win by a single goal.
7 Nix Victories in Previous 10 H2H Clashes
Western United won their previous game 3-1. This away victory at Industree Group Stadium against Central Coast Mariners was their second on the spin. John Aloisi's team had 50% possession and managed ten shots on target, with Noah Botic, Luke Vickery and Michael Ruhs among the goals.
Wellington Phoenix have suffered three straight defeats, recently being beaten at home by Melbourne City 1-0 at Sky Stadium. The Nix were restricted to 40% possession and didn’t have any shots on goal.
Wellington have not lost to United in the past four meetings, with their last encounter ending in a 1-1 draw at Sky Stadium. The past 10 H2H meetings have included seven victories for Wellington, two wins for United and a single draw.
A-League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | ![]() |
25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 51:35 | 44 |
11 | ![]() |
25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 27:41 | 24 |
United have 6 wins, 2 losses and 2 draws, averaging 2.1 goals from 6.1 shots on goal and 10.7 attempts. The Green and Black have averaged 53.5% possession and 6.6 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.5 goals from 3.4 shots on goal, 7.9 attempts and 3.6 corners.
Noah Botic is the top scorer with 7 goals, Hiroshi Ibusuki has 4, with Riku Danzaki and Abel Walatee on 2. Benjamin Garuccio has recorded the most assists with 4.
Wellington Phoenix – Last 10 League GamesWellington have won 2, lost 5 and drawn 3, with an average of 0.7 goals from 2.5 shots on goal and 4.6 attempts. The New Zealand outfit have averaged 45.8% possession, 3.2 corners awarded and 6.6 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.5 goals from 5.9 shots on goal and 12.5 attempts.
Kosta Barbarouses has scored 2 goals, followed by Luke Brooke-Smith, Isaac Robert Hughes, Kazuki Nagasawa and Corban Piper on 1. Hideki Ishige has been the chief assist maker in the previous 10 games with 3.
Confirmed Lineups
Western United confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Matthew Sutton (GK), Tate Russell, Tomoki Imai, Dylan Leonard, Charbel Shamoon, Matthew Grimaldi, Rhys Bozinovski, Angus Thurgate, Riku Danzaki, Noah Botic, Hiroshi Ibusuki.
Wellington Phoenix confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Alby Kelly-Heald (GK), Corban Piper, Scott Wootton, Isaac Robert Hughes, Sam Sutton, Tim Payne, Alex Rufer, Matthew Sheridan, Chico Geraldes, Kosta Barbarouses, Marco Rojas.
Expert A-League Analysis
Our football experts study the form, while injuries and suspensions can also affect the potential outcome. Before coming up with a verdict, we combine this data with the latest stats.
Key Western United vs Wellington Phoenix league stats:
Western United vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction
Western United should have the upper hand when it comes to this A-League encounter. Taking the -1.25 at odds of 2.06 should be the way forward and there’s a chance of a nice return for a comfortable win.
There are larger odds available for bettors who want to move the line. If you have a strong view on a team performing well, then you can get more juice from your bet.
United -1.25 Probability
The betting sites make it a 48.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we regard this as a value wager.
Our Pick
Western United Asian Hcp -1.25 @ 2.06
Correct Score Prediction
We’re going for Western United at 9.50 to secure a 3-1 win. It’s exciting to bet on the correct score and this wager will hopefully be able to land a nice return.
Latest Correct Score Odds
Corners Prediction
The 5 past away games involving Wellington have had an average of 8.20 corners, with the previous 10 Western United home matches featuring 9.00. There is value when it comes to going under the Total Corners line and this is available at 1.80.
Corner Stats


Latest Corner Odds




T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Western United vs Wellington Phoenix Odds
You might not get rich backing Western United at 1.42 to win this A-League match. However, these bookies betting odds imply a high 70% chance of winning the game. Wellington Phoenix are regarded as the least likely winner at 6.50.
The expectation is that Over 2.5 Goals will be scored according to the latest odds. Punters expecting both teams to find the net can get 1.70 when it comes to BTTS Yes.
The leading football betting sites offer hundreds of markets when it comes to A-League matches. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.
