Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Bet Builder Tips & Odds

By Robert Carter, NHL Analyst | Published: 16 hours ago | Last Updated: Apr 21, 01:37 | 6 min read

Ottawa Senators

Ice Hockey Scotiabank Arena Mon 21 Apr 07:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

  1. Prediction
  2. Bet Builder
  3. Correct Score
  4. Odds
  5. Team Stats
  6. Player Stats
  7. Player Props
  8. Team News
  9. Lineups
  10. Injuries
  11. Roster
  12. Standings
  13. Live Stream

Can Leafs Gain the Upper Hand?

WC1 Ottawa Senators (45-30-7, 18-19-4 Away) play East Atlantic winners Toronto Maple Leafs (52-26-4, 27-13-1 at Home) in this Stanley Cup Playoffs first round game at Scotiabank Arena.

There are attractive odds about the Maple Leafs and our prediction is for them to benefit from home-ice advantage and win in 60 minutes. They can get the better of the Senators and you can get 2.04.

Senators Have Won 7 of Previous 10 H2H Encounters

Ottawa Senators have lost their previous two on the road. Their most recent game was at home at Canadian Tire Centre where they recorded a 7-5 victory over Carolina Hurricanes. Tim Stutzle landed 3 points, featuring 1 goal and 2 assists.

Toronto Maple Leafs last game was a 4-3 (OT) victory over Detroit Red Wings at Scotiabank Arena. That means it’s now been seven home wins on the spin. The goals were shared around between four players including Christopher Tanev.

The last head-to-head saw the Sens claim a 4-2 win over the Leafs at Scotiabank Arena. It’s been five victories on the bounce for the Sens when playing the Leafs. On the head-to-head front, they have won 7 of the past 10.

Starting Goalies

Linus Ullmark (Expected)
Season W-L-OTL: GAA: SV%: SO:
24/25 19-13-3 2.78 .908 3
23/24 22-10-5 2.57 .915 2
Anthony Stolarz (Confirmed)
Season W-L-OTL: GAA: SV%: SO:
24/25 15-8-3 2.4 .917 1
23/24 16-7-1 2.03 .925 2
Ottawa Senators – Last 10 Games

6 wins, 2 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 3.2 goals from 30.0 shots on goal, with a 18.0% powerplay efficiency. The Sens have been giving up 2.6 goals from 29.5 shots, averaging 3.1 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 87.1%.

Thomas Chabot is the top points scorer with 10 points, 3 goals and 7 assists, with Drake Batherson recording 9 points, 5 goals and 4 assists, over the past 10 games. Goalie Anton Forsberg have a 2.57 goal against average with a .918 save percentage, including one shutout.

Toronto Maple Leafs – Last 10 Games

The Leafs have 9 wins and 1 loss, averaging 3.2 goals from 25.8 shots on goal, with a 6.7% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 1.5 goals from 30.0 shots, averaging 3.4 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 82.4%.

The top points scorer is Mitchell Marner with 13 points, 5 goals and 8 assists, while Auston Matthews is next in line after having 12 points, 5 goals and 7 assists. Goalie Anthony Stolarz have a 0.99 GAA with a .965 SV%, including three shutouts.

Expert NHL Analysis

Our expert NHL handicappers study the latest form, while injuries can also affect the potential outcome. Before coming up with a verdict, we combine this data with the latest player and goalie stats.

Key Senators vs Maple Leafs stats:

  • Maple Leafs have won 5 of their last 5 games.
  • Maple Leafs have won 9 of their last 10 games.
  • Maple Leafs have won 7 consecutive games at home this season.
  • Senators have lost 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
  • Senators have lost 15 of their last 26 games on the road this season.
  • Senators have lost their last 2 games on the road.

Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction

We think that Toronto Maple Leafs should prove too strong in this NHL clash. Therefore, we’re confidently wagering them to win in 60 minutes and there’s juice in the 2.04 available.

We regularly consider a Match Winner & Total Goals wager as a way of backing Toronto at bigger odds. You simply need to decide whether to go Over or Under as part of the combo.

Leafs 3-Way Moneyline Probability

The sportsbooks make it a 49% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

Our Pick

Maple Leafs 3-Way Moneyline @ 2.04 Watch Live Bet Now Bet365 logo
Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.
Published 09:43, 20 April 2025

Player Props

Top Pick: Drake Batherson Over 1.5 Shots 1.50 Bet365 logo

Drake Batherson (Senators) has fired Over 1.5 shots on goal in 5 straight games. If you agree with our verdict that he can cover the line again, then you can land odds of 1.50 that this happens.

Latest Drake Batherson Player Prop Odds

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Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Bet Builder Tips

3-Way Moneyline Maple Leafs
To Score Auston Matthews
Shots on Goal Drake Batherson Over 1.5

Our same game parlay pick is the Maple Leafs on the 60-minute line, Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs) to find the net and Drake Batherson (Senators) to have Over 1.5 shots.

A bet builder is a great alternative for hockey bettors who want to focus their wagering on a single game. You can predict different outcomes and see their odds combined before going ahead and placing this tailored bet.

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Correct Score Prediction

Senators Senators logo 1 - 4 Maple Leafs logo Maple Leafs

Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Leafs Could Have the Edge Say the Books

The Toronto Maple Leafs odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are 1.62 betting favorites to land victory in this game which means a 62% chance of winning. Ottawa Senators are the underdogs at 2.34 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The puck line is 1.5 and total goals is 5.5. Having a bet on Totals is one of the most popular NHL wagers. If you want to wager Over 5.5, there are odds of 1.91.

There are a wide range of team props and game lines when it comes to wagering on the National Hockey League and we recommend visiting the leading betting sites to find the wager that matches your view on the clash.

Auston Matthews Favorite to Score the First Goal

Auston Matthews is the market leader at 7.50 to be the First Goalscorer. Should you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.

Player Goals

Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs)
First
7.50
Anytime
2.07
Bet365 Logo
William Nylander (Maple Leafs)
First
9.50
Anytime
2.55
Bet365 Logo
Brady Tkachuk (Senators)
First
11.50
Anytime
2.95
Bet365 Logo
Mitchell Marner (Maple Leafs)
First
12.00
Anytime
3.10
Bet365 Logo

Player Shots

Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs)
Over 3.5
1.88
Under 3.5
1.88
Bet365 Logo
Brady Tkachuk (Senators)
Over 3.5
1.80
Under 3.5
1.95
Bet365 Logo
William Nylander (Maple Leafs)
Over 2.5
1.70
Under 2.5
2.10
Bet365 Logo
Mitchell Marner (Maple Leafs)
Over 2.5
2.50
Under 2.5
1.50
Bet365 Logo

Micro Betting

Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with NHL fans essentially being able to bet in-game when it comes to team and player props. Sometimes these are lines where you can wager on Shots or Goals.

Best Betting Offers

Last 5 & H2H

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Ottawa Senators logo Ottawa Senators Stats

Toronto Maple Leafs logo Toronto Maple Leafs Stats

Moneyline

  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

  • 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

Puck Line

Total Goals

Total Goals

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Live Streaming

You can watch NHL live streaming depending on where you are located. Sportsbook customers are required to have a funded betting account or place a bet within the past 24 hours.

Fans love the opportunity to watch thousands of sporting events per year with the best betting apps.

Senators vs Maple Leafs Live Stream Watch Live Geo-restrictions apply. To use the services you need to be logged in, a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours.

Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Ottawa Senators Injury Table

Type
Name
Info
Hayden Hodgson
Injured

Toronto Maple Leafs Injury Table

Type
Name
Info
Jani Hakanpaeae
Injured

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

Previous Ottawa Senators Lineups

18 Apr NHL
Hurricanes 5-7 Senators
16 Apr NHL
Blackhawks 4-3 Senators
14 Apr NHL
Flyers 3-4 Senators
12 Apr NHL
Canadiens 2-5 Senators
09 Apr NHL
Senators 2-5 Blue Jackets
07 Apr NHL
Blue Jackets 0-4 Senators
06 Apr NHL
Panthers 0-3 Senators
04 Apr NHL
Lightning 1-2 Senators
02 Apr NHL
Sabres 5-2 Senators
31 Mar NHL
Senators 0-1 Penguins

Previous Toronto Maple Leafs Lineups

18 Apr NHL
Red Wings 3-4 Maple Leafs
16 Apr NHL
Maple Leafs 4-0 Sabres
14 Apr NHL
Maple Leafs 4-1 Hurricanes
13 Apr NHL
Canadiens 0-1 Maple Leafs
10 Apr NHL
Maple Leafs 4-3 Lightning
09 Apr NHL
Maple Leafs 1-3 Panthers
06 Apr NHL
Blue Jackets 0-5 Maple Leafs
03 Apr NHL
Panthers 2-3 Maple Leafs
31 Mar NHL
Maple Leafs 3-2 Ducks
30 Mar NHL
Maple Leafs 3-1 Kings