-
Full Time Result
1
1.42
X
5.00
2
6.50
-
Half Time Result
1
1.95
X
2.50
2
6.00
-
Double Chance
1X
1.11
12
1.18
X2
2.63
-
Both Teams to Score
Yes
1.70
No
2.05
-
Draw No Bet
1
1.17
2
5.00
-
Asian Handicap
1 Hcp -1.25
2.00
2 Hcp +1.25
1.90
-
Total Goals
Under 2.5
2.38
Over 2.5
1.57
-
Total Corners
Under 10.5
1.80
Over 10.5
1.91
Best Betting Offers
Western United
Head to Head
Western United vs Wellington
- A-League: 20/10 2024 Wellington 1 Western United 1
- A-League: 10/02 2024 Wellington 2 Western United 0
- A-League: 02/12 2023 Western United 0 Wellington 1
- A-League: 17/02 2023 Western United 0 Wellington 3
- A-League: 13/11 2022 Wellington 2 Western United 3
- A-League: 14/05 2022 Western United 1 Wellington 0
- A-League: 09/04 2022 Western United 1 Wellington 4
- A-League: 21/01 2022 Wellington 2 Western United 1
- FFA Cup: 07/12 2021 Western United 0 Wellington 1
- A-League: 22/05 2021 Wellington 3 Western United 0
Team Stats
Western United Stats
Wellington Phoenix Stats
Full time Result
- 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in previous 10 home matches
Full time Results
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in previous 10 away matches
Goals
- An average of 2.10 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
Goals
- An average of 0.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
Corners
- An average of 6.60 corners awarded and 3.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 3.60 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
Corners
- An average of 3.20 corners awarded and 6.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.60 corners awarded and 6.60 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.20 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
Possession
- An average of 53.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 49.90% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 home matches
Possession
- An average of 45.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 48.00% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 away matches
Team News
Make sure you know the United vs Wellington team news before placing your bets. We’ll bring you the information when we have it.
Western United vs Wellington Phoenix Lineups
Western United Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Wellington Phoenix Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Western United Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Wellington Phoenix Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Western United Substitutes
- 4James Donachie
- 7Ramy Najjarine
- 14Jake Najdovski
- 24Michael Ruhs
- 37Luke Vickery
- 44Jordan Lauton
- 70Michael Vonja
Wellington Phoenix Substitutes
- 8Paulo Retre
- 9Hideki Ishige
- 18Lukas Kelly-Heald
- 25Kazuki Nagasawa
- 29Luke Brooke-Smith
- 35Dublin Boon
- 41Nathan Walker
Previous Western United Lineups
Previous Wellington Phoenix Lineups
A-League Table
2024/2025 Season
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Auckland | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 47:23 | 53 |
2 | Melb City | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 36:24 | 45 |
3 | Western United | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 51:35 | 44 |
4 | Western Sydney | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 55:39 | 43 |
5 | Melb Victory | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 43:35 | 42 |
6 | Adelaide United | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 53:55 | 38 |
7 | Sydney FC | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 52:41 | 37 |
8 | Macarthur | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 49:42 | 33 |
9 | Newcastle Jets | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 42:43 | 29 |
10 | Central Coast | 25 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 28:49 | 26 |
11 | Wellington | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 27:41 | 24 |
12 | Brisbane Roar | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 30:50 | 18 |
13 | Perth Glory | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20:56 | 14 |
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Auckland | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 26:14 | 28 |
2 | Melb Victory | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 25:15 | 24 |
3 | Melb City | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 15:10 | 23 |
4 | Sydney FC | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 36:25 | 21 |
5 | Western United | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19:12 | 21 |
6 | Western Sydney | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 31:23 | 20 |
7 | Adelaide United | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 27:27 | 17 |
8 | Newcastle Jets | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 22:22 | 12 |
9 | Wellington | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11:15 | 11 |
10 | Central Coast | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:25 | 11 |
11 | Macarthur | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21:22 | 10 |
12 | Brisbane Roar | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12:26 | 8 |
13 | Perth Glory | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11:29 | 8 |
Next Predictions
