NHL Standings

Metropolitan GP W L OT PTS P% RW ROW GF GA DIFF Home Road S/O L10 Strk
1 Washington 82 51 22 9 111 0.677 43 49 288 232 56 26-9-6 25-13-3 2-3 4-6 1L
2 Carolina 82 47 30 5 99 0.604 42 47 266 233 33 31-9-1 16-21-4 0-3 3-7 3L
3 New Jersey 82 42 33 7 91 0.555 36 40 242 222 20 19-17-5 23-16-2 2-2 5-5 1L
4 Columbus 82 40 33 9 89 0.543 30 34 273 268 5 26-10-5 14-23-4 6-1 7-3 6W
5 NY Rangers 82 39 36 7 85 0.518 35 38 256 255 1 19-19-3 20-17-4 1-0 5-5 2W
6 NY Islanders 82 35 35 12 82 0.5 28 33 224 260 -36 19-17-5 16-18-7 2-3 3-7 2L
7 Pittsburgh 82 34 36 12 80 0.488 24 33 243 293 -50 21-15-5 13-21-7 1-6 5-5 1W
8 Philadelphia 82 33 39 10 76 0.463 21 27 238 286 -48 20-20-1 13-19-9 6-3 5-5 3L
East Atlantic GP W L OT PTS P% RW ROW GF GA DIFF Home Road S/O L10 Strk
1 Toronto 82 52 26 4 108 0.659 41 51 268 231 37 27-13-1 25-13-3 1-2 9-1 5W
2 Tampa Bay 82 47 27 8 102 0.622 41 45 294 219 75 29-8-4 18-19-4 2-3 5-5 1L
3 Florida 82 47 31 4 98 0.598 37 41 252 223 29 27-12-2 20-19-2 6-0 3-7 2L
4 Ottawa 82 45 30 7 97 0.591 35 44 243 234 9 27-11-3 18-19-4 1-2 6-4 1W
5 Montreal 82 40 31 11 91 0.555 30 38 245 265 -20 23-12-6 17-19-5 2-4 7-3 1W
6 Detroit 82 39 35 8 86 0.524 30 36 238 259 -21 22-16-3 17-19-5 3-0 6-4 1L
7 Buffalo 82 36 39 7 79 0.482 29 32 269 289 -20 23-15-3 13-24-4 4-2 6-4 1W
8 Boston 82 33 39 10 76 0.463 26 33 222 272 -50 20-14-7 13-25-3 0-1 3-7 1L
East Central GP W L OT PTS P% RW ROW GF GA DIFF Home Road S/O L10 Strk
1 Winnipeg 82 56 22 4 116 0.707 43 54 277 191 86 30-7-4 26-15-0 2-1 7-3 1W
2 Dallas 82 50 26 6 106 0.646 41 48 277 224 53 28-10-3 22-16-3 2-2 3-7 7L
3 Colorado 82 49 29 4 102 0.622 40 45 277 234 43 26-12-3 23-17-1 4-3 5-5 1W
4 Minnesota 82 45 30 7 97 0.591 33 42 228 239 -11 22-17-2 23-13-5 3-3 5-5 2W
5 St Louis 82 44 30 8 96 0.585 32 40 254 233 21 24-14-3 20-16-5 4-2 7-3 1W
6 Utah 82 38 31 13 89 0.543 30 37 241 251 -10 18-15-8 20-16-5 1-4 6-4 1L
7 Nashville 82 30 44 8 68 0.415 24 28 214 274 -60 20-18-3 10-26-5 2-0 3-7 1W
8 Chicago 82 25 46 11 61 0.372 20 23 226 296 -70 15-20-6 10-26-5 2-4 4-6 2W
West Pacific GP W L OT PTS P% RW ROW GF GA DIFF Home Road S/O L10 Strk
1 Vegas 82 50 22 10 110 0.671 46 49 275 219 56 29-9-3 21-13-7 1-5 6-4 1W
2 LA Kings 81 48 24 9 105 0.648 43 47 249 201 48 31-5-4 17-19-5 1-3 8-2 4W
3 Edmonton 82 48 29 5 101 0.616 36 48 259 236 23 25-13-3 23-16-2 0-1 7-3 1W
4 Calgary 81 40 27 14 94 0.58 30 35 220 237 -17 23-12-6 17-15-8 5-2 6-4 3W
5 Vancouver 82 38 30 14 90 0.549 28 35 236 253 -17 17-16-8 21-14-6 3-2 4-6 1L
6 Anaheim 82 35 37 10 80 0.488 24 31 221 263 -42 21-18-2 14-19-8 4-2 3-7 4L
7 Seattle 82 35 41 6 76 0.463 28 33 247 265 -18 18-18-5 17-23-1 2-3 5-5 1L
8 San Jose 82 20 50 12 52 0.317 14 18 210 315 -105 12-27-2 8-23-10 2-5 0-10 11L
Eastern GP W L OT PTS P% RW ROW GF GA DIFF Home Road S/O L10 Strk
1 Washington 82 51 22 9 111 0.677 43 49 288 232 56 26-9-6 25-13-3 2-3 4-6 1L
2 Toronto 82 52 26 4 108 0.659 41 51 268 231 37 27-13-1 25-13-3 1-2 9-1 5W
3 Tampa Bay 82 47 27 8 102 0.622 41 45 294 219 75 29-8-4 18-19-4 2-3 5-5 1L
4 Carolina 82 47 30 5 99 0.604 42 47 266 233 33 31-9-1 16-21-4 0-3 3-7 3L
5 Florida 82 47 31 4 98 0.598 37 41 252 223 29 27-12-2 20-19-2 6-0 3-7 2L
6 Ottawa 82 45 30 7 97 0.591 35 44 243 234 9 27-11-3 18-19-4 1-2 6-4 1W
7 New Jersey 82 42 33 7 91 0.555 36 40 242 222 20 19-17-5 23-16-2 2-2 5-5 1L
8 Montreal 82 40 31 11 91 0.555 30 38 245 265 -20 23-12-6 17-19-5 2-4 7-3 1W
9 Columbus 82 40 33 9 89 0.543 30 34 273 268 5 26-10-5 14-23-4 6-1 7-3 6W
10 Detroit 82 39 35 8 86 0.524 30 36 238 259 -21 22-16-3 17-19-5 3-0 6-4 1L
11 NY Rangers 82 39 36 7 85 0.518 35 38 256 255 1 19-19-3 20-17-4 1-0 5-5 2W
12 NY Islanders 82 35 35 12 82 0.5 28 33 224 260 -36 19-17-5 16-18-7 2-3 3-7 2L
13 Pittsburgh 82 34 36 12 80 0.488 24 33 243 293 -50 21-15-5 13-21-7 1-6 5-5 1W
14 Buffalo 82 36 39 7 79 0.482 29 32 269 289 -20 23-15-3 13-24-4 4-2 6-4 1W
15 Boston 82 33 39 10 76 0.463 26 33 222 272 -50 20-14-7 13-25-3 0-1 3-7 1L
16 Philadelphia 82 33 39 10 76 0.463 21 27 238 286 -48 20-20-1 13-19-9 6-3 5-5 3L
Western GP W L OT PTS P% RW ROW GF GA DIFF Home Road S/O L10 Strk
1 Winnipeg 82 56 22 4 116 0.707 43 54 277 191 86 30-7-4 26-15-0 2-1 7-3 1W
2 Vegas 82 50 22 10 110 0.671 46 49 275 219 56 29-9-3 21-13-7 1-5 6-4 1W
3 Dallas 82 50 26 6 106 0.646 41 48 277 224 53 28-10-3 22-16-3 2-2 3-7 7L
4 LA Kings 81 48 24 9 105 0.648 43 47 249 201 48 31-5-4 17-19-5 1-3 8-2 4W
5 Colorado 82 49 29 4 102 0.622 40 45 277 234 43 26-12-3 23-17-1 4-3 5-5 1W
6 Edmonton 82 48 29 5 101 0.616 36 48 259 236 23 25-13-3 23-16-2 0-1 7-3 1W
7 Minnesota 82 45 30 7 97 0.591 33 42 228 239 -11 22-17-2 23-13-5 3-3 5-5 2W
8 St Louis 82 44 30 8 96 0.585 32 40 254 233 21 24-14-3 20-16-5 4-2 7-3 1W
9 Calgary 81 40 27 14 94 0.58 30 35 220 237 -17 23-12-6 17-15-8 5-2 6-4 3W
10 Vancouver 82 38 30 14 90 0.549 28 35 236 253 -17 17-16-8 21-14-6 3-2 4-6 1L
11 Utah 82 38 31 13 89 0.543 30 37 241 251 -10 18-15-8 20-16-5 1-4 6-4 1L
12 Anaheim 82 35 37 10 80 0.488 24 31 221 263 -42 21-18-2 14-19-8 4-2 3-7 4L
13 Seattle 82 35 41 6 76 0.463 28 33 247 265 -18 18-18-5 17-23-1 2-3 5-5 1L
14 Nashville 82 30 44 8 68 0.415 24 28 214 274 -60 20-18-3 10-26-5 2-0 3-7 1W
15 Chicago 82 25 46 11 61 0.372 20 23 226 296 -70 15-20-6 10-26-5 2-4 4-6 2W
16 San Jose 82 20 50 12 52 0.317 14 18 210 315 -105 12-27-2 8-23-10 2-5 0-10 11L
GP W L OT PTS P% RW ROW GF GA DIFF Home Road S/O L10 Strk
1 Winnipeg 82 56 22 4 116 0.707 43 54 277 191 86 30-7-4 26-15-0 2-1 7-3 1W
2 Washington 82 51 22 9 111 0.677 43 49 288 232 56 26-9-6 25-13-3 2-3 4-6 1L
3 Vegas 82 50 22 10 110 0.671 46 49 275 219 56 29-9-3 21-13-7 1-5 6-4 1W
4 Toronto 82 52 26 4 108 0.659 41 51 268 231 37 27-13-1 25-13-3 1-2 9-1 5W
5 Dallas 82 50 26 6 106 0.646 41 48 277 224 53 28-10-3 22-16-3 2-2 3-7 7L
6 LA Kings 81 48 24 9 105 0.648 43 47 249 201 48 31-5-4 17-19-5 1-3 8-2 4W
7 Tampa Bay 82 47 27 8 102 0.622 41 45 294 219 75 29-8-4 18-19-4 2-3 5-5 1L
8 Colorado 82 49 29 4 102 0.622 40 45 277 234 43 26-12-3 23-17-1 4-3 5-5 1W
9 Edmonton 82 48 29 5 101 0.616 36 48 259 236 23 25-13-3 23-16-2 0-1 7-3 1W
10 Carolina 82 47 30 5 99 0.604 42 47 266 233 33 31-9-1 16-21-4 0-3 3-7 3L
11 Florida 82 47 31 4 98 0.598 37 41 252 223 29 27-12-2 20-19-2 6-0 3-7 2L
12 Ottawa 82 45 30 7 97 0.591 35 44 243 234 9 27-11-3 18-19-4 1-2 6-4 1W
13 Minnesota 82 45 30 7 97 0.591 33 42 228 239 -11 22-17-2 23-13-5 3-3 5-5 2W
14 St Louis 82 44 30 8 96 0.585 32 40 254 233 21 24-14-3 20-16-5 4-2 7-3 1W
15 Calgary 81 40 27 14 94 0.58 30 35 220 237 -17 23-12-6 17-15-8 5-2 6-4 3W
16 New Jersey 82 42 33 7 91 0.555 36 40 242 222 20 19-17-5 23-16-2 2-2 5-5 1L
17 Montreal 82 40 31 11 91 0.555 30 38 245 265 -20 23-12-6 17-19-5 2-4 7-3 1W
18 Vancouver 82 38 30 14 90 0.549 28 35 236 253 -17 17-16-8 21-14-6 3-2 4-6 1L
19 Utah 82 38 31 13 89 0.543 30 37 241 251 -10 18-15-8 20-16-5 1-4 6-4 1L
20 Columbus 82 40 33 9 89 0.543 30 34 273 268 5 26-10-5 14-23-4 6-1 7-3 6W
21 Detroit 82 39 35 8 86 0.524 30 36 238 259 -21 22-16-3 17-19-5 3-0 6-4 1L
22 NY Rangers 82 39 36 7 85 0.518 35 38 256 255 1 19-19-3 20-17-4 1-0 5-5 2W
23 NY Islanders 82 35 35 12 82 0.5 28 33 224 260 -36 19-17-5 16-18-7 2-3 3-7 2L
24 Pittsburgh 82 34 36 12 80 0.488 24 33 243 293 -50 21-15-5 13-21-7 1-6 5-5 1W
25 Anaheim 82 35 37 10 80 0.488 24 31 221 263 -42 21-18-2 14-19-8 4-2 3-7 4L
26 Buffalo 82 36 39 7 79 0.482 29 32 269 289 -20 23-15-3 13-24-4 4-2 6-4 1W
27 Seattle 82 35 41 6 76 0.463 28 33 247 265 -18 18-18-5 17-23-1 2-3 5-5 1L
28 Boston 82 33 39 10 76 0.463 26 33 222 272 -50 20-14-7 13-25-3 0-1 3-7 1L
29 Philadelphia 82 33 39 10 76 0.463 21 27 238 286 -48 20-20-1 13-19-9 6-3 5-5 3L
30 Nashville 82 30 44 8 68 0.415 24 28 214 274 -60 20-18-3 10-26-5 2-0 3-7 1W
31 Chicago 82 25 46 11 61 0.372 20 23 226 296 -70 15-20-6 10-26-5 2-4 4-6 2W
32 San Jose 82 20 50 12 52 0.317 14 18 210 315 -105 12-27-2 8-23-10 2-5 0-10 11L

NHL Predictions

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